Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Div II)

Southwell (AW)

11:42

Date 2023-12-07

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,978

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Martin's Brig Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:David Thompson	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:David Thompson	134	b	288832	53	72	30	18d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-8	14.5	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Infrequent winner but 2-3 on Tapeta here and kept finding to finish close up at Newcastle
9 (12)	Coconut Bay Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Tristan Davidson	J:Andrew Mullen T:Tristan Davidson	126	—	964834	45	64	44	31d	—	—	-6	5.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
It was a good run to be close up over 9.4f at Wolverhampton a month ago
7 (4)	Calleveryoneuknow Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Amy Murphy	J:Clifford Lee T:Amy Murphy	129	p	606367	49	68	58	16d	—	—	-8	5.1	1.25/1	6 17%
Has shown enough to believe she can win a race of this nature; wide trip last time
2 (9)	Key Look Chestnut J:Shane Gray T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Shane Gray T:Geoffrey Harker	135	hp	077713	54	69	38	18d	—	—	+2	14.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
First and third in two 7f handicaps since rejoining this yard; should be fine at 1m
5 (2)	Advantage Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	133	—	756	53	63	32	22d	—	—	-5	3.1	2.25/1	10 10%
Modest sprint form and wouldn't be a certain stayer over this far on handicap debut
11 (7)	Ebury Chestnut J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(5) T:Scott Dixon	126	—	664995	45	72	52	44d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.25/1	10 10%
Has form here but has been struggling on his more recent starts
3 (5)	Tea Sea Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	135	b	070-72	55	60	-	80d	—	—	-5	3.5	2.00/1	9 11%
Second in a Brighton maiden last time and the winner has gone on to better things
6 (8)	Sea The Buckthorn Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Mark Usher	J:Charles Bishop T:Mark Usher	130	h	058077	50	70	59	23d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.00/1	9 11%
Has dropped 16lb since switch to handicaps and that tells its own tale; opposable for now
1 (11)	Kananga Bay J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(5) T:Craig Lidster	135	—	7059	55	64	12	23d	—	—	-2	2.6	4.75/1	20 5%
Possibly needed handicap debut run on return from a layoff and remains unexposed
12 (10)	Techno Lady Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	125	—	0-8749	45	64	45	30d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.25/1	22 5%
Trying 1m for the first time when fourth at Wolverhampton but she's very up and down
10 (3)	Foshan Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Adam Nicol	J:Duran Fentiman T:Adam Nicol	126	b	3-0830	45	63	38	22d	—	—	-1	3.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Ten-race maiden who stays further but was third over Newcastle's 1m on his penultimate run
8 (1)	Stoney Lane Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Simon Whitaker	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Simon Whitaker	128	p	183029	47	65	48	44d	—	—	+3	5.1	12.25/1	50 2%
Lost a shoe when tailed off here last time but had previously run well at Newcastle

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Martin's Brig	3	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Coconut Bay	6	13/2	11/2	13/2	13/2
Calleveryoneuknow	6	6	5	6	6
Key Look	13/2	7	7	7	6/1
Advantage	10	9	9	10	10
Ebury	10	9	8	9	9
Tea Sea	9	9	9	9	9
Sea The Buckthorn	9	9	8	9	9
Kananga	18	20	14	20	20
Techno Lady	20	22	18	22	22
Foshan	25	22	18	25	25/1
Stoney Lane	50	40	28	40	40

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Key Look

14.6

OR: 1 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

13/2

2nd

Martin's Brig

14.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Coconut Bay

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Calleveryoneuknow

5.1

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.6

Stoney Lane

5.1

OR: 0 Form: 4.4 Odds: 0.7

Tea Sea

3.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

Foshan

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Advantage

3.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Kananga

2.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

Ebury

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Sea The Buckthorn

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

Techno Lady

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tea Sea	55	60	—
Kananga	55	64	12
Key Look	54	69	38
Martin's Brig	53	72	30
Advantage	53	63	32
Sea The Buckthorn	50	70	59
Calleveryoneuknow	49	68	58
Stoney Lane	47	65	48
Coconut Bay	45	64	44
Ebury	45	72	52
Techno Lady	45	64	45
Foshan	45	63	38

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Calleveryoneuknow	16d ago	Fit
Martin's Brig	18d ago	Fit
Key Look	18d ago	Fit
Advantage	22d ago	Fit
Foshan	22d ago	Fit
Sea The Buckthorn	23d ago	Fit
Kananga	23d ago	Fit
Techno Lady	30d ago	Fit
Coconut Bay	31d ago	Fit
Ebury	44d ago	Fit
Stoney Lane	44d ago	Fit
Tea Sea	80d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Martin's Brig	Prominent
Coconut Bay	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.