Don't Fake A Flake 'Hands & Heels' Handicap Hurdle (Conditional & Amateurs') (Qual') (RE Series)

Doncaster

11:45

Date 2023-12-01

Distance 3m84y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	The Bomber Liston Bay J:Miss Lily Jones(5) T:Nicky Henderson	J:Miss Lily Jones(5) T:Nicky Henderson	164	p	-U5543	115	126	102	22d	—	—	-5	30.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Has still not proved himself over this sort of trip; sole win remains a maiden in 2021
1	Dragon Rock Bay J:Mr Paddy Hanlon(3) T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Mr Paddy Hanlon(3) T:John Joseph Hanlon	168	—	-42U61	119	117	-	7d	—	—	+12	34.7	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Won nine-runner handicap chase at Fairyhouse (3m, soft to heavy) one week ago easily by 9l
5	Much Too Dear Chestnut J:Mr Sean Clarke(3) T:Laura Horsfall	J:Mr Sean Clarke(3) T:Laura Horsfall	156	—	36-2B4	107	123	107	18d	—	—	+3	18.7	1.00/1	5 20%
Respectable fourth at Kempton (2m5f) latest, from well off pace; second go at about 3m
2	Crossing The Bar Bay J:Dylan Whelan T:Neil Mulholland	J:Dylan Whelan T:Neil Mulholland	166	tp	81-556	117	120	98	14d	—	—	+12	18.7	3.25/1	14 7%
Well below form this season; back over hurdles and has cheekpieces first time
8	Nikgarde Bay J:William Maggs T:James Ewart	J:William Maggs T:James Ewart	149	—	PU0-3F	100	120	119	167d	—	—	+8	14.4	2.75/1	12 8%
Inconsistent and he was a mid-race faller in first-time cheekpieces in June when last seen
6	Ithaka Bay J:James Turner T:Ryan Potter	J:James Turner T:Ryan Potter	155	t	915-P0	106	117	51	35d	—	—	+8	16.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Well-backed 2m5f win at Wincanton in March, easily best effort and the furthest he's been
7	Rowdy Rustler Bay J:Mr Jack Power T:Lucinda Russell	J:Mr Jack Power T:Lucinda Russell	153	tp	3PF-86	104	118	80	80d	—	—	+10	14.8	5.25/1	22 5%
Well below form last five starts (hurdling last two) and fell on his only go at about 3m
9	Jessie Lightfoot Bay J:Miss Imogen Mathias(3) T:Evan Williams	J:Miss Imogen Mathias(3) T:Evan Williams	143	—	P/1B3-	94	-	-	297d	—	—	+8	12.1	8.00/1	33 3%
Changed stables since a respectable run in February; first hurdle race in nearly two years
4	Fortunefavorsdbold Bay J:Ellis Collier T:Christian Williams	J:Ellis Collier T:Christian Williams	163	—	310-F9	114	117	62	13d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+14	16.7	12.25/1	50 2%
Jumping did not go well on chase/stable debut; remote back over hurdles 13 days ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
The Bomber Liston	15/8	6/4	13/8	13/8	13/8
Dragon Rock	5/2	3	5/2	5/2	5/2
Much Too Dear	5	5	5	5	5
Crossing The Bar	12	14	12	14	14
Nikgarde	12	12	12	12	12
Ithaka	10	17/2	17/2	9	9
Rowdy Rustler	20	20	20	22	20
Jessie Lightfoot	33	22	25	25	25
Fortunefavorsdbold	50	33	28	28	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dragon Rock

34.7

OR: 17.3 Form: 10.8 Odds: 6.7

5/2

2nd

The Bomber Liston

30.4

OR: 16.3 Form: 2.7 Odds: 11.4

15/8

3rd

Much Too Dear

18.7

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

Crossing The Bar

18.7

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Fortunefavorsdbold

16.7

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ithaka

16.4

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Rowdy Rustler

14.8

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

Nikgarde

14.4

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Jessie Lightfoot

12.1

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dragon Rock	119	117	—
Crossing The Bar	117	120	98
The Bomber Liston	115	126	102
Fortunefavorsdbold	114	117	62
Much Too Dear	107	123	107
Ithaka	106	117	51
Rowdy Rustler	104	118	80
Nikgarde	100	120	119
Jessie Lightfoot	94	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dragon Rock	7d ago	Quick return
Fortunefavorsdbold	13d ago	Quick return
Crossing The Bar	14d ago	Fit
Much Too Dear	18d ago	Fit
The Bomber Liston	22d ago	Fit
Ithaka	35d ago	Fit
Rowdy Rustler	80d ago	Fresh
Nikgarde	167d ago	Long break
Jessie Lightfoot	297d ago	Long break