Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Lingfield (AW)

15:00

Date 2023-12-13

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,104

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (5)	Mahboob Bay J:Jim Crowley T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Jim Crowley T:John & Thady Gosden	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-26	12.5	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Well-bred gelding who is in top hands and is one to be interested in on debut
2 (7)	Verbier Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	133	—	13	-	88	41	54d	—	—	-6	16.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won on March debut; heavy ground may not have suited since; retains considerable potential
6 (4)	Nature Watch Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Appleby	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Appleby	131	—	2	-	85	72	22d	—	—	-8	10.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Clear second on recent debut and can improve for that experience; could play leading role
8 (3)	Eleanor Cross Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	126	—	2-4	-	89	-	89d	—	—	-6	7.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Promise on sole 2yo start and may improve for her only run since, this September
1 (8)	Lookingdandy Bay J:David Nolan T:David Evans	J:David Nolan T:David Evans	133	—	65	-	72	40	4d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Hasn't run badly of late on first two Flat starts but improvement needed to threaten today
3 (6)	Birthday Angel Grey J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
A useful standard is needed on debut but there's lots to like about his pedigree
7 (1)	Orange N Blue Chestnut J:Sorin Moldoveanu(7) T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Sorin Moldoveanu(7) T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	131	—	54	-	85	-	219d	—	—	-2	0.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Promising fifth in Wood Ditton; a lesser run followed but he's not written off after break
4 (2)	Hiccups b/br J:Jack Gilligan T:John Berry	J:Jack Gilligan T:John Berry	131	—	80	-	59	-	53d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Well beaten at 150-1 this autumn on first two starts

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Mahboob	11/10	6/5	5/4	5/4	5/4
Verbier	7/2	10/3	7/2	10/3	5/2
Nature Watch	4/1	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2
Eleanor Cross	13/2	6/1	13/2	6/1	11/2
Lookingdandy	18/1	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Birthday Angel	25/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	20/1
Orange N Blue	50/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Hiccups	200/1	125/1	150/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Verbier

16.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 6.7

7/2

2nd

Mahboob

12.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 12.5

5/4

3rd

Nature Watch

10.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Eleanor Cross

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Lookingdandy

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Birthday Angel

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Orange N Blue

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Hiccups

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mahboob	—	—	—
Verbier	—	88	41
Nature Watch	—	85	72
Eleanor Cross	—	89	—
Lookingdandy	—	72	40
Birthday Angel	—	—	—
Orange N Blue	—	85	—
Hiccups	—	59	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lookingdandy	4d ago	Quick return
Nature Watch	22d ago	Fit
Hiccups	53d ago	Fresh
Verbier	54d ago	Fresh
Eleanor Cross	89d ago	Fresh
Orange N Blue	219d ago	Long break
Mahboob	—	—
Birthday Angel	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m2f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.