Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:30

Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Handicap

Date 2023-12-09

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 2

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £13,190

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (6)	To Catch A Thief Bay J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher(3) T:William Haggas	118	—	531	84	114	57	37d	—	—	-7	34.1	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Emphatic win at Wolverhampton last month and he looks on a good opening mark; big player
3 (3)	Onesmoothoperator Brown J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	128	—	972751	92	111	72	28d	—	—	+11	26.4	0.75/1	4 25%
Overcame trouble when ending a losing run here (1m4f) last time; up 3lb back in trip
1 (8)	Sir Busker Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:William Knight	J:Callum Shepherd T:William Knight	138	v	290797	102	111	52	21d	—	—	+5	16.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
7yo who is not the force he used to be and has some work to do back in a handicap
7 (7)	Afterwards Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ollie Pears	J:James Sullivan T:Ollie Pears	119	—	215	85	103	84	212d	—	—	+12	20.6	2.00/1	9 11%
Unexposed 3yo who is back in calmer waters for this handicap debut; one to keep an eye on
2 (9)	Felix Chestnut J:P J McDonald T:Marco Botti	J:P J McDonald T:Marco Botti	134	tp	83-793	98	112	27	30d	—	—	+6	14.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Back from a break with a good third in tactical race at Chelmsford last month; dangerous
6 (1)	Zozimus Bay J:Joanna Mason T:David O'Meara	J:Joanna Mason T:David O'Meara	121	hp	622048	85	111	80	24d	—	—	+6	13.2	2.75/1	12 8%
Just one win from 27 starts and he didn't fire here last time; others preferred
8 (4)	Island Bandit Chestnut J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Heather Main	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Heather Main	119	b	014172	83	109	-	71d	—	—	+16	22	2.75/1	12 8%
Ran well at Newmarket last time but he looks weighted near best and is untried on Tapeta
5 (5)	Furzig Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	122	—	503350	86	106	-	28d	—	—	+10	11.9	16.25/1	66 2%
His last AW win was in 2020 and was last of 12 behind Onesmoothoperator here last month
4 (2)	United Front Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	126	h	553640	90	112	25	93d	—	—	+10	11.4	16.25/1	66 2%
Just one win in the last two years and he had a major blip at Wolverhampton last time

Horse	bet365	Coral
To Catch A Thief	11/10	11/10
Onesmoothoperator	4	4
Sir Busker	13/2	15/2
Afterwards	9	9
Felix	8	17/2
Zozimus	12	11
Island Bandit	12	12
Furzig	66	50
United Front	66	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

To Catch A Thief

34.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 13.5

11/10

2nd

Onesmoothoperator

26.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 4.4

3rd

Island Bandit

OR: 8.3 Form: 12 Odds: 1.7

Afterwards

20.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.4

Sir Busker

16.1

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Felix

14.5

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Zozimus

13.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.9

Furzig

11.9

OR: 9 Form: 2.4 Odds: 0.5

United Front

11.4

OR: 10 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.5

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sir Busker	102	111	52
Felix	98	112	27
Onesmoothoperator	92	111	72
United Front	90	112	25
Furzig	86	106	—
Afterwards	85	103	84
Zozimus	85	111	80
To Catch A Thief	84	114	57
Island Bandit	83	109	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sir Busker	21d ago	Fit
Zozimus	24d ago	Fit
Onesmoothoperator	28d ago	Fit
Furzig	28d ago	Fit
Felix	30d ago	Fit
To Catch A Thief	37d ago	Fit
Island Bandit	71d ago	Fresh
United Front	93d ago	Long break
Afterwards	212d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.