Rhino.Bet Handicap Chase – Market Rasen

Market Rasen

14:50

Rhino.Bet Handicap Chase

Date 2023-12-07

Distance 2m3f34y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,225

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Supasunrise Bay J:Finn Lambert(5) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Finn Lambert(5) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	155	p	856-31	87	106	95	29d	—	—	-10	17.7	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Huntingdon and Warwick 2m4f chase scorer off 4lb lower for same rider; bit more needed
3	Hard Frost Bay J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	157	tp	26224-	89	106	91	224d	—	—	0	24	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Multiple near misses last term, two of them chases; still looks to be on a workable mark
2	Jack Doyen Bay J:Harry Bannister T:Ben Case	J:Harry Bannister T:Ben Case	160	tp	8331-P	92	106	79	35d	—	—	-3	16.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Warwick win off just 2lb lower in March (2m4f, soft) came in the returning cheekpieces
6	Caro Des Flos Bay J:Ciaran Gethings T:Julian Smith	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Julian Smith	150	—	4-5431	82	104	85	21d	—	—	-2	12	1.00/1	5 20%
Easy winner over further here latest; third in this race off 14lb higher on soft in 2021
1	Cokytho Bay J:Kielan Woods T:Alex Hales	J:Kielan Woods T:Alex Hales	168	t	42P5P-	100	102	74	241d	—	—	+6	14.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Mark and ground both fine, but could be this trip is still a shade further than optimum
5	Baghdad Central Brown J:Charlie Hammond T:Nick Kent	J:Charlie Hammond T:Nick Kent	155	—	/P71-3	87	-	-	206d	—	—	+7	14.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Only 2lb higher than for April's Carlisle hurdles win; doesn't always settle; chase debut
7	Enforcement Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Martin Keighley	J:Sean Bowen T:Martin Keighley	142	p	1/0-5P	74	96	55	30d	—	—	+9	11.8	6.75/1	28 4%
Not at his best on the three starts he's been limited to these past two and a half years

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Supasunrise	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Hard Frost	11/4	11/4	11/4	3	3/1
Jack Doyen	4	4	7/2	4	4
Caro Des Flos	5	5	5	5	5
Cokytho	8	10	10	10	10/1
Baghdad Central	11	10	11	10	10
Enforcement	28	25	25	25	25

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hard Frost

OR: 9.8 Form: 7 Odds: 7.3

3/1

2nd

Supasunrise

17.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

3rd

Jack Doyen

16.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Cokytho

14.9

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Baghdad Central

14.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

Caro Des Flos

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

Enforcement

11.8

OR: 6 Form: 5 Odds: 0.8

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cokytho	100	102	74
Jack Doyen	92	106	79
Hard Frost	89	106	91
Supasunrise	87	106	95
Baghdad Central	87	—	—
Caro Des Flos	82	104	85
Enforcement	74	96	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Caro Des Flos	21d ago	Fit
Supasunrise	29d ago	Fit
Enforcement	30d ago	Fit
Jack Doyen	35d ago	Fit
Baghdad Central	206d ago	Long break
Hard Frost	224d ago	Long break
Cokytho	241d ago	Long break