Dundalk Stadium 20th Anniversary Nursery Handicap – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

15:25

Dundalk Stadium 20th Anniversary Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-11-29

Distance 5f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize €6,785

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Scorchio Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Jack W Davison	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Jack W Davison	138	p	790613	76	76	68	21d	—	—	-15	32.9	0.18/1	8/11 58%
C&D winner was a good 3rd over 6f since; raised another 6lb but strongly considered
4 (4)	Mary Shoelaces Brown J:Chris Hayes T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	J:Chris Hayes T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	128	b	8003	66	75	68	33d	—	—	-5	12	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Improved effort when 3rd to Scorchio last time; up 3lb and blinkers added, so a chance
NR (3)	Tarsus Bay J:TBC T:Andrew Slattery	J: T:Andrew Slattery	127	t	856	65	73	61	26d	—	—	-9	8.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
A hint of ability in three maidens but could fare better in this grade; tongue-tie added
6 (5)	Milliethemollie Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(5) T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	J:Oisin McSweeney(5) T:Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch	125	ht	864268	63	72	64	21d	—	—	-3	9.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Went closest when 2nd in a Naas nursery but below that level here last twice
2 (7)	Signor Ferrari Bay J:W J Lee T:John James Feane	J:W J Lee T:John James Feane	134	p	857	72	62	43	12d	—	—	-1	8	1.75/1	8 13%
Best of three maiden runs was on turf debut; not as good twice on AW; cheekpieces a help
8 (8)	Charles Atlas Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:W McCreery	J:Nathan Crosse T:W McCreery	119	v	77078	57	75	-	112d	—	—	-2	3.1	3.75/1	16 6%
Regressive on turf and is 4lb out of the handicap back from a break
3 (1)	Dabirsim Flyer Bay J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Fergal Birrane	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:Fergal Birrane	132	—	9560	70	70	-	64d	—	—	+2	6	6.75/1	28 4%
Some promise on initial two runs but poor the last twice and questions to answer
7 (6)	Stopitnowjulia Black J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Aidan Anthony Howard	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Aidan Anthony Howard	119	t	00007	57	73	25	21d	—	—	0	2.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Soundly beaten over 6f last time but could do better back to this trip; 2lb wrong

Horse	bet365	Coral
Scorchio	8/11	8/11
Mary Shoelaces	4	7/2
Tarsus	13/2	11/2
Milliethemollie	11/2	11/2
Signor Ferrari	8	8
Charles Atlas	16	16
Dabirsim Flyer	28	25
Stopitnowjulia	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Scorchio

32.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 10 Odds: 16.4

8/11

2nd

Mary Shoelaces

OR: 4 Form: 3 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

Milliethemollie

9.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Tarsus

8.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.1

13/2

Signor Ferrari

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Dabirsim Flyer

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Charles Atlas

3.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Stopitnowjulia

2.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Scorchio	76	76	68
Signor Ferrari	72	62	43
Dabirsim Flyer	70	70	—
Mary Shoelaces	66	75	68
Tarsus	65	73	61
Milliethemollie	63	72	64
Charles Atlas	57	75	—
Stopitnowjulia	57	73	25

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Signor Ferrari	12d ago	Quick return
Scorchio	21d ago	Fit
Milliethemollie	21d ago	Fit
Stopitnowjulia	21d ago	Fit
Tarsus	26d ago	Fit
Mary Shoelaces	33d ago	Fit
Dabirsim Flyer	64d ago	Fresh
Charles Atlas	112d ago	Long break