Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Nursery Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

13:30

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-12-05

Distance 5f6y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,140

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (1)	Musical Diva Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:David O'Meara	J:NON-RUNNER T:David O'Meara	116	v	658849	46	72	-	18d	—	—	-50	20	—	—
0-8 but ran well at Newcastle last month and had excuses there last time; non-runner
2 (5)	Relentless Warrior Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	135	—	02640	65	72	-	136d	—	—	-22	18.6	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Not seen since outclassed at Newbury in July; market may guide on nursery/AW debut
NR (8)	Torvar Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:David O'Meara	J:NON-RUNNER T:David O'Meara	133	p	435381	63	73	-	14d	—	—	-35	35.4	—	—
Led close home to open account at Wolverhampton last month; non-runner
5 (7)	The Liegeman Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	133	—	6643	63	72	70	18d	—	—	-8	12	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Third off this mark on last month's nursery debut at Newcastle, and that form looks solid
1 (10)	Rogue Rosie Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Tom Clover	J:Robert Havlin T:Tom Clover	135	—	222344	65	71	58	42d	—	—	-4	12.8	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Consistent filly who has dropped 2lb since finishing fourth at Wolverhampton last time
8 (4)	Via Blanca Grey J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Amy Murphy	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Amy Murphy	123	h	8872	53	72	69	26d	—	—	-1	8.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Went down fighting on last month's nursery debut; drops back from 6f today
6 (6)	Sea Of Angels Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Williams	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Williams	131	—	4098	61	66	54	11d	—	—	-2	4.7	2.75/1	12 8%
Never dangerous over 6f on nursery debut and needs to learn to settle better
3 (2)	Toosha Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Gay Kelleway	J:Finley Marsh T:Gay Kelleway	134	p	42609	64	71	-	70d	—	—	+1	6.4	3.75/1	16 6%
Soundly beaten on stable debut in September; makes AW/nursery debut with a bit to prove
10 (9)	Flemish Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Tom Ward	J:Hayley Turner T:Tom Ward	115	t	065563	45	67	57	14d	—	—	0	4	6.00/1	25 4%
Kept on for third at Wolverhampton last month but is 0-8 now; more is needed
7 (3)	Talking Rubbish Bay J:Anna Gibson(7) T:Peter Crate	J:Anna Gibson(7) T:Peter Crate	127	—	53685	57	71	53	26d	—	—	+1	3.4	8.00/1	33 3%
Respectable fifth in Chelmsford nursery last month but others appeal more here

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Musical Diva	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
Relentless Warrior	11/8	6/5	5/4	5/4	5/4
Torvar	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP
The Liegeman	7/2	3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Rogue Rosie	9/2	5	5	5/1	5
Via Blanca	8	15/2	17/2	8	8
Sea Of Angels	12	11	11	11	12
Toosha	16	14/1	16	16	16
Flemish	25	20/1	22	20	22
Talking Rubbish	33	25/1	28	25	28

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Torvar

35.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Musical Diva

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 20

—

3rd

Relentless Warrior

18.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 13.3

11/8

Rogue Rosie

12.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 4 Odds: 5

5/1

The Liegeman

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Via Blanca

8.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Toosha

6.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

Sea Of Angels

4.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

Flemish

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1

Talking Rubbish

3.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Relentless Warrior	65	72	—
Rogue Rosie	65	71	58
Toosha	64	71	—
Torvar	63	73	—
The Liegeman	63	72	70
Sea Of Angels	61	66	54
Talking Rubbish	57	71	53
Via Blanca	53	72	69
Musical Diva	46	72	—
Flemish	45	67	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sea Of Angels	11d ago	Quick return
Torvar	14d ago	Fit
Flemish	14d ago	Fit
Musical Diva	18d ago	Fit
The Liegeman	18d ago	Fit
Via Blanca	26d ago	Fit
Talking Rubbish	26d ago	Fit
Rogue Rosie	42d ago	Fit
Toosha	70d ago	Fresh
Relentless Warrior	136d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
The Liegeman	Prominent
Sea Of Angels	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 10 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 5f6y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.