Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Div II)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:00

Date 2023-11-18

Distance 1m142y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,980

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (8)	Voltaic Chestnut J:Miss Sarah Bowen(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Miss Sarah Bowen(3) T:Tony Carroll	154	—	553033	56	54	40	39d	—	—	-13	16.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Placed in three of his six runs since winning off a similar mark under Sarah Bowen in July
9 (1)	Elusive Tiger Bay J:Miss Brodie Hampson T:Archie Watson	J:Miss Brodie Hampson T:Archie Watson	146	b	845424	51	49	36	22d	—	—	-10	9.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Still a maiden but has performed respectably in all his handicaps; unlikely to be far away
7 (6)	Girl From Italy Bay J:Mr Paddy Barlow(3) T:Mark Walford	J:Mr Paddy Barlow(3) T:Mark Walford	151	—	403261	56	47	30	19d	—	—	+4	19.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
From off the pace she got off the mark fairly decisively at Newcastle (1m)
NR (10)	Marisitta Bay J:Mr Paul Kavanagh(5) T:David Loughnane	J:Mr Paul Kavanagh(5) T:David Loughnane	141	—	887756	46	43	17	9d	—	—	-12	5.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Didn't get the breaks when prominent in the betting on last week's stable debut
NR (7)	Inclement Weather Bay J:Miss Poppy Scott(5) T:Alex Hales	J:Miss Poppy Scott(5) T:Alex Hales	156	t	-33526	58	48	6	78d	—	—	-9	13.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Placed on last visit here and very nearly won her penultimate race at Sandown
1 (3)	Pessoa Bay J:Miss Kayla Ruddy(7) T:Adrian Wintle	J:Miss Kayla Ruddy(7) T:Adrian Wintle	158	—	139799	60	51	38	100d	—	—	-2	5	3.25/1	14 7%
Two heavy defeats this summer after two months off and now has a point to prove
6 (2)	True Nation Brown J:Mr Eireann Cagney T:Richard Fahey	J:Mr Eireann Cagney T:Richard Fahey	152	p	524979	57	48	-	16d	—	—	-2	4.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Not shown much in handicaps and the cheekpieces will need to bring her on
5 (4)	Dark Company Bay J:Mr Rian Corcoran(7) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Mr Rian Corcoran(7) T:Mark Loughnane	154	p	215848	56	48	-8	40d	—	—	-2	5.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Not on a bad mark but needs to improve on his recent efforts
3 (9)	Miss Calculation Bay J:Mr Jack Nicholls(5) T:Stella Barclay	J:Mr Jack Nicholls(5) T:Stella Barclay	155	—	156005	57	48	-	37d	—	—	-3	3.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Form dipped on her final runs for John Quinn and stamina looks an issue
10 (5)	Miss Connaisseur Chestnut J:Miss Poppy Scott(5) T:Ben Case	J:Miss Poppy Scott(5) T:Ben Case	144	tb	904549	46	45	29	65d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.75/1	28 4%
Has form here; poor last time at Chelmsford but could bounce back in new blinkers
8 (12)	Nemorum Bay J:Mr Lewis Kent(5) T:T J Kent	J:Mr Lewis Kent(5) T:T J Kent	148	b	984419	50	47	29	9d	—	—	+3	8.4	4.75/1	20 5%
Even if bouncing back from last time he has stamina queries over this far
11 (11)	Raincloud Chestnut J:Miss Aaliyah Bowers-Carter(7) T:Michael Chapman	J:Miss Aaliyah Bowers-Carter(7) T:Michael Chapman	142	—	645687	47	49	14	73d	—	—	-2	0.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
No wins in ten and hasn't progressed from a turf placing earlier in the year; opposable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Voltaic	2	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Elusive Tiger	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	3
Girl From Italy	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Marisitta	6	13/2	11/2	6	6
Inclement Weather	7	6	6	13/2	13/2
Pessoa	14	12	10	12	12
True Nation	10	12	10	12/1	12
Dark Company	12	12	11	12	14
Miss Calculation	10	14	14	14/1	14
Miss Connaisseur	28	22	18	25/1	25
Nemorum	20	16	14	16	16
Raincloud	50	40	33	50/1	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Girl From Italy

19.3

OR: 1.5 Form: 13.4 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Voltaic

16.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 6 Odds: 8.9

7/4

3rd

Inclement Weather

13.7

OR: 2 Form: 5 Odds: 6.7

13/2

Elusive Tiger

9.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Nemorum

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

Dark Company

5.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.9

Marisitta

5.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.1

13/2

Pessoa

OR: 2.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.9

True Nation

4.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Miss Calculation

3.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Miss Connaisseur

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Raincloud

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pessoa	60	51	38
Inclement Weather	58	48	6
True Nation	57	48	—
Miss Calculation	57	48	—
Voltaic	56	54	40
Girl From Italy	56	47	30
Dark Company	56	48	—
Elusive Tiger	51	49	36
Nemorum	50	47	29
Raincloud	47	49	14
Marisitta	46	43	17
Miss Connaisseur	46	45	29

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Marisitta	9d ago	Quick return
Nemorum	9d ago	Quick return
True Nation	16d ago	Fit
Girl From Italy	19d ago	Fit
Elusive Tiger	22d ago	Fit
Miss Calculation	37d ago	Fit
Voltaic	39d ago	Fit
Dark Company	40d ago	Fit
Miss Connaisseur	65d ago	Fresh
Raincloud	73d ago	Fresh
Inclement Weather	78d ago	Fresh
Pessoa	100d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Marisitta	Prominent
Girl From Italy	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.