Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

14:10

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2023-12-06

Distance 7f1y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £8,208

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (7)	Aratus Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Clive Cox	J:Jim Crowley T:Clive Cox	134	h	603-02	94	109	88	30d	—	—	-12	21.7	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Good second with hood added at Kempton and he looks interesting on this drop back in grade
5 (1)	Zaman Jemil Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Oisin Murphy T:Harry & Roger Charlton	130	—	316264	90	107	69	15d	—	—	+1	20.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Dual 6f winner but he didn't fire on AW last time and still has bit to prove at this trip
3 (8)	Sterling Knight Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Ed Dunlop	131	—	007551	91	110	88	14d	—	—	+9	24.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Finished well to win under Morgan Cole at Wolverhampton latest; respected off 4lb higher
6 (2)	Mitrosonfire Grey J:Robert Havlin T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Robert Havlin T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	127	—	452396	87	108	79	35d	—	—	+4	15.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Plenty of good efforts this year but losing run is now up to 16 and others are preferred
4 (5)	Documenting Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Kevin Frost	J:Jack Mitchell T:Kevin Frost	130	—	055763	90	113	92	23d	—	—	+7	15.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
10yo is 4-11 here and was a good third at Wolverhampton last time; in the mix
8 (6)	Intervention Bay J:Harry Davies T:Michael Appleby	J:Harry Davies T:Michael Appleby	118	h	642731	78	108	100	22d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+16	22.5	2.50/1	11 9%
Recorded his seventh AW win when making all at Wolverhampton latest; respected up 4lb
1 (4)	Stone Soldier Chestnut J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Richard Fahey	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Richard Fahey	137	p	730-26	97	104	69	30d	—	—	+9	12.8	5.25/1	22 5%
Six AW wins but he didn't fire at Kempton last month on his second run after a year off
NR (3)	Amber Island Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:David Loughnane	J:NON-RUNNER T:David Loughnane	124	b	015087	84	-	-	11d	—	—	-40	30.5	—	—
Disappointing since her turf win in June and was last over C&D last time; non-runner

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Aratus	7/4	13/8	13/8	11/8	6/4
Zaman Jemil	3	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Sterling Knight	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	5
Mitrosonfire	13/2	6	13/2	13/2	13/2
Documenting	9	17/2	9	8	17/2
Intervention	11	11	10	10	10
Stone Soldier	22	18	18	18	18
Amber Island	SP	SP	SP	SP	SP

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Amber Island

30.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 2 Odds: 20

—

2nd

Sterling Knight

24.7

OR: 10.3 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Intervention

22.5

OR: 7 Form: 13.6 Odds: 1.9

Aratus

21.7

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 10.7

7/4

Zaman Jemil

20.2

OR: 10 Form: 4.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Mitrosonfire

15.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Documenting

15.5

OR: 10 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Stone Soldier

12.8

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Stone Soldier	97	104	69
Aratus	94	109	88
Sterling Knight	91	110	88
Zaman Jemil	90	107	69
Documenting	90	113	92
Mitrosonfire	87	108	79
Amber Island	84	—	—
Intervention	78	108	100

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Amber Island	11d ago	Quick return
Sterling Knight	14d ago	Fit
Zaman Jemil	15d ago	Fit
Intervention	22d ago	Fit
Documenting	23d ago	Fit
Aratus	30d ago	Fit
Stone Soldier	30d ago	Fit
Mitrosonfire	35d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 7f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.