BetMGM Take Time Out During #SGWeek23! EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (3 Runs Or Less) (GBB) (Div II)

Newcastle (AW)

13:40

Date 2023-11-14

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,373

Winning Time 1m 27.06s (slow by 3.26s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Venture Capital (GB) Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	11/8F	Won
2nd	Fouroneohfever (IRE) Callum Shepherd · George Boughey	100/30	2.25
3rd	Wadacre Icarus (GB) Franny Norton · Charlie Johnston	8/1	2.25
4th	Sunfall (GB) Adam Farragher · William Haggas	5/1	1.25
5th	Lady Phoebe (IRE) Cam Hardie · Adam Nicol	40/1	1.25
6th	Solar Bentley (IRE) Jack Garritty · Richard Fahey	10/1	4
7th	Misty Time (GB) Harry Russell · Mark Walford	66/1	.5
8th	Idyllic (GB) Kieran Shoemark · Charlie Fellowes	10/1	8.5
9th	On The Bubble (GB) Andrew Mullen · Ben Haslam	150/1	2.25
10th	Jez Bomb (GB) Tom Eaves · Sam England	150/1	0.2
11th	Lang Toon Lad (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie	33/1	2.75

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (11)	Venture Capital Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	133	—	031	77	84	42	15d	—	—	-6	30.3	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Dictated steady fractions when landing C&D event two weeks ago; respected despite penalty
2 (4)	Fouroneohfever Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:George Boughey	J:Callum Shepherd T:George Boughey	131	—	3	-	86	53	12d	—	—	-17	11.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Shaped well amidst inexperience at Wolverhampton 12 days ago; plenty more to come
9 (6)	Sunfall Chestnut J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Half-sister to 6f AW 2yo winner Undertake (RPR 84); yard banging in 2yo winners of late
6 (5)	Wadacre Icarus Grey J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	127	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Half-brother to six winners, including on AW; represents powerful yard; one to consider
7 (2)	Idyllic Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.7	2.25/1	10 10%
42,000gns; dam a 1m winner (RPR 82); fair standard to aim at on debut
3 (3)	Solar Bentley Grey J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	3.25/1	14 7%
26,000gns yearling; five winning siblings, some useful, and worth a market check on debut
10 (9)	Lady Phoebe br/gr J:Cam Hardie T:Adam Nicol	J:Cam Hardie T:Adam Nicol	124	—	6	-	64	-	12d	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
150-1 when down the field in a 6f fillies' maiden here 12 days ago
5 (7)	Lang Toon Lad Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	127	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
£8,500 yearling; dam a 1m winner (RPR 88); would be a rare winning newcomer for the yard
4 (1)	Jez Bomb Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Sam England	J:Tom Eaves T:Sam England	127	—	04	-	65	-	25d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.25/1	50 2%
Whiff of ability at Redcar last month but handicaps an option after this
8 (8)	Misty Time Bay J:Harry Russell T:Mark Walford	J:Harry Russell T:Mark Walford	126	—	5	-	67	-	25d	—	—	-1	0.5	19.75/1	80 1%
Debut effort here wasn't without promise but she'll need a big step forward to win
11 (10)	On The Bubble Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	122	—	46	-	60	-	110d	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Ran to a modest level in two turf runs in midsummer; not easily recommended switched to AW

Horse	bet365	Coral
Venture Capital	13/8	13/8
Fouroneohfever	9/4	2
Sunfall	5	11/2
Wadacre Icarus	11	11
Idyllic	9	10
Solar Bentley	12	14
Lady Phoebe	33	40
Lang Toon Lad	40	40
Jez Bomb	50	40
Misty Time	80	50
On The Bubble	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Venture Capital

30.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 12.1 Odds: 11.4

13/8

2nd

Fouroneohfever

11.9

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 8.9

9/4

3rd

Sunfall

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Idyllic

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Wadacre Icarus

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Solar Bentley

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Lady Phoebe

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Lang Toon Lad

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Jez Bomb

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Misty Time

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

On The Bubble

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Venture Capital	77	84	42
Fouroneohfever	—	86	53
Sunfall	—	—	—
Wadacre Icarus	—	—	—
Idyllic	—	—	—
Solar Bentley	—	—	—
Lady Phoebe	—	64	—
Lang Toon Lad	—	—	—
Jez Bomb	—	65	—
Misty Time	—	67	—
On The Bubble	—	60	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fouroneohfever	12d ago	Quick return
Lady Phoebe	12d ago	Quick return
Venture Capital	15d ago	Fit
Jez Bomb	25d ago	Fit
Misty Time	25d ago	Fit
On The Bubble	110d ago	Long break
Sunfall	—	—
Wadacre Icarus	—	—
Idyllic	—	—
Solar Bentley	—	—
Lang Toon Lad	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.