Gateway Hotel Dundalk Race & Stay Handicap (Div I) – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

17:15

Gateway Hotel Dundalk Race & Stay Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-12-13

Distance 7f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (7)	James Henry Bay J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Leanne Breen	J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Leanne Breen	137	b	938222	60	75	55	7d	—	—	-8	24.1	0.50/1	2/1 33%
17-race maiden, second six times including on last three starts here, obvious chance
2 (13)	Dutch Glory Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:Ross O'Sullivan	140	—	460130	63	73	58	118d	—	—	0	14.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Below her best over 1m1f on final start of turf season, each-way chance on balance of form
10 (9)	Mether Chestnut J:Danny Sheehy(3) T:Miss Natalia Lupini	J:Danny Sheehy(3) T:Miss Natalia Lupini	124	t	907-44	47	63	56	19d	—	—	-13	5.2	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Two respectable runs in sprint handicaps here last month, ran poorly on only 7f attempt
4 (2)	Bucky Larson Bay J:Paddy Harnett(5) T:R Donohoe	J:Paddy Harnett(5) T:R Donohoe	137	—	074352	60	73	57	21d	—	—	+1	12.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Seven wins for Ger Lyons, has dropped to a level that gives him a realistic chance
1 (5)	Morning Approach Bay J:Jack Kearney(5) T:W McCreery	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:W McCreery	142	t	724801	65	73	54	21d	—	—	+9	17	2.50/1	10/1 9%
1-27 on turf, now has 2-7 record at this venue following last month's 1m win, respected
9 (4)	Cherry Bloom Bay J:Killian Leonard T:Gillian Scott	J:Killian Leonard T:Gillian Scott	124	—	107074	47	74	51	21d	—	—	-6	2.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Won off 2lb higher over 6f at Fairyhouse in June, held by Bucky Larson on recent form
6 (10)	Elephant John Grey J:Hugh Horgan(7) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	J:Hugh Horgan(7) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	130	b	030059	53	70	41	33d	—	—	-3	3.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Solid effort when fifth over C&D in October, failed to match that form over 1m last time
3 (1)	Rattletheonionbag Bay J:Sean Davis T:W P Browne	J:Sean Davis T:W P Browne	138	—	353	61	71	47	54d	—	—	+3	8.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Placed twice from three outings, slight concern based on a possible preference for 6f
14 (16)	Well Suited Chestnut J:Gary Halpin T:T J O'Mara	J:Gary Halpin T:T J O'Mara	124	p	390749	47	74	49	21d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Long losing run since back-to-back wins at this venue early in 2021, uneven form this year
13 (15)	Sadiqaa Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(5) T:H D McGuigan	J:Oisin McSweeney(5) T:H D McGuigan	124	tv	609298	47	67	47	42d	—	—	-1	3.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Placed only once from ten visits to this track, mid-division over C&D six weeks ago
11 (14)	Nyla Rua Chestnut J:N G McCullagh T:John C McConnell	J:N G McCullagh T:John C McConnell	124	—	04-034	47	74	-	178d	—	—	-3	1.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
A couple of good runs at Gowran for Jack Davison early in turf season, off since June
12 (3)	Qalahari Queen Bay J:Conor Maxwell T:T G McCourt	J:Conor Maxwell T:T G McCourt	124	v	080070	47	71	43	21d	—	—	-2	0.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Never in the first four and never closer than eighth in five handicap appearances
7 (17)	Captured Chestnut J:Jack Cleary(7) T:Luke Comer	J:Jack Cleary(7) T:Luke Comer	124	p	00/700	47	71	-	7d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Failed to improve on his moderate turf form when in rear in a 6f handicap here a week ago
8 (11)	Chancey Approach Bay J:Rory Mulligan(10) T:Muredach Kelly	J:Rory Mulligan(10) T:Muredach Kelly	124	tp	80006-	47	70	-	565d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Lightly raced filly, absent since mid-field run in a 6f Fairyhouse handicap in May 2022
NR (12)	Cherry Pink Bay J:TBC T:M Halford & T Collins	J: T:M Halford & T Collins	125	p	539670	48	73	-	122d	—	—	—	0.6	—	—
First reserve, beaten favourite three times on turf this year, fair chance on her old form
NR (6)	Mister X Bay J:TBC T:John C McConnell	J: T:John C McConnell	138	—	579435	61	72	54	155d	—	—	—	4.9	—	—
Second reserve, gained three of his four British wins on AW, not at best since last winter
NR (8)	Charlie Brow'n Bay J:TBC T:T J O'Mara	J: T:T J O'Mara	142	—	0376	65	52	32	33d	—	—	—	5.3	—	—
Third reserve, flattered by his proximity to a high-rated winner at Cork but worth a look

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
James Henry	2/1	13/8	15/8	7/4	7/4
Dutch Glory	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
Mether	6/1	4/1	5/1	4/1	9/2
Bucky Larson	15/2	15/2	7/1	15/2	7/1
Morning Approach	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
Cherry Bloom	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	9/1
Elephant John	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Rattletheonionbag	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Well Suited	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Sadiqaa	20/1	20/1	20/1	14/1	18/1
Nyla Rua	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Qalahari Queen	66/1	66/1	66/1	25/1	66/1
Captured	80/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1
Chancey Approach	150/1	200/1	200/1	150/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

James Henry

24.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 11.6 Odds: 10

2/1

2nd

Morning Approach

OR: 3.8 Form: 11 Odds: 2.2

10/1

3rd

Dutch Glory

14.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4

6/1

Bucky Larson

12.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Rattletheonionbag

8.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Charlie Brow'n

5.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Mether

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

6/1

Mister X

4.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Sadiqaa

3.9

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Elephant John

3.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Cherry Bloom

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Well Suited

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Nyla Rua

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Qalahari Queen

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

66/1

Cherry Pink

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0

—

Captured

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Chancey Approach

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Morning Approach	65	73	54
Charlie Brow'n	65	52	32
Dutch Glory	63	73	58
Rattletheonionbag	61	71	47
Mister X	61	72	54
James Henry	60	75	55
Bucky Larson	60	73	57
Elephant John	53	70	41
Cherry Pink	48	73	—
Mether	47	63	56
Cherry Bloom	47	74	51
Well Suited	47	74	49
Sadiqaa	47	67	47
Nyla Rua	47	74	—
Qalahari Queen	47	71	43
Captured	47	71	—
Chancey Approach	47	70	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
James Henry	7d ago	Quick return
Captured	7d ago	Quick return
Mether	19d ago	Fit
Bucky Larson	21d ago	Fit
Morning Approach	21d ago	Fit
Cherry Bloom	21d ago	Fit
Well Suited	21d ago	Fit
Qalahari Queen	21d ago	Fit
Elephant John	33d ago	Fit
Charlie Brow'n	33d ago	Fit
Sadiqaa	42d ago	Fit
Rattletheonionbag	54d ago	Fresh
Dutch Glory	118d ago	Long break
Cherry Pink	122d ago	Long break
Mister X	155d ago	Long break
Nyla Rua	178d ago	Long break
Chancey Approach	565d ago	Long break