Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Maiden Stakes (Rider Restricted Race) (GBB Race)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:00

Date 2023-12-04

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,104

Winning Time 1m 29.44s (slow by 3.44s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Smoky Mountain (IRE) Trevor Whelan · Charlie Fellowes	4/11F	Won
2nd	Lewis Barnes (GB) Laura Coughlan · John Butler	66/1	4
3rd	Hombre (IRE) Joey Haynes · Joseph Parr	15/2	0.1
4th	Arika (USA) Sorin Moldoveanu · Jane Chapple-Hyam	4/1	0.2
5th	Rocklyn (IRE) Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	33/1	2.5
6th	Pierrefonds (GB) Pierre-Louis Jamin · Jack Jones	14/1	3
7th	Eadha (IRE) Josephine Gordon · Phil McEntee	66/1	.5
8th	Button Bay (IRE) Molly Gunn · Jack Jones	100/1	.75
9th	Mark The Sparks (GB) William Carson · Bill Turner	125/1	.75
10th	Tayanna (GB) Harry Burns · John Butler	28/1	.75
11th	Amenadiel (GB) Jonathan Fisher · Derek Shaw	150/1	8

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (4)	Smoky Mountain Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Trevor Whelan T:Charlie Fellowes	133	—	422	77	86	33	220d	—	—	-25	35.3	0.11/1	4/9 69%
Frankel gelding who has made a consistent start to his career; holds strong claims
2 (6)	Arika Bay J:Sorin Moldoveanu(7) T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Sorin Moldoveanu(7) T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	133	—	25-	-	83	-	489d	—	—	-7	7.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has to overcome 16-month absence but holds place possibilities on form
NR (9)	Alexandretta Bay J:Jack Gilligan T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Jack Gilligan T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	128	—	23-223	76	90	44	109d	—	—	-18	17.9	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Holds a major chance on ratings but looks a frustrating sort; caution is advised
3 (10)	Hombre Grey J:Joey Haynes T:Joseph Parr	J:Joey Haynes T:Joseph Parr	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
5,000gns 3yo; by Havana Grey; one of three newcomers in the field; market helpful
6 (3)	Pierrefonds Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Jack Jones	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Jack Jones	133	h	7	-	64	29	10d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.25/1	14 7%
Never figured, having blown the start, at Southwell switched to this code
12 (8)	Tayanna Chestnut J:Harry Burns(3) T:John Butler	J:Harry Burns(3) T:John Butler	128	—	68	-	78	49	18d	—	—	-3	1.2	6.75/1	28 4%
Seemed to show promise on belated debut; lesser effort later in November
11 (12)	Rocklyn Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	6.00/1	25 4%
£20,000 yearling; New Bay half-sister to two winners; market instructive
10 (2)	Eadha Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	9.75/1	40 3%
Debutante who is from a good family; check the betting
4 (1)	Lewis Barnes Chestnut J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:John Butler	J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:John Butler	133	—	9	-	51	-	21d	—	—	-1	0.5	12.25/1	50 2%
Down the field in 8.5f contest here last month on belated debut
9 (11)	Button Bay Bay J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Jack Jones	J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Jack Jones	128	—	87	-	55	35	18d	—	—	-1	0.4	24.75/1	100 1%
Handicaps more suitable shortly
5 (5)	Mark The Sparks Bay J:William Carson T:Bill Turner	J:William Carson T:Bill Turner	133	—	7	-	17	-	216d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.25/1	150 1%
Absent since inauspicious debut a Brighton seven months ago
1 (7)	Amenadiel Bay J:Jonathan Fisher(5) T:Derek Shaw	J:Jonathan Fisher(5) T:Derek Shaw	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	37.25/1	150 1%
Unpromising debut in Huntingdon bumper nine days ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Smoky Mountain	2/5	4/9	2/5	4/11	2/5
Arika	5	11/2	5	5	9/2
Alexandretta	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4	SP
Hombre	7	13/2	6	13/2	13/2
Pierrefonds	14	14	12	12	14
Tayanna	28	18	16	18	20
Rocklyn	25	20	20	20	22
Eadha	40	33	40	33	40
Lewis Barnes	50	50	50	50	50
Button Bay	100	66	50	66	66
Mark The Sparks	150	125	125	125	125
Amenadiel	150	100	80	100	100

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Smoky Mountain

35.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 20

4/9

2nd

Alexandretta

17.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

5/4

3rd

Arika

7.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4

11/2

Hombre

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Pierrefonds

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

Tayanna

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Rocklyn

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Eadha

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

Lewis Barnes

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

Button Bay

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100

Amenadiel

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150

Mark The Sparks

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Smoky Mountain	77	86	33
Alexandretta	76	90	44
Arika	—	83	—
Hombre	—	—	—
Pierrefonds	—	64	29
Tayanna	—	78	49
Rocklyn	—	—	—
Eadha	—	—	—
Lewis Barnes	—	51	—
Button Bay	—	55	35
Mark The Sparks	—	17	—
Amenadiel	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pierrefonds	10d ago	Quick return
Tayanna	18d ago	Fit
Button Bay	18d ago	Fit
Lewis Barnes	21d ago	Fit
Alexandretta	109d ago	Long break
Mark The Sparks	216d ago	Long break
Smoky Mountain	220d ago	Long break
Arika	489d ago	Long break
Hombre	—	—
Rocklyn	—	—
Eadha	—	—
Amenadiel	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.