John Rogerson Memorial Handicap Chase – Fontwell

Fontwell

13:00

John Rogerson Memorial Handicap Chase

Date 2023-11-19

Distance 2m3f104y

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,859

Winning Time 5m 20.34s (slow by 28.34s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Hardy Fella (IRE) Tom Bellamy · Emma Lavelle	2/1J	Won
2nd	Aviles (FR) Jamie Moore · Gary Moore	2/1J	0.05
3rd	Chess Player (IRE) Beau Morgan · Ben Pauling	12/1	17
4th	Rose Sea Has (FR) Charlie Hammond · Dr Richard Newland	5/1	14
5th	Kap Auteuil (FR) Harry Bannister · Toby Lawes	9/2	11
6th	Salvatore (GB) Alex Edwards · Mel Rowley	18/1	31

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Hardy Fella Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	168	—	P221-4	120	120	80	24d	—	—	-5	27.5	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Well held on chase debut when jumping was wayward; potentially on a good mark
6	Aviles Bay J:Jamie Moore T:Gary Moore	J:Jamie Moore T:Gary Moore	143	—	/2222-	104	-	-	210d	—	—	+7	34.4	0.25/1	2 50%
Four seconds over hurdles; 4yo gets plenty of weight off rivals on chase/handicap debut
3	Kap Auteuil Bay J:Harry Bannister T:Toby Lawes	J:Harry Bannister T:Toby Lawes	168	p	P2PP-9	120	129	106	202d	—	—	+7	21.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Dropped to a good mark and the cheekpieces are new; dangerous to discount
4	Rose Sea Has Grey J:Charlie Hammond T:Dr Richard Newland	J:Charlie Hammond T:Dr Richard Newland	165	—	26P-26	117	126	103	20d	—	—	+10	19.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Ran poorly last time at Huntingdon and he has a bit to prove over this far
5	Chess Player Chestnut J:Beau Morgan(5) T:Ben Pauling	J:Beau Morgan(5) T:Ben Pauling	160	p	-13216	112	126	97	40d	—	—	+24	29.5	3.25/1	14 7%
Not sure what happened last time and this ground could be too deep for him
1	Salvatore Bay J:Alex Edwards T:Mel Rowley	J:Alex Edwards T:Mel Rowley	170	tp	115-22	122	124	78	—	—	—	+14	19.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Has been running well in points; three hunter chase wins and this mark should be fine

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Hardy Fella	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8
Aviles	2	2	2	2	2
Kap Auteuil	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Rose Sea Has	15/2	7	7	15/2	7
Chess Player	14	14	14	14	14
Salvatore	16	14	14	14	14

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Aviles

34.4

OR: 13.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 8.4

2nd

Chess Player

29.5

OR: 15.5 Form: 12.4 Odds: 1.6

3rd

Hardy Fella

27.5

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 10

15/8

Kap Auteuil

21.9

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Salvatore

19.6

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Rose Sea Has

19.4

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Salvatore	122	124	78
Hardy Fella	120	120	80
Kap Auteuil	120	129	106
Rose Sea Has	117	126	103
Chess Player	112	126	97
Aviles	104	—	—

Last Run