BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:07

BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Handicap

Date 2023-12-07

Distance 1m3f23y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Winning Time 2m 26.77s (slow by 7.87s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Tortured Soul (GB) Clifford Lee · Tony Carroll	6/1	Won
2nd	Uther Pendragon (IRE) Taylor Fisher · J S Moore	8/1	0.2
3rd	Have You A Minute (GB) John Fahy · Tom Tate	5/1	0.2
4th	Casa Luna (IRE) David Egan · Philip Kirby	7/2F	4
5th	Duveen (GB) William Carson · Anthony Carson	15/2	1.5
6th	Perthshire (IRE) George Bass · Mark Usher	17/2	0.3
7th	Kovu (GB) Dale Swift · Peter Niven	40/1	1.5
8th	Debby's Delight (GB) Kieran Shoemark · Ed Dunlop	5/1	1.25
9th	Captain St Lucifer (GB) William Carver · Suzzanne France	33/1	.5
10th	Private Bryan (GB) Liam Wright · Ed de Giles	11/1	1.5
11th	Persian Wolf (IRE) Cam Hardie · David C Griffiths	125/1	9.5
12th	Raffles Rebel (GB) Ryan Sexton · Philip Kirby	25/1	15

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (10)	Casa Luna Bay J:David Egan T:Philip Kirby	J:David Egan T:Philip Kirby	129	—	732652	47	65	56	18d	—	—	-4	11.5	0.75/1	4 25%
Back to some form when second at Newcastle (1m2f) on latest start but she's now 0-17
9 (7)	Tortured Soul Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	128	—	789438	49	65	-	38d	—	0W/2P 3 runs	-11	7.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
0-7 but made the frame in large-field Irish handicaps at 1m2f/1m4f on turf; considered
12 (8)	Have You A Minute Bay J:John Fahy T:Tom Tate	J:John Fahy T:Tom Tate	126	—	566275	47	64	-	78d	—	—	-7	6.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Close second at Beverley (1m2f, heavy) in July is the clear pick of his nine races
1 (9)	Perthshire Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	135	—	7246/5	53	67	18	17d	—	—	-8	4.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Absent for over two years before his promising fifth of 14 at Kempton (1m4f) 17 days ago
10 (4)	Debby's Delight Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ed Dunlop	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ed Dunlop	128	—	0954	49	63	49	42d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.00/1	9 11%
Closer at Wolverhampton (1m4f) on handicap debut and may be able to build on that display
2 (11)	Uther Pendragon Bay J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:J S Moore	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:J S Moore	131	p	164720	49	68	-	66d	—	—	-3	6	2.25/1	10 10%
Hit form with quickfire hat-trick at almost this time last year; nose 2nd two runs ago
6 (3)	Duveen Bay J:William Carson T:Anthony Carson	J:William Carson T:Anthony Carson	129	—	343626	50	66	54	21d	—	—	-1	6.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
0-10 but has done enough over 1m4f, including at Wolverhampton, to hold place chance
11 (5)	Private Bryan Bay J:Liam Wright(7) T:Ed de Giles	J:Liam Wright(7) T:Ed de Giles	128	h	369672	46	65	40	21d	—	—	0	6.9	2.50/1	11 9%
0-15 but his best was second of 13 under Liam Wright at Chelmsford (1m2f) last time
7 (6)	Raffles Rebel Chestnut J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Philip Kirby	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Philip Kirby	129	p	5-2200	47	66	-	51d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.25/1	18 6%
20-race maiden but a case can be made with this step back up from 7f/1m
4 (12)	Captain St Lucifer Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Suzzanne France	J:William Carver(3) T:Suzzanne France	129	t	286828	47	68	49	42d	—	—	+1	4.4	8.00/1	33 3%
1-34; five 2nds at Wolverhampton, including penultimate start; more to prove beyond 1m2f
8 (1)	Kovu Bay J:Dale Swift T:Peter Niven	J:Dale Swift T:Peter Niven	129	—	609060	50	54	-	70d	—	—	-2	0.7	9.75/1	40 3%
Eight-race maiden who hasn't offered a great deal lately, last two outings at 1m4f/1m6f
5 (2)	Persian Wolf Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:David C Griffiths	J:Cam Hardie T:David C Griffiths	129	p	202550	47	67	61	18d	—	—	+1	1.8	24.75/1	100 1%
5yo who has won just two of his 38 starts; did not show much 18 days ago on stable debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Casa Luna	4	4	4	4	4
Tortured Soul	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2
Have You A Minute	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Perthshire	6	6	11/2	6	6
Debby's Delight	9	8	8	8	8
Uther Pendragon	10	9	15/2	9	9
Duveen	10	10	9	10	10/1
Private Bryan	11	11	11	10	11
Raffles Rebel	16	18	14	18	18
Captain St Lucifer	33	28	22	28	28
Kovu	40	40	33	40	40
Persian Wolf	100	80	66	80	80

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Casa Luna

11.5

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4.4

2nd

Tortured Soul

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Private Bryan

6.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

Duveen

6.5

OR: 0 Form: 4.4 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Have You A Minute

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Uther Pendragon

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.5

Captain St Lucifer

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.9

Perthshire

4.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Debby's Delight

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

Persian Wolf

1.8

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.3

100

Raffles Rebel

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Kovu

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Perthshire	53	67	18
Duveen	50	66	54
Kovu	50	54	—
Tortured Soul	49	65	—
Debby's Delight	49	63	49
Uther Pendragon	49	68	—
Casa Luna	47	65	56
Have You A Minute	47	64	—
Raffles Rebel	47	66	—
Captain St Lucifer	47	68	49
Persian Wolf	47	67	61
Private Bryan	46	65	40

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Perthshire	17d ago	Fit
Casa Luna	18d ago	Fit
Persian Wolf	18d ago	Fit
Duveen	21d ago	Fit
Private Bryan	21d ago	Fit
Tortured Soul	38d ago	Fit
Debby's Delight	42d ago	Fit
Captain St Lucifer	42d ago	Fit
Raffles Rebel	51d ago	Fresh
Uther Pendragon	66d ago	Fresh
Kovu	70d ago	Fresh
Have You A Minute	78d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m3f23y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.