Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

17:30

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden

Date 2023-12-01

Distance 6f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize €8,850

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (6)	Back Down Under Bay J:Leigh Roche T:Padraig Roche	J:Leigh Roche T:Padraig Roche	128	—	623722	78	92	-	48d	—	—	-3	26.3	0.47/1	15/8 35%
First try on polytrack and overall form more than good enough to make an impact here
6 (8)	Clarita Bay J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	128	p	270364	76	88	24	21d	—	—	-6	13.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Fourth in a 7f maiden last month; cheekpieces tried and the drop back in trip should suit
4 (1)	Beautiful Dawn Chestnut J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Cost 330,000Eur as a yearling; bred to appreciate further but an interesting runner
2 (3)	Anvika Chestnut J:Robbie Colgan T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:Robbie Colgan T:Ms Sheila Lavery	128	h	892	71	83	31	30d	—	—	+2	13.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Closing second in a C&D maiden last month; well drawn and could go close
10 (4)	Manhattan Dreamer Bay J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Adrian Murray	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Adrian Murray	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.5	2.00/1	9 11%
Cost $420,000 as a yearling; all-dirt American pedigree and worth a market check
1 (5)	Abiding Star Bay J:Chris Hayes T:John Patrick Hayes	J:Chris Hayes T:John Patrick Hayes	128	—	94	-	70	51	14d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Fourth in a C&D maiden two weeks ago; more needed but going the right way
9 (9)	Limoncello Lady Brown J:Nathan Crosse T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Nathan Crosse T:Mrs John Harrington	128	—	04	-	69	-	58d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
Improving and this might well be her trip; interesting on her polytrack debut
8 (2)	Katie Bairdie Bay J:J M Sheridan T:J A Stack	J:J M Sheridan T:J A Stack	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Nicely-bred No Nay Never filly worth a market check on debut
5 (13)	Blame Thechampagne Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:Mrs John Harrington	128	p	456577	73	80	71	35d	—	—	+3	7	5.25/1	22 5%
No impression in a 5f nursery here in October; cheekpieces left on but others preferred
14 (15)	Valkyrja Bay J:Danny Sheehy(3) T:Diego Dias	J:Danny Sheehy(3) T:Diego Dias	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	4.25/1	18 6%
Night Of Thunder newcomer with nice mix of speed and stamina in her pedigree; interesting
7 (10)	Excilla Bay J:Colin Keane T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Colin Keane T:Mrs John Harrington	128	p	09	-	44	-	84d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Champion jockey booked but hard to give a chance to on current evidence
12 (12)	Pocket Paralysis Bay J:Conor Maxwell T:Dermot A McLoughlin	J:Conor Maxwell T:Dermot A McLoughlin	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	19.75/1	80 1%
Inexpensively bought newcomer related to plenty of winners; best watched
11 (7)	Mary Bagot Bay J:N G McCullagh T:M Halford & T Collins	J:N G McCullagh T:M Halford & T Collins	128	—	70	-	73	-	21d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Not beaten that far on her Irish debut here two weeks ago but plenty more needed here
13 (11)	Sophia Klimt Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:Patrick Martin	J:James Ryan(5) T:Patrick Martin	128	t	88	-	39	-	44d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.25/1	250 0%
Failed to beat a single rival in two Navan maidens; needs this for a handicap mark
NR (14)	Lorr's Girl Bay J:TBC T:Rodger Sweeney	J: T:Rodger Sweeney	128	—	8	-	49	24	14d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Reserve; last of eight in a C&D maiden two weeks ago; others preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Back Down Under	15/8	15/8	2	7/4	15/8
Clarita	7/2	3	3	3	3/1
Beautiful Dawn	15/2	13/2	6	6	13/2
Anvika	8/1	8	7	8	8
Manhattan Dreamer	8	9	15/2	15/2	9
Abiding Star	14	12	12	12	14
Limoncello Lady	18	14	14	14	16/1
Katie Bairdie	18	18	18	20/1	20/1
Blame Thechampagne	20	20	20	20	22
Valkyrja	16	18	18	18	18
Excilla	50/1	33	33	40/1	40/1
Pocket Paralysis	66	80	50	66/1	66
Mary Bagot	80	80	50	80/1	80
Sophia Klimt	250	200	150	200	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Back Down Under

26.3

OR: 7 Form: 10.4 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Clarita

13.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Anvika

13.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Blame Thechampagne

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Beautiful Dawn

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Manhattan Dreamer

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

Abiding Star

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Limoncello Lady

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Valkyrja

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Katie Bairdie

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Excilla

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Pocket Paralysis

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

Mary Bagot

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Sophia Klimt

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250

Lorr's Girl

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Back Down Under	78	92	—
Clarita	76	88	24
Blame Thechampagne	73	80	71
Anvika	71	83	31
Beautiful Dawn	—	—	—
Manhattan Dreamer	—	—	—
Abiding Star	—	70	51
Limoncello Lady	—	69	—
Katie Bairdie	—	—	—
Valkyrja	—	—	—
Excilla	—	44	—
Pocket Paralysis	—	—	—
Mary Bagot	—	73	—
Sophia Klimt	—	39	—
Lorr's Girl	—	49	24

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Abiding Star	14d ago	Fit
Lorr's Girl	14d ago	Fit
Clarita	21d ago	Fit
Mary Bagot	21d ago	Fit
Anvika	30d ago	Fit
Blame Thechampagne	35d ago	Fit
Sophia Klimt	44d ago	Fit
Back Down Under	48d ago	Fresh
Limoncello Lady	58d ago	Fresh
Excilla	84d ago	Fresh
Beautiful Dawn	—	—
Manhattan Dreamer	—	—
Katie Bairdie	—	—
Valkyrja	—	—
Pocket Paralysis	—	—