Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

14:30

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2023-12-13

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (10)	Deed Pole Bay J:William Carson T:Anthony Carson	J:William Carson T:Anthony Carson	132	—	433433	58	70	58	25d	—	—	-10	17	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Couldn't quicken as well as Recuerdame but stayed on nicely into third over C&D last time
2 (8)	Recuerdame Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Simon Dow	135	—	014461	60	73	60	25d	—	—	+2	19.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
4lb higher mark may not prevent follow up if they go hard enough
7 (3)	Edmund Ironside Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Attwater	J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Attwater	131	—	544461	57	72	57	38d	—	—	-3	17.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
It was a weaker C&D contest he opened his account in last month and he hung left
8 (6)	Aeroplane Mode Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:John Butler	J:Harry Burns(3) T:John Butler	127	—	480073	52	76	46	37d	—	—	-8	8.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Beaten less than 1l into third last time but returning to shorter may not be ideal
3 (9)	Moralisa Brown J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	135	—	836375	61	71	30	55d	—	—	0	6.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Might be best watched with stamina to prove starting out for new yard
11 (12)	Rainbow Sign Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Mark Pattinson	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Mark Pattinson	121	t	898862	46	69	43	51d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+1	6.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Better than of late last time but may again be vulnerable over this far
9 (2)	Florence Street Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Lydia Richards	J:Hayley Turner T:Lydia Richards	122	v	-P9068	47	70	36	42d	—	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Suited by conditions but several others are higher on the list
5 (5)	Dourado Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Patrick Chamings	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Patrick Chamings	132	v	715870	57	73	35	37d	—	—	+1	5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won two of first three starts this year but hasn't threatened since
4 (7)	Divine Messenger Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Emma Owen	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Emma Owen	134	hv	011701	59	70	59	259d	—	—	+14	18.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Three 7f wins here this year; stays this far but may need the run (back from layoff)
10 (1)	Optimal Sinn Bay J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Michael Madgwick	J:Rose Dawes(5) T:Michael Madgwick	121	p	56805	47	63	42	36d	—	—	-2	0.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Picked up quite well to grab fifth here latest and returning to 1m should suit
NR (4)	Media Guest b/br J:Rossa Ryan T:Mark Gillard	J:Rossa Ryan T:Mark Gillard	137	—	347536	62	74	60	18d	—	—	—	5.1	—	—
Some hope of doubling tally with first crack at 1m worth a go
NR (11)	Blue Curacao Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Pat Phelan	J:NON-RUNNER T:Pat Phelan	120	—	365633	46	68	42	22d	—	—	—	5.1	—	—
Went down by two necks last time and has claims despite wide draw

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Deed Pole	9/4	5/2	5/2	5/2	9/4
Recuerdame	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Edmund Ironside	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Aeroplane Mode	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Moralisa	16/1	16/1	16/1	11/1	14/1
Rainbow Sign	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Florence Street	20/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Dourado	25/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	20/1
Divine Messenger	25/1	22/1	25/1	20/1	22/1
Optimal Sinn	66/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Recuerdame

19.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 12 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Divine Messenger

18.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 15 Odds: 1.1

25/1

3rd

Edmund Ironside

17.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 10 Odds: 6.2

4/1

Deed Pole

OR: 2 Form: 6.6 Odds: 8.4

5/2

Aeroplane Mode

8.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Moralisa

6.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Rainbow Sign

6.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Media Guest

5.1

OR: 3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Blue Curacao

5.1

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 0

—

Dourado

OR: 1.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Florence Street

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Optimal Sinn

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Media Guest	62	74	60
Moralisa	61	71	30
Recuerdame	60	73	60
Divine Messenger	59	70	59
Deed Pole	58	70	58
Edmund Ironside	57	72	57
Dourado	57	73	35
Aeroplane Mode	52	76	46
Florence Street	47	70	36
Optimal Sinn	47	63	42
Rainbow Sign	46	69	43
Blue Curacao	46	68	42

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Media Guest	18d ago	Fit
Blue Curacao	22d ago	Fit
Deed Pole	25d ago	Fit
Recuerdame	25d ago	Fit
Optimal Sinn	36d ago	Fit
Aeroplane Mode	37d ago	Fit
Dourado	37d ago	Fit
Edmund Ironside	38d ago	Fit
Florence Street	42d ago	Fit
Rainbow Sign	51d ago	Fresh
Moralisa	55d ago	Fresh
Divine Messenger	259d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.