DMC Atlantic Maiden Hurdle – Limerick

Limerick

12:25

DMC Atlantic Maiden Hurdle

Date 2023-11-21

Distance 2m3f

Class

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Twoconduit Chestnut J:Niall Moore(7) T:Maike Magnussen	J:Niall Moore(7) T:Maike Magnussen	166	—	1D8094-	90	104	70	249d	—	—	-8	18	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Stripped of 2022 Boulta point win after positive test, modest hurdles form, stable debut
2	Glen Kiln Bay J:Ryan Treacy T:David Harry Kelly	J:Ryan Treacy T:David Harry Kelly	166	—	704	-	115	85	16d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Made a bright start for this stable when fourth in a stronger maiden than this at Cork
11	Make Sunshine Bay J:Jack Foley T:Barry J Fitzgerald	J:Jack Foley T:Barry J Fitzgerald	159	—	4-64	-	-	-	31d	—	—	-14	5.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Mild encouragement from her three starts in bumpers, may need hurdling experience
7	Trackman Tommy Bay J:Philip Donovan(5) T:Patrick G Kelly	J:Philip Donovan(5) T:Patrick G Kelly	166	—	0544-0	104	113	101	203d	—	—	+8	15.6	2.75/1	12 8%
Showed some ability with a pair of fourth placings at Limerick and Ballinrobe last season
13	Phoebe's Charm Bay J:Richard Deegan T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	J:Richard Deegan T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	159	—	S-009	-	88	40	16d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Hinted at improvement at Cork last time, a lot more needed in order to make an impact
10	Kilbarry Saint Brown J:A P Heskin T:C O'Keeffe	J:A P Heskin T:C O'Keeffe	159	t	3P-85	-	107	60	16d	—	—	-6	2.5	1.75/1	8 13%
Placed in a point, fifth at Cork was good enough to suggest she could go close here
3	Quest With Speed Bay J:Shane Fenelon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Shane Fenelon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	166	—	5/046-	104	109	39	295d	—	—	+10	14.9	4.75/1	20 5%
Official rating (104) gives him a fair chance in theory but appears flattered by that mark
NR	Man Oh Man Bay J:TBC T:W J Burke	J: T:W J Burke	166	—	5-6086	90	95	51	31d	—	—	+6	11.4	3.25/1	14 7%
Second reserve, not a bad run when sixth at Limerick but will need to find a bit more
5	Soldat Flamboyant Brown J:Ambrose McCurtin T:Daniel G Murphy	J:Ambrose McCurtin T:Daniel G Murphy	166	—	620-08	-	78	17	49d	—	—	-3	1.2	6.75/1	28 4%
Remote second in a point, no apparent chance on the evidence of two maiden hurdle attempts
NR	Whotookthebiscuit Brown J:TBC T:Henry De Bromhead	J: T:Henry De Bromhead	159	t	539-66	-	104	25	30d	—	—	-5	1.9	2.75/1	12 8%
First reserve, stable's second-string when sixth at Limerick, open to improvement
NR	A Nod To Getaway Bay J:TBC T:Paul O'Flynn	J: T:Paul O'Flynn	166	p	/9890-	83	78	-	494d	—	—	+6	8.9	12.25/1	50 2%
Third reserve, 83-rated gelding, off for 16 months, would have better chance in a handicap
6	Something Small Bay J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:J A Nash	J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:J A Nash	166	b	0/7-5P	-	76	29	4d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Tailed off in a handicap hurdle at Wexford last week, blinkers replace cheekpieces
9	Aegirine Bay J:Diarmuid Moloney(7) T:Eugene M O'Sullivan	J:Diarmuid Moloney(7) T:Eugene M O'Sullivan	159	—	6P6P45	84	102	54	10d	—	—	+4	10.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Well exposed at this stage and hard to fancy in a maiden despite fair recent handicap form
12	Onebrightbluerose Bay J:John Shinnick(7) T:Patrick Cronin	J:John Shinnick(7) T:Patrick Cronin	159	—	0090FF	-	-	-	16d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Did not show much in bumpers and has fallen on both start over hurdles
14	Sky Tempest Grey J:Richard Condon(5) T:Louise G Lyons	J:Richard Condon(5) T:Louise G Lyons	159	—	0-00	-	52	32	42d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Huge price on her first three starts and has run accordingly, can be ruled out.
1	Clyde The Glide Chestnut J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:Patrick G Kelly	J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:Patrick G Kelly	166	—	/00056	-	63	18	23d	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Very modest form overall, has struggled in beginners' chases on his last two starts
4	Rising Dust Bay J:Jack G Gilligan(7) T:Michael Hourigan	J:Jack G Gilligan(7) T:Michael Hourigan	166	p	0-6070	-	19	-	12d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.25/1	150 1%
Has struggled in three maiden hurdle runs, cheekpieces will need to make a big difference

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Twoconduit	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2	2/1
Glen Kiln	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Make Sunshine	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2	9/2
Trackman Tommy	12	11	12	12	11/1
Phoebe's Charm	7	7	13/2	7	7
Kilbarry Saint	8	8	8	8	8
Quest With Speed	20	18	18	18	16/1
Man Oh Man	14	14	14	14	14
Soldat Flamboyant	25	25	28	25	18/1
Whotookthebiscuit	10	12	12	12	12
A Nod To Getaway	40	50	50	50	50
Something Small	40	33	40	40	28
Aegirine	12	11	11	12	11/1
Onebrightbluerose	100	80	80	80	80
Sky Tempest	100	100	100	100	80
Clyde The Glide	80	66	66	66	66
Rising Dust	150	125	125	125	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Twoconduit

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Trackman Tommy

15.6

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

3rd

Quest With Speed

14.9

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Man Oh Man

11.4

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Aegirine

10.4

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

A Nod To Getaway

8.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Glen Kiln

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Make Sunshine

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Phoebe's Charm

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Kilbarry Saint

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Whotookthebiscuit

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Soldat Flamboyant

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Something Small

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Onebrightbluerose

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Sky Tempest

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Clyde The Glide

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Rising Dust

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Trackman Tommy	104	113	101
Quest With Speed	104	109	39
Twoconduit	90	104	70
Man Oh Man	90	95	51
Aegirine	84	102	54
A Nod To Getaway	83	78	—
Glen Kiln	—	115	85
Make Sunshine	—	—	—
Phoebe's Charm	—	88	40
Kilbarry Saint	—	107	60
Soldat Flamboyant	—	78	17
Whotookthebiscuit	—	104	25
Something Small	—	76	29
Onebrightbluerose	—	—	—
Sky Tempest	—	52	32
Clyde The Glide	—	63	18
Rising Dust	—	19	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Something Small	4d ago	Quick return
Aegirine	10d ago	Quick return
Rising Dust	12d ago	Quick return
Glen Kiln	16d ago	Fit
Phoebe's Charm	16d ago	Fit
Kilbarry Saint	16d ago	Fit
Onebrightbluerose	16d ago	Fit
Clyde The Glide	23d ago	Fit
Whotookthebiscuit	30d ago	Fit
Make Sunshine	31d ago	Fit
Man Oh Man	31d ago	Fit
Sky Tempest	42d ago	Fit
Soldat Flamboyant	49d ago	Fresh
Trackman Tommy	203d ago	Long break
Twoconduit	249d ago	Long break
Quest With Speed	295d ago	Long break
A Nod To Getaway	494d ago	Long break