Happy Christmas From All At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (Div I)

Dundalk (AW)

18:15

Date 2023-12-13

Distance 1m2f150y

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (9)	Katonah Grey J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	138	—	773253	63	67	-	44d	—	—	-4	15.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Placed in three of her last four handicaps (10.5f/1m4f) on soft turf or worse; AW debut
8 (6)	Power Drive Bay J:Ciara Flynn(7) T:Paul W Flynn	J:Ciara Flynn(7) T:Paul W Flynn	132	p	0-3343	55	74	42	28d	—	—	-12	6.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Just ahead of Keilah when third over C&D last month; headgear back on which is a positive
6 (3)	Keilah Bay J:Rory Cleary T:Francis J Flood	J:Rory Cleary T:Francis J Flood	134	—	90074	59	72	41	28d	—	—	-9	6.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Backed at fancy prices for h'cap debut over C&D when only beaten 1l by subsequent winner
1 (16)	Wajaaha Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:Patrick J McKenna	J:James Ryan(5) T:Patrick J McKenna	141	v	092333	64	73	54	—	—	—	+4	14.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Beaten no more than a length last three C&D runs; draw not great but will be thereabouts
2 (5)	Patrick Street Bay J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Patrick Martin	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Patrick Martin	139	tp	601207	62	68	33	21d	—	—	+2	11	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Course winner never landed a blow when beaten 3l over C&D last time but drawn better here
10 (13)	Slieve Bearnagh Bay J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:M Halford & T Collins	J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:M Halford & T Collins	128	tb	538130	51	70	31	12d	—	—	+3	9.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Largely kept away from this venue, 6l defeat over C&D lately was only his second visit
11 (12)	Big Challenge Chestnut J:Jamie Powell(3) T:R Donohoe	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:R Donohoe	126	—	00-006	49	69	50	26d	—	—	-6	2.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Beaten 6l here latest on third run back from a lay-off; drop in trip may be no harm
12 (2)	Breagagh Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:S Michael Millar	J:Declan McDonogh T:S Michael Millar	125	p	020543	48	68	29	14d	—	—	-2	6.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Longstanding maiden; third over 2m here latest was only his third AW run
5 (15)	Picpoul Bay J:Robert Whearty(5) T:M M Rice	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:M M Rice	135	—	0-5705	58	74	28	14d	—	—	-4	4.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Not at her best for a while although 2m was too far latest on second run after a lay-off
3 (14)	Atlantic Island Bay J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Luke Comer	J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Luke Comer	138	—	-85870	61	73	-	113d	—	—	-2	4.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Mostly well held in handicaps apart from creditable fifth at Roscommon (1m4f) in May
14 (1)	Miss Heartbreak Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:Luke Comer	J:Nathan Crosse T:Luke Comer	124	—	87004	49	66	48	28d	—	—	-2	0.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
100-1 for second handicap start but showed much more when 2l fourth over C&D
13 (11)	Gatsby Cap Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	124	tp	048075	47	66	49	82d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Four-time winner at up to 1m, twice here; beaten less than 3l over C&D in September
9 (7)	Wantoplantatree Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:E D Delany	J:Seamie Heffernan T:E D Delany	132	h	8-0080	57	65	-	44d	—	—	0	2.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Has shown little for current yard; hood fitted for first run at this venue
7 (4)	Mille Miglia Bay J:Conor Maxwell T:C A McBratney	J:Conor Maxwell T:C A McBratney	134	p	365009	57	72	28	14d	—	—	0	2.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Modest form Flat and hurdles for present connections, beaten 8l here last twice over 1m4f
NR (10)	Happaugue Bay J:TBC T:John C McConnell	J: T:John C McConnell	129	—	572098	52	73	46	21d	—	—	—	2	—	—
Dual C&D winner went close here in March; not much since but better for latest; reserve
NR (8)	The Dazzer Grey J:TBC T:Gerard Keane	J: T:Gerard Keane	124	tp	-86057	47	63	36	12d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Ran okay on yard debut after a break when beaten 6l over C&D, cheekpieces added; reserve
NR (17)	Together Aclaim Bay J:TBC T:John C McConnell	J: T:John C McConnell	124	—	500000	47	74	58	19d	—	—	—	0	—	—
27-race maiden with regressive profile and hard to fancy; reserve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Katonah	4/1	10/3	7/2	10/3	7/2
Power Drive	9/2	10/3	4/1	4/1	4/1
Keilah	9/2	4/1	5/1	9/2	5/1
Wajaaha	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1
Patrick Street	10/1	10/1	11/1	9/1	9/1
Slieve Bearnagh	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Big Challenge	12/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Breagagh	12/1	10/1	12/1	9/1	10/1
Picpoul	12/1	10/1	12/1	10/1	10/1
Atlantic Island	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Miss Heartbreak	25/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Gatsby Cap	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Wantoplantatree	33/1	33/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Mille Miglia	50/1	66/1	50/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Katonah

15.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 6.4 Odds: 5.7

4/1

2nd

Wajaaha

14.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 8.1 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

Patrick Street

OR: 3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.5

11/1

Slieve Bearnagh

9.9

OR: 0.3 Form: 7.7 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Power Drive

6.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

9/2

Keilah

6.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Breagagh

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Atlantic Island

4.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Picpoul

4.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Big Challenge

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Wantoplantatree

2.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Mille Miglia

2.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Happaugue

OR: 0.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Miss Heartbreak

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Gatsby Cap

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

The Dazzer

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Together Aclaim

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Wajaaha	64	73	54
Katonah	63	67	—
Patrick Street	62	68	33
Atlantic Island	61	73	—
Keilah	59	72	41
Picpoul	58	74	28
Wantoplantatree	57	65	—
Mille Miglia	57	72	28
Power Drive	55	74	42
Happaugue	52	73	46
Slieve Bearnagh	51	70	31
Big Challenge	49	69	50
Miss Heartbreak	49	66	48
Breagagh	48	68	29
Gatsby Cap	47	66	49
The Dazzer	47	63	36
Together Aclaim	47	74	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Slieve Bearnagh	12d ago	Quick return
The Dazzer	12d ago	Quick return
Breagagh	14d ago	Fit
Picpoul	14d ago	Fit
Mille Miglia	14d ago	Fit
Together Aclaim	19d ago	Fit
Patrick Street	21d ago	Fit
Happaugue	21d ago	Fit
Big Challenge	26d ago	Fit
Power Drive	28d ago	Fit
Keilah	28d ago	Fit
Miss Heartbreak	28d ago	Fit
Katonah	44d ago	Fit
Wantoplantatree	44d ago	Fit
Gatsby Cap	82d ago	Fresh
Atlantic Island	113d ago	Long break
Wajaaha	—	—