Racing TV Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier)

Kelso

15:20

Date 2023-11-29

Distance 3m2f39y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £5,281

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Camp Belan Bay J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	164	v	F35-44	106	116	31	25d	—	—	-3	21.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Won this race last year and shaped as though coming to hand last time; leading claims
7	Gipsy Lee Rose Grey J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	142	tv	238-53	84	118	53	19d	—	—	-12	17.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Infrequent winner and isn't the most reliable; held by Without Conviction on latest form
4	Bretney Bay J:Alice Stevens(6) T:Henry Daly	J:Alice Stevens(6) T:Henry Daly	161	p	P18P-3	103	120	106	20d	—	—	+3	21.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Triple chase winner who shaped as though retaining much of his ability on reappearance
NR	Sputnik Bay J:Conor Rabbitt T:Jackie Stephen	J:Conor Rabbitt T:Jackie Stephen	147	—	3-22P3	89	113	61	25d	—	—	0	16.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Put a below-par run behind when third at Ayr last time; seems to stay and should go well
1	Conquredalofeurope Bay J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Donald McCain	J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Donald McCain	168	b	32UP-6	110	119	67	25d	—	—	+5	19	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Ran respectably on reappearance; not won for some time but player down in weights/grade
NR	Fortcanyon Bay J:Philip Armson T:Sandy Forster	J:Philip Armson T:Sandy Forster	156	t	4931-5	98	105	74	20d	—	—	+1	16.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Below pick of hurdle form on chase debut last time; needs to raise game to win this
3	Without Conviction Bay J:Alan Doyle T:Lucinda Russell	J:Alan Doyle T:Lucinda Russell	162	t	41-P22	104	113	90	46d	—	—	+6	16.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Worth a try over this trip and, along with Camp Belan, gives trainer a strong hand

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Camp Belan	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4	9/4
Gipsy Lee Rose	5/2	5/2	5/2	2	9/4
Bretney	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2
Sputnik	4	4	7/2	4	4
Conquredalofeurope	9/2	9/2	5	9/2	5/1
Fortcanyon	8	17/2	17/2	8	17/2
Without Conviction	8	13/2	7	13/2	9/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bretney

21.7

OR: 13.3 Form: 3 Odds: 5.4

7/2

2nd

Camp Belan

21.3

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Conquredalofeurope

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Gipsy Lee Rose

17.4

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

5/2

Sputnik

16.9

OR: 9.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5

7/2

Without Conviction

16.4

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Fortcanyon

16.3

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 4.3

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Conquredalofeurope	110	119	67
Camp Belan	106	116	31
Without Conviction	104	113	90
Bretney	103	120	106
Fortcanyon	98	105	74
Sputnik	89	113	61
Gipsy Lee Rose	84	118	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Gipsy Lee Rose	19d ago	Fit
Bretney	20d ago	Fit
Fortcanyon	20d ago	Fit
Camp Belan	25d ago	Fit
Sputnik	25d ago	Fit
Conquredalofeurope	25d ago	Fit
Without Conviction	46d ago	Fresh