Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap (Div I) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:45

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-12-08

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (8)	Sir Maxi Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	135	—	204171	75	86	62	27d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+10	26	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has won two of his last three starts including a Class 4 over C&D latest; key player
4 (10)	Cold Stare Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	135	tp	321504	75	88	60	27d	—	—	+1	13.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Eyecatcher behind Sir Maxi over C&D last time and has claims if he can build on that
5 (2)	Chifa Grey J:Liam Wright(7) T:Ed de Giles	J:Liam Wright(7) T:Ed de Giles	134	—	851521	74	87	76	23d	—	—	+12	26.9	1.00/1	5 20%
Improver who won in emphatic style at Kempton last time; respected off 9lb higher here
2 (1)	Souffionne Chestnut J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	135	t	41	75	83	28	31d	—	—	+8	19.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Unexposed 3yo who won over C&D last month; respected on handicap debut
6 (4)	Abbey's Dream Bay J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Archie Watson	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:Archie Watson	133	p	241202	73	88	78	24d	—	—	+9	19.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Has had a win and two seconds on Tapeta in her last four starts; in the mix again
9 (6)	Port Erin Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Linda Stubbs	J:Joanna Mason T:Linda Stubbs	132	—	132186	72	84	79	18d	—	—	+6	15.1	1.75/1	8 13%
Still has potential but he needs to resume his progress on this drop back in trip
11 (5)	Bowood Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Katie Scott	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Katie Scott	130	p	976925	70	86	58	23d	—	—	+2	10.9	2.50/1	11 9%
Still lightly raced but he needs to step up again on this drop back in trip; headgear on
1 (9)	Kalganov Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Michael Dods	J:Phil Dennis T:Michael Dods	135	p	211075	75	86	56	14d	—	—	+6	13.4	2.50/1	11 9%
Drops back in trip/grade but needs firt-time cheekpieces to give him a boost
12 (3)	Rich Rhythm Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Harriet Bethell	J:Cam Hardie T:Harriet Bethell	129	p	422620	69	87	70	14d	—	—	+8	11.8	4.75/1	20 5%
Runner-up in three of his last five starts but he's now 1-13 and others look stronger
10 (12)	Anif Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	131	—	154340	71	87	54	132d	—	—	+4	7.8	6.00/1	25 4%
Eight-time Tapeta winner; on dangerous mark but he needs to revive after a break
8 (7)	Surprise Picture Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:Grant Tuer	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Grant Tuer	132	v	412950	72	86	72	24d	—	—	+6	10	6.00/1	25 4%
Three wins this year but he needs to bounce back after a heavy defeat last time
7 (11)	Flylikeaneagle Bay J:Shane Gray T:Lucinda Russell	J:Shane Gray T:Lucinda Russell	132	tb	-14987	72	84	-	118d	—	—	+6	8	16.25/1	66 2%
Lost his way since his win in April and has plenty to prove back from a break

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Unibet	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes
Sir Maxi	9/2	4	4	4	4
Cold Stare	11/2	5	5	5	11/2
Chifa	4	5	5	5	5
Souffionne	7	13/2	11/2	13/2	13/2
Abbey's Dream	15/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Port Erin	8	8	8	8	8
Bowood	11	10	10	10	10
Kalganov	11	10	10	10	10
Rich Rhythm	20	20	20	20	20
Anif	18	22	22	22	25
Surprise Picture	20	25	25	25	22
Flylikeaneagle	66	50	50	50	50

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Chifa

26.9

OR: 6 Form: 16.5 Odds: 4.4

2nd

Sir Maxi

OR: 6.3 Form: 15 Odds: 4.7

9/2

3rd

Souffionne

19.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Abbey's Dream

19.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 10.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Port Erin

15.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.5

Cold Stare

13.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 4 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Kalganov

13.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

Rich Rhythm

11.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 6 Odds: 1.1

Bowood

10.9

OR: 5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

Surprise Picture

OR: 5.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1

Flylikeaneagle

OR: 5.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0.5

Anif

7.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sir Maxi	75	86	62
Cold Stare	75	88	60
Souffionne	75	83	28
Kalganov	75	86	56
Chifa	74	87	76
Abbey's Dream	73	88	78
Port Erin	72	84	79
Surprise Picture	72	86	72
Flylikeaneagle	72	84	—
Anif	71	87	54
Bowood	70	86	58
Rich Rhythm	69	87	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kalganov	14d ago	Fit
Rich Rhythm	14d ago	Fit
Port Erin	18d ago	Fit
Chifa	23d ago	Fit
Bowood	23d ago	Fit
Abbey's Dream	24d ago	Fit
Surprise Picture	24d ago	Fit
Sir Maxi	27d ago	Fit
Cold Stare	27d ago	Fit
Souffionne	31d ago	Fit
Flylikeaneagle	118d ago	Long break
Anif	132d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.