Weatherbys & Birdie Calendars Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 2 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Lingfield

12:10

Date 2023-11-14

Distance 2m

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type NH Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4-5yo

Prize £2,614

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10	By The Grace Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	149	—	2	-	105	74	183d	—	—	-15	13.9	0.47/1	15/8 35%
£68,000 3yo; famous jumping family; minor bumper form on debut but can improve
6	Seaside Legend Bay J:Bryony Frost T:Paul Nicholls	J:Bryony Frost T:Paul Nicholls	156	—	24-	-	115	84	261d	—	—	-17	12.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Had two wind surgeries; bled from nose in February but fairly encouraging debut earlier
14	Solid Silver Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Sean Bowen T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	149	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-12	5	0.75/1	4 25%
Flat pedigree and yard; trainer has useful record in bumpers, 6-19 (2-5 over C&D)
3	I'd Go Maniac b/br J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
£30,000 3yo; yard has good strike-rate in AW bumpers here (11-57); market helpful
7	The Glen Rovers Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:T J Kent	J:Charlie Deutsch T:T J Kent	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Classy Godolphin pedigree; offputting that he makes debut in a bumper rather than on Flat
5	Minella Miracle Brown J:Mr John Reddington(7) T:Thomas Gallagher	J:Mr John Reddington(7) T:Thomas Gallagher	156	—	7/P-23	-	100	70	119d	—	—	-3	1	6.75/1	28 4%
Useful Irish point form; readily brushed aside in Southwell bumper; needs more
2	Fixed Wing Bay J:Max Kendrick T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	J:Max Kendrick T:David Killahena & Graeme McPherson	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	9.75/1	40 3%
Stamina to the fore in pedigree but a market move would be interesting
11	Dropitlikeitshot Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Honour	J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Honour	149	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	12.25/1	50 2%
Tongue tied for debut; not ignored on pedigree; yard is 3-22 in bumpers last five seasons
12	Elyssia Bay J:Isabelle Ryder(10) T:Gary Brown	J:Isabelle Ryder(10) T:Gary Brown	149	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	16.25/1	66 2%
Has good Flat pedigree but some stamina doubts for yard that has few bumper runners
13	She's A Lady Bay J:Rex Dingle T:Mark Usher	J:Rex Dingle T:Mark Usher	149	—	58-	-	105	-	480d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.00/1	125 1%
Hint of ability on debut last summer for George Baker but off since last July; new yard
8	Wonder King Bay J:Robert Dunne T:Noel Williams	J:Robert Dunne T:Noel Williams	156	—	—	-	76	32	33d	—	—	-1	0.4	31.00/1	125 1%
33-1 for debut at Worcester last month when finishing last of ten
9	Ask Her Out Bay J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Richard Rowe	J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Richard Rowe	149	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	31.00/1	125 1%
Dam half-sister to useful performers; this one is more likely when up in trip over hurdles
1	D'Ambonnay Bay J:James Best T:Camilla Poulton	J:James Best T:Camilla Poulton	156	—	0/	-	81	-	605d	—	—	-1	0.4	124.75/1	500 0%
100-1, finished remote last of 12 in a Kempton bumper in March 2022
4	Inspector Maigret Bay J:Shane Quinlan(3) T:Harriet Brown	J:Shane Quinlan(3) T:Harriet Brown	156	—	—	-	83	58	21d	—	—	-1	0.3	124.75/1	500 0%
100-1 for bumper debut at Hereford in October when back-pedalling from a long way out

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
By The Grace	15/8	15/8	2	15/8	2
Seaside Legend	9/4	2	9/4	2	2
Solid Silver	4	4	4	4	4
I'd Go Maniac	17/2	15/2	8	8	15/2
The Glen Rovers	5	11/2	9/2	5	15/2
Minella Miracle	28	25	20	22	25
Fixed Wing	40	33	25	33	33
Dropitlikeitshot	50	40	25	40	40
Elyssia	66	50	33	50	50
She's A Lady	80	125	66	125	125
Wonder King	100	125	50	100	100
Ask Her Out	80	125	50	125	125
D'Ambonnay	500	200	66	50	200
Inspector Maigret	500	200	66	200	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

By The Grace

13.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Seaside Legend

12.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 8.9

9/4

3rd

Solid Silver

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

The Glen Rovers

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

15/2

I'd Go Maniac

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Minella Miracle

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Fixed Wing

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Dropitlikeitshot

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Elyssia

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Wonder King

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125

Ask Her Out

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125

D'Ambonnay

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

500

She's A Lady

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125

Inspector Maigret

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

500

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
By The Grace	—	105	74
Seaside Legend	—	115	84
Solid Silver	—	—	—
I'd Go Maniac	—	—	—
The Glen Rovers	—	—	—
Minella Miracle	—	100	70
Fixed Wing	—	—	—
Dropitlikeitshot	—	—	—
Elyssia	—	—	—
She's A Lady	—	105	—
Wonder King	—	76	32
Ask Her Out	—	—	—
D'Ambonnay	—	81	—
Inspector Maigret	—	83	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Inspector Maigret	21d ago	Fit
Wonder King	33d ago	Fit
Minella Miracle	119d ago	Long break
By The Grace	183d ago	Long break
Seaside Legend	261d ago	Long break
She's A Lady	480d ago	Long break
D'Ambonnay	605d ago	Long break
Solid Silver	—	—
I'd Go Maniac	—	—
The Glen Rovers	—	—
Fixed Wing	—	—
Dropitlikeitshot	—	—
Elyssia	—	—
Ask Her Out	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Minella Miracle	Prominent
She's A Lady	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.