racingtv.com Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

20:00

racingtv.com Handicap

Date 2023-11-15

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (9)	The Cola Kid Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:Grace Harris	J:Oisin Murphy T:Grace Harris	131	tb	374311	61	80	72	7d	—	—	+6	27.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Drawn wider this time but bids for Kempton hat-trick; well treated judged on latest form
3 (4)	Annie Law Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	133	—	312201	63	79	66	30d	—	—	+7	24.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Narrow C&D win one month ago; looks set to go well again with just a 1lb rise
1 (2)	Top Button Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	135	t	9-53	65	69	35	29d	—	—	-9	9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Some progress in novice events; 5yo who should have a better chance now sent handicapping
11 (11)	First Company Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	128	—	243724	58	79	72	30d	—	—	+1	8.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Sole win (33 races) in 2021 but bang there over C&D on last two outings
4 (8)	Awesome Spirit Bay J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	133	t	4-0507	63	77	46	19d	—	—	-4	6.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
10,000gns buy in July and failed to come near market expectations 19 days ago (7f, AW)
9 (1)	Confederation Grey J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Dylan Cunha	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Dylan Cunha	130	t	092457	60	75	49	13d	—	—	-1	6	4.25/1	18 6%
0-12 for current yard, easily best of last seven runs when beaten a neck at Bath in August
8 (10)	King Of Speed Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Mark Loughnane	J:Finley Marsh T:Mark Loughnane	130	t	162753	60	77	-	51d	—	—	+2	8.9	4.75/1	20 5%
Bits of AW form (unraced on AW since January) would see him on the premises
5 (5)	Autumn Angel Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	132	b	361578	62	78	-	28d	—	—	+3	7.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Hooded this February-May, winning (Tapeta) on first occasion, and now tries blinkers
10 (7)	Amber Dew Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	129	—	690540	59	74	61	155d	—	—	-5	4.9	1.75/1	8 13%
Sole win (26 races) was 2021; last ran in June; sold out of Scott Dixon's 5,000gns in July
2 (12)	Northcliff Chestnut J:Callum Shepherd T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Callum Shepherd T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	134	p	700563	64	78	-	26d	—	—	+2	8.4	4.25/1	18 6%
0-20; AW debut on first run since sold out of Tim Easterby's for 9,000gns three weeks ago
12 (6)	Papabella Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	126	—	4-7054	56	75	-	28d	—	—	-2	2.9	6.75/1	28 4%
Lightly raced 3yo who has run in just three handicaps, closest finish on latest; AW debut
7 (3)	Marinakis Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Ian Williams	J:Dougie Costello T:Ian Williams	130	—	675-0	60	69	20	224d	—	—	+1	3.1	16.25/1	66 2%
50-1 for handicap debut over C&D in April, not showing much; that's his only run this term

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
The Cola Kid	10/3	5/2	11/4	3	11/4
Annie Law	4	4	7/2	4	7/2
Top Button	7/2	10/3	4	9/2	9/2
First Company	10	9	17/2	9	9
Awesome Spirit	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	8
Confederation	18	16	14	18	18
King Of Speed	20	18	16	20	20
Autumn Angel	22	22	18	22	22
Amber Dew	8	8	8	8	8
Northcliff	18	18	16	18	18
Papabella	28	28	25	28	28
Marinakis	66	50	40	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Cola Kid

27.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 18.5 Odds: 6.7

10/3

2nd

Annie Law

24.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 16 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Top Button

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

King Of Speed

8.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.9

First Company

8.6

OR: 2 Form: 4.4 Odds: 2.2

Northcliff

8.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

Autumn Angel

7.2

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

Awesome Spirit

6.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Confederation

OR: 2.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2

Amber Dew

4.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

Marinakis

3.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Papabella

2.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Top Button	65	69	35
Northcliff	64	78	—
Annie Law	63	79	66
Awesome Spirit	63	77	46
Autumn Angel	62	78	—
The Cola Kid	61	80	72
Confederation	60	75	49
King Of Speed	60	77	—
Marinakis	60	69	20
Amber Dew	59	74	61
First Company	58	79	72
Papabella	56	75	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
The Cola Kid	7d ago	Quick return
Confederation	13d ago	Quick return
Awesome Spirit	19d ago	Fit
Northcliff	26d ago	Fit
Autumn Angel	28d ago	Fit
Papabella	28d ago	Fit
Top Button	29d ago	Fit
Annie Law	30d ago	Fit
First Company	30d ago	Fit
King Of Speed	51d ago	Fresh
Amber Dew	155d ago	Long break
Marinakis	224d ago	Long break