Win £2,000,000 With BetMGMs Golden Goals Apprentice Handicap

Lingfield (AW)

11:30

Date 2023-11-25

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (10)	Laura's Breeze b/br J:Morgan Cole(3) T:Ed Dunlop	J:Morgan Cole(3) T:Ed Dunlop	135	—	753621	61	76	60	19d	—	—	+5	22.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Came good at Wolverhampton 19 days ago and 2lb rise may not stop her going in again
3 (2)	Storymaker Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:George Boughey	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:George Boughey	138	b	453763	64	74	63	8d	—	—	-5	12.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
0-12 but showed she can go close from this mark when third last week; considered
5 (3)	Sixties Chic Bay J:George Bass T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass T:Jack Channon	136	—	1D7-431	62	75	55	8d	—	—	-6	6.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Came from well off pace to lead on line on recent 6f AW debut; should stay 7f; respected
6 (12)	Dors Toyboy Grey J:Aidan Keeley T:Dean Ivory	J:Aidan Keeley T:Dean Ivory	136	p	6-7563	61	73	55	29d	—	—	-5	5.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Third here last month and won a division of this race off similar mark last year
11 (11)	Purple Poppy Bay J:Georgia Dobie T:Jimmy Fox	J:Georgia Dobie T:Jimmy Fox	125	—	228432	50	73	66	17d	—	—	+1	10.8	2.25/1	10 10%
C&D win in April and arrives in form after three successive in-frame efforts at Kempton
4 (6)	Media Guest b/br J:Liam Wright(5) T:Mark Gillard	J:Liam Wright(5) T:Mark Gillard	138	t	234753	63	73	49	21d	—	—	+1	9.2	2.50/1	11 9%
Solid start for new yard when third over 7f at Chelmsford; should be competitive again
10 (1)	Ajrad Chestnut J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Michael Attwater	J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Michael Attwater	126	—	865066	51	77	65	20d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.50/1	11 9%
Won division of this off much higher mark last year; bit better than recent results imply
9 (8)	So Chic Bay J:Gina Mangan T:John E Long	J:Gina Mangan T:John E Long	129	—	040892	55	73	59	20d	0W/0P 2 runs	0W/0P 2 runs	+2	8	2.75/1	12 8%
Step back in right direction when second over C&D latest; another who can't be discounted
7 (9)	Hurricane Kiko Grey J:Luke Catton(3) T:Julia Feilden	J:Luke Catton(3) T:Julia Feilden	136	b	062004	62	72	43	30d	—	—	+1	5.9	3.75/1	16 6%
Mixed record lately but latest 1m course fourth in blinkers (retained) was better
1 (4)	Bobby Dassler Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Laura Mongan	J:Paddy Bradley T:Laura Mongan	139	p	525460	64	73	29	45d	—	—	+1	5.7	5.25/1	22 5%
Well held on AW latest; needs refitted cheekpieces to help spark revival
2 (5)	Fly The Nest Bay J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Tony Carroll	J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Tony Carroll	139	—	212161	64	69	65	257d	—	—	+19	23.1	5.25/1	22 5%
Had excellent spell on AW last winter, including two C&D wins; been off 257 days
12 (7)	Aviary Bay J:Christian Howarth T:Adrian Wintle	J:Christian Howarth T:Adrian Wintle	123	hp	806966	48	70	57	32d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.75/1	28 4%
8lb below her sole winning mark but not obviously in the form to take advantage

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Laura's Breeze	7/2	4	7/2	7/2	4
Storymaker	5	9/2	4	9/2	9/2
Sixties Chic	11/2	5	5	5	5
Dors Toyboy	15/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	7
Purple Poppy	10	8	8	8	8
Media Guest	10	11	11	8	11
Ajrad	17/2	10	10	10	11
So Chic	12	12	12	12	12
Hurricane Kiko	16	14	14	14	14
Bobby Dassler	22	20	20	22	20
Fly The Nest	20	20	22	20	20
Aviary	25	25	28	22	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fly The Nest

23.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 18.5 Odds: 1.1

2nd

Laura's Breeze

22.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 14.4 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Storymaker

12.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.9 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Purple Poppy

10.8

OR: 0 Form: 8.1 Odds: 2.7

Media Guest

9.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.4

So Chic

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

Sixties Chic

6.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Hurricane Kiko

5.9

OR: 3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

Bobby Dassler

5.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 1 Odds: 1.2

Dors Toyboy

5.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Ajrad

2.5

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Aviary

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Storymaker	64	74	63
Bobby Dassler	64	73	29
Fly The Nest	64	69	65
Media Guest	63	73	49
Sixties Chic	62	75	55
Hurricane Kiko	62	72	43
Laura's Breeze	61	76	60
Dors Toyboy	61	73	55
So Chic	55	73	59
Ajrad	51	77	65
Purple Poppy	50	73	66
Aviary	48	70	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Storymaker	8d ago	Quick return
Sixties Chic	8d ago	Quick return
Purple Poppy	17d ago	Fit
Laura's Breeze	19d ago	Fit
Ajrad	20d ago	Fit
So Chic	20d ago	Fit
Media Guest	21d ago	Fit
Dors Toyboy	29d ago	Fit
Hurricane Kiko	30d ago	Fit
Aviary	32d ago	Fit
Bobby Dassler	45d ago	Fit
Fly The Nest	257d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Laura's Breeze	Prominent
Bobby Dassler	Mid-Pack
Sixties Chic	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 12 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.