Use Safer Gambling Tools At BetUK Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

20:30

Use Safer Gambling Tools At BetUK Handicap

Date 2023-11-18

Distance 1m4f51y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Percy Willis Bay J:P J McDonald T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:P J McDonald T:Jedd O'Keeffe	140	p	315229	75	80	72	3d	—	—	-3	21.5	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Had been running well until a below par effort at Newcastle three days ago
4 (6)	Shazam Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	137	—	112426	77	82	-	42d	—	—	+3	18.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Running well in handicaps until struggling in a Class 2 at Newmarket most recently
11 (3)	Story Horse Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:William Knight	J:Callum Shepherd T:William Knight	132	—	7456	72	81	51	24d	—	—	-7	10.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Maiden promise; possibly needed his handicap debut after a break and ran okay
8 (11)	Niarbyl Bay Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	133	—	3-4925	68	78	24	10d	—	—	-1	9.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Things never went to plan on his return from a break at Kempton (1m3f)
10 (10)	Absolute Queen Bay J:Jason Hart T:George Boughey	J:Jason Hart T:George Boughey	132	p	411943	72	81	45	25d	—	—	+6	16.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Good third behind previous winners here recently and worth trying over this far
1 (9)	Awesome Dancer Chestnut J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:George Baker	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:George Baker	142	—	7581-9	77	83	29	17d	—	—	+1	8.9	3.25/1	14 7%
Ascot winner in 2022; recent return from an absence at Kempton was possibly needed
9 (4)	Rebel Angel Grey J:Rob Hornby T:David Pipe	J:Rob Hornby T:David Pipe	132	t	831171	72	68	-	35d	—	—	+19	26.2	2.50/1	11 9%
Left former French connections in excellent form and could be interesting
7 (8)	Fox Flame Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Charlie Johnston	J:Oliver Stammers T:Charlie Johnston	133	v	441149	73	83	59	19d	—	—	+9	15.5	4.25/1	18 6%
1m4f/1m5f wins on the AW this autumn but has struggled in her last couple of starts
3 (2)	Zhang Fei Bay J:Neil Callan T:John Gallagher	J:Neil Callan T:John Gallagher	138	h	633-92	73	81	67	214d	—	—	+2	7.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Went close over this far on the AW in April; off since and has moved yards
6 (12)	New Dayrell Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	133	h	719668	73	78	38	25d	—	—	+4	9.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Has regressed since a turf win in August and he's unraced over this far
5 (1)	Swift Tuttle Chestnut J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	134	ht	4-8234	69	82	-	—	—	—	+3	5.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Recent winning hurdler; Flat maiden but has threatened off similar marks
12 (7)	Ten Ten Twenty Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:D J Jeffreys	J:Kieran O'Neill T:D J Jeffreys	127	t	11D48/0	62	-	-	12d	—	—	+2	3.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Has ability but hard to recommend after finishing tailed off here only 12 days ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Percy Willis	5/2	5/2	11/4	5/2	5/2
Shazam	9/2	9/2	5	9/2	9/2
Story Horse	9/2	9/2	5	9/2	5
Niarbyl Bay	13/2	7	7	7	15/2
Absolute Queen	8	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Awesome Dancer	12	14	12	14	14
Rebel Angel	10	11	10	11	11
Fox Flame	14	18	16	16/1	18
Zhang Fei	14	20	18	20/1	22
New Dayrell	16	14	12	16	16
Swift Tuttle	40	40	33	40/1	50
Ten Ten Twenty	66	66	40	66/1	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rebel Angel

26.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 18.6 Odds: 2.1

2nd

Percy Willis

21.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 8 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Shazam

18.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 7 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Absolute Queen

16.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 8 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Fox Flame

15.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 8 Odds: 1.7

Story Horse

10.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Niarbyl Bay

9.7

OR: 4.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1

15/2

New Dayrell

9.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.6

Awesome Dancer

8.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Zhang Fei

7.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Swift Tuttle

5.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Ten Ten Twenty

3.5

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Shazam	77	82	—
Awesome Dancer	77	83	29
Percy Willis	75	80	72
Fox Flame	73	83	59
Zhang Fei	73	81	67
New Dayrell	73	78	38
Story Horse	72	81	51
Absolute Queen	72	81	45
Rebel Angel	72	68	—
Swift Tuttle	69	82	—
Niarbyl Bay	68	78	24
Ten Ten Twenty	62	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Percy Willis	3d ago	Quick return
Niarbyl Bay	10d ago	Quick return
Ten Ten Twenty	12d ago	Quick return
Awesome Dancer	17d ago	Fit
Fox Flame	19d ago	Fit
Story Horse	24d ago	Fit
Absolute Queen	25d ago	Fit
New Dayrell	25d ago	Fit
Rebel Angel	35d ago	Fit
Shazam	42d ago	Fit
Zhang Fei	214d ago	Long break
Swift Tuttle	—	—