Welham Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) – Wincanton

Wincanton

13:45

Welham Mares' Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2023-12-12

Distance 2m5f82y

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,812

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Don't Rightly Know Chestnut J:Miss Chloe Emsley(7) T:Polly Gundry	J:Miss Chloe Emsley(7) T:Polly Gundry	161	—	/8/2/1	117	123	97	16d	—	—	-2	46.9	0.21/1	5/6 55%
Returned from latest layoff with easy win at Exeter recently; leading claims on that form
4	Country Lady Bay J:Bryony Frost T:Paul Nicholls	J:Bryony Frost T:Paul Nicholls	154	—	51-3	-	100	94	36d	—	—	-11	8.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Bumper winner; fair third on hurdle debut and there's room for improvement in her jumping
3	Baby Shally Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Anthony Honeyball	154	—	1-7	-	-	-	34d	—	—	-1	10.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Point winner; soundly beaten in her sole bumper but she retains potential
5	Jersey Gem b/br J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	154	—	63-99	-	102	61	26d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Third in a bumper but merely ninth on both hurdle starts and improvement is needed
6	Musique De Fee Grey J:Nick Scholfield T:Georgina Nicholls	J:Nick Scholfield T:Georgina Nicholls	154	—	2-36	-	-	-	34d	—	—	0	4.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Has displayed promise in the bumper sphere but improvement needed on hurdle debut
2	Astro Annie Chestnut J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	154	—	PP-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Pulled up on both point starts; needs to be entirely different proposition on rules debut
8	Seasmoke Bay J:Lilly Pinchin T:Billy Aprahamian	J:Lilly Pinchin T:Billy Aprahamian	154	—	52-6	-	64	-	30d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Point runner-up but tailed off at 40-1 on last month's hurdle debut at Ffos Las
NR	Queen Annie Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	154	t	/241-3	-	113	65	22d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Bumper winner who was fair third on hurdle debut; this longer trip looks the right move

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Don't Rightly Know	5/6	8/11	8/11	4/5	8/11
Country Lady	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Baby Shally	8/1	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2
Jersey Gem	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Musique De Fee	14/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Astro Annie	25/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Seasmoke	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Don't Rightly Know

46.9

OR: 16.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 16.7

5/6

2nd

Baby Shally

10.1

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

8/1

3rd

Country Lady

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Musique De Fee

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Queen Annie

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Jersey Gem

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Astro Annie

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Seasmoke

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Don't Rightly Know	117	123	97
Country Lady	—	100	94
Baby Shally	—	—	—
Jersey Gem	—	102	61
Musique De Fee	—	—	—
Astro Annie	—	—	—
Seasmoke	—	64	—
Queen Annie	—	113	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Don't Rightly Know	16d ago	Fit
Queen Annie	22d ago	Fit
Jersey Gem	26d ago	Fit
Seasmoke	30d ago	Fit
Baby Shally	34d ago	Fit
Musique De Fee	34d ago	Fit
Country Lady	36d ago	Fit
Astro Annie	—	—