Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Maiden – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

15:55

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Maiden

Date 2023-11-29

Distance 7f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize €9,440

Winning Time 1m 28.66s (slow by 4.96s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Seti (IRE) Robert Whearty · Noel Meade	40/1	Won
2nd	Bruce Lightning (IRE) Jack Kearney · Patrick Martin	33/1	.5
3rd	Gesture (IRE) Leigh Roche · E J O'Neill	7/1	1.75
4th	Exceeding (IRE) Cian Horgan · Andrew Slattery	16/1	0.05
5th	Rebelsontherun (IRE) Colin Keane · M D O'Callaghan	7/2	1.25
6th	Alex Belardo (IRE) Donagh O'Connor · John C McConnell	66/1	0.3
7th	Miss Alaska (IRE) Mikey Sheehy · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	12/1	1.5
8th	Ciao For Now (GB) Siobhan Rutledge · Mrs John Harrington	11/2	.75
9th	Cuban Confusion (GB) Luke McAteer · David Marnane	6/4F	.5
10th	Twotwo And Two (FR) Seamie Heffernan · James Leavy	40/1	1
11th	Solar Falcon (IRE) W J Lee · Conor O'Dwyer	150/1	1
12th	Indian Alliance (FR) Declan McDonogh · Joseph Patrick O'Brien	8/1	3

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (7)	Ciao For Now Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:Mrs John Harrington	122	—	25	-	89	-	88d	—	—	-7	7.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two solid runs; back from a small break and these conditions look ideal; a major player
2 (12)	Cuban Confusion Bay J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	133	—	04032	78	85	71	33d	—	—	-9	24.8	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Two fine runs here lately and coming back to 7f should suit; big player
1 (5)	Rebelsontherun Chestnut J:Colin Keane T:M D O'Callaghan	J:Colin Keane T:M D O'Callaghan	135	—	05	-	71	-	67d	—	—	-11	4.4	0.75/1	4 25%
Improved effort last time; needs more on AW debut but that could be forthcoming
3 (9)	Indian Alliance Brown J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	133	t	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
A 47,000euros yearling is by an exciting young sire; one of two runners for yard
7 (3)	Gesture Chestnut J:Leigh Roche T:E J O'Neill	J:Leigh Roche T:E J O'Neill	127	—	638	75	87	-	66d	—	—	+3	10.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Only 1l behind at Naas on second start and can run well if repeating that
8 (6)	Miss Alaska Bay J:Mikey Sheehy T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Mikey Sheehy T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	126	t	04	-	84	31	28d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.75/1	16 6%
Much-improved over 6f here four weeks ago; should go closer today with improvement likely
4 (4)	Exceeding Bay J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Cian Horgan(7) T:Andrew Slattery	131	—	90	-	69	19	7d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-3	1.2	4.25/1	18 6%
Lost all chance last time when starting very slowly; can't afford to repeat that
9 (1)	Bruce Lightning Bay J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Patrick Martin	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Patrick Martin	125	h	3900	75	86	-	42d	—	—	+5	7.9	9.75/1	40 3%
Disappointing last few runs; has ability but a lot to prove at present; hood added
11 (10)	Twotwo And Two Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:James Leavy	J:Seamie Heffernan T:James Leavy	125	—	8	-	77	32	14d	—	—	-2	0.8	6.75/1	28 4%
Promise in a C&D maiden two weeks ago; be involved with improvement likely from that run
6 (8)	Alex Belardo Chestnut J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	127	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	8.00/1	33 3%
A 19,000euros yearling is by a solid sire and worth a market check
10 (2)	Seti Bay J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Noel Meade	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Noel Meade	125	—	—	-	48	-	208d	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Was never involved in a 5f Cork maiden on debut in May; has to improve significantly
5 (11)	Solar Falcon Bay J:W J Lee T:Conor O'Dwyer	J:W J Lee T:Conor O'Dwyer	131	v	—	-	56	10	19d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Beaten 18l on debut over 1m at this track on debut and enormous improvement is needed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Ciao For Now	5	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Cuban Confusion	6/4	11/8	11/8	6/4	11/8
Rebelsontherun	4	4	4	4	4
Indian Alliance	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Gesture	9	17/2	9	9	9
Miss Alaska	16	14	14	14	14
Exceeding	16	18	18	18	18
Bruce Lightning	40	33	33	33	33
Twotwo And Two	25	28	25	25	25
Alex Belardo	33	28	28	28	28
Seti	40	40	40	40	40
Solar Falcon	150	100	125	125	125

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cuban Confusion

24.8

OR: 7 Form: 7.1 Odds: 10.7

6/4

2nd

Gesture

10.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2

17/2

3rd

Bruce Lightning

7.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.8

Ciao For Now

7.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4

9/2

Rebelsontherun

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

Indian Alliance

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Miss Alaska

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Exceeding

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Twotwo And Two

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

Alex Belardo

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Seti

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Solar Falcon

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cuban Confusion	78	85	71
Gesture	75	87	—
Bruce Lightning	75	86	—
Ciao For Now	—	89	—
Rebelsontherun	—	71	—
Indian Alliance	—	—	—
Miss Alaska	—	84	31
Exceeding	—	69	19
Twotwo And Two	—	77	32
Alex Belardo	—	—	—
Seti	—	48	—
Solar Falcon	—	56	10

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Exceeding	7d ago	Quick return
Twotwo And Two	14d ago	Fit
Solar Falcon	19d ago	Fit
Miss Alaska	28d ago	Fit
Cuban Confusion	33d ago	Fit
Bruce Lightning	42d ago	Fit
Gesture	66d ago	Fresh
Rebelsontherun	67d ago	Fresh
Ciao For Now	88d ago	Fresh
Seti	208d ago	Long break
Indian Alliance	—	—
Alex Belardo	—	—