Bickham House "National Hunt" Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

Exeter

13:20

Date 2023-12-13

Distance 2m161y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,812

Runners (15)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4	Don't Tell Su Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	158	—	51-2	-	124	83	43d	—	—	-39	25	3/10 77%
Second of 15 in 2m3f maiden hurdle at Chepstow, showing easily the most in this line-up
5	Doyen Quest Chestnut J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	158	—	U/10	-	-	-	24d	—	—	-9	3.6	6/1 14%
Won bumper at Ffos Las; 14-1, weakened badly in Listed bumper at Cheltenham (2m, soft)
8	Letthedustsettle Bay J:Conor Ring(3) T:Tom Lacey	J:Conor Ring(3) T:Tom Lacey	158	—	1-63	-	106	85	25d	—	—	+2	9.1	11/1 8%
Won a soft-ground maiden point in March; enough in two hurdle races to have place claims
11	Nordic Storm Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	158	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	14/1 7%
£45,000 3yo; second foal; dam bumper winner and 2nd in 2m3f hurdle, family of Kahyasi
7	Iris Des Issards Black J:Ben Godfrey(3) T:Kayley Woollacott	J:Ben Godfrey(3) T:Kayley Woollacott	158	—	363-4	-	101	50	33d	—	—	-4	1.4	18/1 5%
100-1 fourth of 15 over C&D, way behind by the first two but about 1l ahead of Royal Jewel
9	Moorefields Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Down	J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Down	158	—	344-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	2.4	33/1 3%
Third or fourth in three Irish maiden points before £22,000 sale in April; best watched
12	Royal Jewel Chestnut J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	158	—	7-25	-	99	48	33d	—	—	-2	0.8	33/1 3%
C&D fifth of 15, on the heels of Iris Des Issards; gave encouragement but major work to do
10	Mountain Bay Bay J:Daniel Sansom(3) T:Seamus Mullins	J:Daniel Sansom(3) T:Seamus Mullins	158	—	97-75	-	100	45	32d	—	—	-2	0.6	50/1 2%
19l defeat at Wincanton (1m7f, good to soft) latest but he has a place squeak on that form
15	Sammy's Guarantee Bay J:Richard Patrick T:Tom Lacey	J:Richard Patrick T:Tom Lacey	151	ht	2-76	-	98	73	27d	—	—	+2	3.9	50/1 2%
Went close in a point bumper but beaten more than 30l in two novice hurdles; now hooded
1	Ballynaheer Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:David Dennis	J:Tom Bellamy T:David Dennis	158	—	U2-7	-	97	70	35d	—	—	-1	0.4	66/1 1%
2nd in maiden point; 22-1, backed out of it late on in a 2m maiden at Chepstow (2m, heavy)
13	Bobbi's Beauty Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Martin Keighley	J:Adam Wedge T:Martin Keighley	151	h	U10-P0	-	88	52	21d	—	—	-1	0.4	100/1 1%
Irish point win; no worthwhile form under rules; has been making the running; now hooded
2	Can't Say br/gr J:James Davies T:Chris Down	J:James Davies T:Chris Down	158	—	/97/P/	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	125/1 1%
8yo with no worthwhile form in three points or a bumper
3	Daring Plan Bay J:Lucy Gardner T:Sue Gardner	J:Lucy Gardner T:Sue Gardner	158	—	F2P6P-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	150/1 1%
Beaten 20l when second in one of his six Irish maiden points; off since January
6	Freddie Fleetfoot Bay J:Elizabeth Gale(7) T:Carroll Gray	J:Elizabeth Gale(7) T:Carroll Gray	158	—	0867-P	67	72	61	210d	—	—	+4	4.4	200/1 0%
Looks a modest maiden after his two points and eight hurdle races
14	Gorcombe Fizz Bay J:Bryony Frost T:Jimmy Frost	J:Bryony Frost T:Jimmy Frost	151	—	PPP	-	-	-	27d	—	—	-1	0.2	200/1 0%
Big prices when pulled up in two starts over hurdles here and one at Taunton

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Don't Tell Su	2/7	2/7	2/7	3/10	3/10
Doyen Quest	6/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Letthedustsettle	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Nordic Storm	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Iris Des Issards	16/1	16/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Moorefields	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1	25/1
Royal Jewel	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Mountain Bay	50/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Sammy's Guarantee	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Ballynaheer	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Bobbi's Beauty	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Can't Say	100/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Daring Plan	100/1	125/1	150/1	125/1	150/1
Freddie Fleetfoot	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Gorcombe Fizz	100/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Don't Tell Su

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 20

3/10

2nd

Letthedustsettle

9.1

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 2.1

11/1

3rd

Freddie Fleetfoot

4.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Sammy's Guarantee

3.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Doyen Quest

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Moorefields

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Nordic Storm

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Iris Des Issards

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Royal Jewel

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Mountain Bay

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ballynaheer

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Bobbi's Beauty

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Can't Say

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Daring Plan

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Gorcombe Fizz

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Freddie Fleetfoot	67	72	61
Don't Tell Su	—	124	83
Doyen Quest	—	—	—
Letthedustsettle	—	106	85
Nordic Storm	—	—	—
Iris Des Issards	—	101	50
Moorefields	—	—	—
Royal Jewel	—	99	48
Mountain Bay	—	100	45
Sammy's Guarantee	—	98	73
Ballynaheer	—	97	70
Bobbi's Beauty	—	88	52
Can't Say	—	—	—
Daring Plan	—	—	—
Gorcombe Fizz	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bobbi's Beauty	21d ago	Fit
Doyen Quest	24d ago	Fit
Letthedustsettle	25d ago	Fit
Sammy's Guarantee	27d ago	Fit
Gorcombe Fizz	27d ago	Fit
Mountain Bay	32d ago	Fit
Iris Des Issards	33d ago	Fit
Royal Jewel	33d ago	Fit
Ballynaheer	35d ago	Fit
Don't Tell Su	43d ago	Fit
Freddie Fleetfoot	210d ago	Long break
Nordic Storm	—	—
Moorefields	—	—
Can't Say	—	—
Daring Plan	—	—