Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div I) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:45

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-11-25

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,129

Winning Time 1m 28.14s (slow by 2.14s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	He's A Gentleman (IRE) Ross Coakley · Hugo Palmer	17/2	Won
2nd	Hieronymus (GB) Harry Davies · George Baker	7/2	0.2
3rd	Triggered (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Mark Loughnane	9/1	1.75
4th	Silvretta (GB) Rob Hornby · Andrew Balding	5/2F	1.75
5th	Supreme King (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · David Evans	4/1	1.75
6th	Local Bay (GB) Luke Morris · Tony Carroll	25/1	4
7th	Mountain Warrior (GB) P J McDonald · Edward Bethell	10/1	.75
8th	Craven (GB) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	6/1	1.25

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (1)	Silvretta Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	136	h	82-221	79	86	63	11d	—	—	-10	14.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Unimpressive when winning on Tapeta 11 days ago but earlier form is stronger; h'cap debut
7 (7)	Supreme King Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:David Evans	J:Kieran Shoemark T:David Evans	133	—	-25424	76	90	73	8d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-3	16.7	0.75/1	4 25%
Backed over 8.5f here last week but too free & only managed 4th; dropped another 2lb since
1 (3)	Hieronymus Bay J:Harry Davies T:George Baker	J:Harry Davies T:George Baker	138	p	-00260	80	92	71	21d	—	—	-1	14.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Had an excuse last time and running creditably beforehand; one to consider
4 (5)	Craven Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	135	v	020624	78	89	58	43d	—	—	+2	15.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
7f turf winner in July; several good runs since but below par in one AW run
NR (6)	Visibility Bay J:TBC T:Scott Dixon	J: T:Scott Dixon	133	—	015414	75	88	78	11d	—	—	+3	20.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
C&D win this month but he could manage 4th off this mark last time; needs more to win this
8 (9)	He's A Gentleman Grey J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	131	v	422312	73	88	64	30d	—	—	+14	24.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Comes here in top form but drawn widest now dropping back to 7f
5 (8)	Triggered Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	134	—	211361	76	89	76	32d	—	—	+17	25.5	2.00/1	9 11%
Four AW wins this year, two over C&D; 4lb rise for latest success justified; contender
2 (4)	Mountain Warrior Bay J:P J McDonald T:Edward Bethell	J:P J McDonald T:Edward Bethell	137	p	5-1276	80	91	51	102d	—	—	+2	9.6	2.25/1	10 10%
Looked promising in spring; well held the last twice; up to 7f with headgear added; chance
9 (2)	Local Bay Brown J:Luke Morris T:Tony Carroll	J:Luke Morris T:Tony Carroll	129	—	433177	71	87	-	37d	—	—	+8	13.4	6.00/1	25 4%
Joint-best RPR came when 2nd over C&D in February; will need even more to take this though

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Silvretta	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2
Supreme King	4	4	4	4	4
Hieronymus	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Craven	11/2	5	5	5	11/2
Visibility	8	9	8	8	17/2
He's A Gentleman	8	8	8	8	17/2
Triggered	9	9	9	9	8/1
Mountain Warrior	10	10	10	10	10
Local Bay	22	25	25	25	22

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Triggered

25.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 16.5 Odds: 2.5

2nd

He's A Gentleman

24.6

OR: 5.8 Form: 16 Odds: 2.9

17/2

3rd

Visibility

20.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 9 Odds: 5

17/2

Supreme King

16.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 5.7

Craven

15.5

OR: 7 Form: 4.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Silvretta

14.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Hieronymus

14.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Local Bay

13.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.6

Mountain Warrior

9.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hieronymus	80	92	71
Mountain Warrior	80	91	51
Silvretta	79	86	63
Craven	78	89	58
Supreme King	76	90	73
Triggered	76	89	76
Visibility	75	88	78
He's A Gentleman	73	88	64
Local Bay	71	87	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Supreme King	8d ago	Quick return
Silvretta	11d ago	Quick return
Visibility	11d ago	Quick return
Hieronymus	21d ago	Fit
He's A Gentleman	30d ago	Fit
Triggered	32d ago	Fit
Local Bay	37d ago	Fit
Craven	43d ago	Fit
Mountain Warrior	102d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Hieronymus	Prominent
Craven	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 9 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.