BetMGM: It's Showtime Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I)

Southwell (AW)

16:45

Date 2023-11-24

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,564

Winning Time 1m 28.19s (slow by 3.29s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Kathmandu (IRE) Rob Hornby · Brian Meehan	2/1	Won
2nd	Hot Fashion (GB) Rossa Ryan · Ralph Beckett	100/30	.75
3rd	Arts Of War (IRE) David Egan · Roger Varian	15/8F	3.5
4th	Kendalina (IRE) Jason Hart · John Quinn	28/1	0.3
5th	Tambourine Dream (GB) Ross Coakley · James Fanshawe	22/1	1.25
6th	Bella Umbria (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson	7/1	.75
7th	Romantic Tale (IRE) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey	22/1	.5
8th	Explosively (GB) Luke Morris · William Knight	66/1	3
9th	Kimchi (GB) Callum Shepherd · Rae Guest	66/1	5
10th	Through The Echoes (GB) David Probert · Andrew Balding	25/1	13
11th	Renewable Queen (IRE) Callum Hutchinson · Gemma Tutty	300/1	0.3
12th	Parrsicoe (IRE) Frederick Larson · Michael Appleby	250/1	1.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (6)	Kathmandu Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Brian Meehan	J:Rob Hornby T:Brian Meehan	128	—	5	-	88	52	23d	—	—	-23	10.6	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Promising fifth on Kempton debut and suggested she can do much better; interesting
1 (1)	Arts Of War Chestnut J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	128	—	4	-	85	-	20d	—	—	-17	7.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Fourth on Newmarket debut and any improvement on that would put her right there
4 (10)	Hot Fashion Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	25	-	87	-	104d	—	—	-11	9.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Second on debut but held on faster ground next time; smart dam won on the AW; respected
2 (5)	Bella Umbria Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	128	—	—	-	72	31	39d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.50/1	7 14%
Well held on Kempton debut but is half-sister to two AW winners; shouldn't be written off
10 (8)	Romantic Tale Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Stable can get them ready at the first time of asking; market support would be significant
11 (12)	Tambourine Dream Bay J:Ross Coakley T:James Fanshawe	J:Ross Coakley T:James Fanshawe	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	6.75/1	28 4%
Looks the part on breeding, but stable doesn't have many 2yos go in first time
12 (2)	Through The Echoes Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	128	—	9	-	30	-	20d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.00/1	33 3%
20l behind Arts Of War on Newmarket debut; related to a few AW winners
6 (9)	Kendalina Bay J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	12.25/1	50 2%
Stable can get them ready first time and worth a market check
3 (11)	Explosively Bay J:Luke Morris T:William Knight	J:Luke Morris T:William Knight	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	24.75/1	100 1%
Stable not a noted source of winning newcomers
7 (7)	KimcHi Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Rae Guest	J:Callum Shepherd T:Rae Guest	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	12.25/1	50 2%
Stable has the occasional winning newcomer so worth a glance in the market
8 (4)	Parrsicoe Chestnut J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	128	—	006	-	43	-	62d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Beaten a very long way in three starts over 6f/7f on turf; no appeal
9 (3)	Renewable Queen Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Gemma Tutty	128	t	8008	42	53	-	21d	—	—	-1	0.2	49.75/1	200 1%
Has an official mark of just 42 so can't be recommended; tongue-tie on

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Kathmandu	11/8	13/8	6/4	13/8	7/4
Arts Of War	5/2	5/2	11/4	5/2	5/2
Hot Fashion	10/3	3	7/2	3	3
Bella Umbria	7	7	7	7	7
Romantic Tale	16	18	22	18	18
Tambourine Dream	28	28	25	25	28
Through The Echoes	33	25	28	25	28
Kendalina	50	33	33	33	33
Explosively	100	100	66	80	100
KimcHi	50	33	33	33	40
Parrsicoe	200	200	200	200	200
Renewable Queen	200	150	150	150	200

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kathmandu

10.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

7/4

2nd

Hot Fashion

9.7

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Arts Of War

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Bella Umbria

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Romantic Tale

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Tambourine Dream

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Through The Echoes

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

KimcHi

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Kendalina

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Explosively

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

100

Parrsicoe

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Renewable Queen

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Renewable Queen	42	53	—
Kathmandu	—	88	52
Arts Of War	—	85	—
Hot Fashion	—	87	—
Bella Umbria	—	72	31
Romantic Tale	—	—	—
Tambourine Dream	—	—	—
Through The Echoes	—	30	—
Kendalina	—	—	—
Explosively	—	—	—
KimcHi	—	—	—
Parrsicoe	—	43	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Arts Of War	20d ago	Fit
Through The Echoes	20d ago	Fit
Renewable Queen	21d ago	Fit
Kathmandu	23d ago	Fit
Bella Umbria	39d ago	Fit
Parrsicoe	62d ago	Fresh
Hot Fashion	104d ago	Long break
Romantic Tale	—	—
Tambourine Dream	—	—
Kendalina	—	—
Explosively	—	—
KimcHi	—	—