Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap (Rider Restricted Race) (Div I)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:00

Date 2023-12-04

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 28.87s (slow by 2.87s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Angel Amadea (GB) Morgan Cole · Rebecca Menzies	9/2	Won
2nd	Outreach (GB) Joey Haynes · Mark Usher	4/1	3.25
2nd	Midnight Flame (IRE) William Cox · Joe Ponting	18/1	0
4th	Bear To Dream (IRE) William Carson · Michael Attwater	9/1	0.3
5th	Kenstone (FR) Ethan Jones · Adrian Wintle	11/2	0.3
6th	Lady Amanda (IRE) Liam Keniry · Richard Hannon	40/1	.5
7th	Written Broadcast (IRE) Brandon Wilkie · Ollie Pears	100/30F	0.3
8th	Miss Calculation (IRE) George Rooke · Stella Barclay	11/1	0.3
8th	Rockonmecca (IRE) Faye McManoman · Michael Dods	50/1	0
10th	Round The Island (GB) Phil Dennis · Simon Whitaker	40/1	1.5
11th	Last Date (GB) Dougie Costello · Ivan Furtado	10/1	5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Written Broadcast Grey J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Ollie Pears	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Ollie Pears	135	b	388972	55	71	55	16d	—	—	-9	12.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Latest effort took Wolverhampton form figures to 2112; solid chance off same mark
6 (6)	Kenstone Grey J:Ethan Jones(7) T:Adrian Wintle	J:Ethan Jones(7) T:Adrian Wintle	132	p	325732	52	67	56	20d	—	—	-1	12.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
In-form veteran who went close at this track the last twice; won this race in 2016
9 (4)	Outreach Grey J:Joey Haynes T:Mark Usher	J:Joey Haynes T:Mark Usher	130	—	045626	50	69	58	18d	—	—	-6	7.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
3yo maiden who ties in with Kenstone on C&D running two starts ago; possibilities
4 (11)	Angel Amadea Grey J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Rebecca Menzies	133	t	888036	53	66	34	31d	—	—	-8	7.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
6f winner here in February; placed over 7f at Newcastle two starts ago
11 (9)	Bear To Dream Bay J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	J:William Carson T:Michael Attwater	129	—	236955	49	68	51	16d	—	—	-6	3.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
0-10 on AW; however, wasn't disgraced over C&D most recently
3 (7)	Miss Calculation Bay J:George Rooke T:Stella Barclay	J:George Rooke T:Stella Barclay	134	—	560057	54	69	-	16d	—	—	-6	3.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
C&D scorer off 3lb higher in January; likely player if back to that form
8 (1)	Last Date Brown J:Dougie Costello T:Ivan Furtado	J:Dougie Costello T:Ivan Furtado	131	v	583247	51	68	51	18d	—	—	-2	6	2.50/1	11 9%
Has something to prove away from ideal venue Chelmsford
12 (5)	Midnight Flame Grey J:William Cox T:Joe Ponting	J:William Cox T:Joe Ponting	129	—	799063	49	66	40	12d	—	—	0	4.2	4.75/1	20 5%
3yo maiden; holds place claims if backing up latest effort (third over 6f here)
7 (3)	Round The Island Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Simon Whitaker	J:Phil Dennis T:Simon Whitaker	132	p	037869	52	63	-	56d	—	—	-3	2.5	5.25/1	22 5%
Inconsistent on turf this year; sole AW win came in 2016
5 (10)	Lady Amanda Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Richard Hannon	J:Liam Keniry T:Richard Hannon	133	b	0-7860	53	65	48	14d	—	—	-2	1.7	6.75/1	28 4%
Has failed to build on Kempton win; first-time headgear needs to help
NR (12)	Kananga Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Craig Lidster	J:NON-RUNNER T:Craig Lidster	135	—	7059	55	-	-	20d	—	—	-49	21.3	—	—
0-4; possibly needed latest run (back from layoff); may be capable of better
10 (8)	Rockonmecca Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Michael Dods	J:Faye McManoman T:Michael Dods	130	—	332700	50	70	26	15d	—	—	0	2.7	16.25/1	66 2%
Pair of duck eggs since switched to AW; something to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Written Broadcast	11/4	3	11/4	5/2	11/4
Kenstone	11/2	11/2	5	11/2	11/2
Outreach	6	6	5	11/2	11/2
Angel Amadea	5	5	5/1	9/2	5
Bear To Dream	15/2	9	8	8	17/2
Miss Calculation	8	17/2	8/1	7	15/2
Last Date	10	11	9	10	10
Midnight Flame	20	20	18	20	20
Round The Island	22	20	20/1	18	20
Lady Amanda	28	28	25/1	25	25
Kananga	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Rockonmecca	66	40	33	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kananga

21.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Written Broadcast

12.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Kenstone

12.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 8.1 Odds: 4

11/2

Angel Amadea

7.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Outreach

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Last Date

OR: 0.3 Form: 3.4 Odds: 2.4

Midnight Flame

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

Miss Calculation

3.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Bear To Dream

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Rockonmecca

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.6

Round The Island

2.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.4

Lady Amanda

1.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Written Broadcast	55	71	55
Kananga	55	—	—
Miss Calculation	54	69	—
Angel Amadea	53	66	34
Lady Amanda	53	65	48
Kenstone	52	67	56
Round The Island	52	63	—
Last Date	51	68	51
Outreach	50	69	58
Rockonmecca	50	70	26
Bear To Dream	49	68	51
Midnight Flame	49	66	40

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Midnight Flame	12d ago	Quick return
Lady Amanda	14d ago	Fit
Rockonmecca	15d ago	Fit
Written Broadcast	16d ago	Fit
Bear To Dream	16d ago	Fit
Miss Calculation	16d ago	Fit
Outreach	18d ago	Fit
Last Date	18d ago	Fit
Kenstone	20d ago	Fit
Kananga	20d ago	Fit
Angel Amadea	31d ago	Fit
Round The Island	56d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.