Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Fillies' Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

13:45

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Fillies' Handicap

Date 2023-11-25

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,129

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	Perfect Thunder Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Patrick Owens	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Patrick Owens	131	p	0-0575	78	94	-	58d	—	—	-10	14.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Well treated on best Irish form; possibilities if she takes well to new surface
6 (2)	Britannica Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	123	—	-32233	72	94	52	18d	—	—	+3	20.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Frustrating six-race maiden but may improve for new trip on handicap debut
5 (7)	Achillea Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dean Ivory	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dean Ivory	125	—	031995	74	92	61	21d	—	—	-1	14	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Sole win came off this mark; fighting chance if back to that form
4 (5)	Victoria Grove Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Henry Spiller	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Henry Spiller	126	—	-63602	73	96	69	42d	—	—	+2	15.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Solid second at Chelmsford on the return to AW; won off 4lb higher last year
2 (6)	Jilly Cooper Bay J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	131	—	660707	78	96	74	9d	—	—	-4	11.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Raced over 7f this year but looks worth another crack at 1m; handy mark
7 (4)	Nikki's Girl Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	122	—	371054	69	95	71	15d	—	—	+2	10.1	2.25/1	10 10%
On a workable mark but has done her winning in lower grades
1 (1)	Amber Island Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:David Loughnane	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:David Loughnane	139	b	901508	86	90	47	12d	—	—	+8	13.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Multiple 7f winner; return to 1m isn't an obvious plus; new headgear

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Perfect Thunder	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Britannica	9/2	4	4	4	9/2
Achillea	5	9/2	4	9/2	9/2
Victoria Grove	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Jilly Cooper	11/2	5	4	5	5
Nikki's Girl	8	9	17/2	9	10
Amber Island	16	18	14	18	18

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Britannica

20.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 9.7 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Victoria Grove

15.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 5.9 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

Perfect Thunder

14.3

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Achillea

OR: 6 Form: 3.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Amber Island

13.4

OR: 9 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

Jilly Cooper

11.4

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Nikki's Girl

10.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Amber Island	86	90	47
Perfect Thunder	78	94	—
Jilly Cooper	78	96	74
Achillea	74	92	61
Victoria Grove	73	96	69
Britannica	72	94	52
Nikki's Girl	69	95	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jilly Cooper	9d ago	Quick return
Amber Island	12d ago	Quick return
Nikki's Girl	15d ago	Fit
Britannica	18d ago	Fit
Achillea	21d ago	Fit
Victoria Grove	42d ago	Fit
Perfect Thunder	58d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.