BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Handicap (Div II) – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

13:30

BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Handicap (Div II)

Date 2023-12-13

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (11)	Hill Station Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Rossa Ryan T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	134	—	640216	56	69	61	29d	—	—	-10	20.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Breakthrough win came under Rossa Ryan at 22nd attempt; only okay next time
6 (3)	Largo Bay Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:Michael Madgwick	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Michael Madgwick	131	b	437833	53	71	40	23d	—	—	-6	11.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two solid runs at Kempton of late and return of headgear (blinkers) could give him a lift
5 (8)	Alghazaal Chestnut J:Robert Havlin T:Mark Usher	J:Robert Havlin T:Mark Usher	133	—	098337	55	71	53	21d	—	—	-5	8.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Big player in this 0-60 with Robert Havlin 3-8 for the yard this year
2 (1)	Sarkha Bay J:Shane Gray T:Phillip Makin	J:Shane Gray T:Phillip Makin	134	t	505083	56	76	63	28d	—	—	-3	7.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Course winner who ran his best race for new yard four weeks ago; should be involved
7 (7)	Strictly Dreaming Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Ian Williams	J:Jim Crowley T:Ian Williams	131	—	203680	57	64	49	42d	—	—	-5	5.7	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Pick of form would give her a big shout but she's a risky proposition
1 (5)	Tamaris Brown J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Joe Tizzard	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Joe Tizzard	135	t	5065/7	57	68	-	—	—	—	-3	3.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Hard to know what to expect in this 1m4f Flat race
4 (10)	Merry Minister Bay J:William Carson T:Brett Johnson	J:William Carson T:Brett Johnson	133	—	000767	59	65	26	18d	—	—	-2	3.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Needs to step up on what he's done for current yard and he has further to go here
9 (6)	La Mujer Bay J:Hayley Turner T:George Baker	J:Hayley Turner T:George Baker	126	—	090-	52	59	-	412d	—	—	-2	1.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Last or second last in trio of 7f/1m novices last year; watch in this 1m4f handicap
8 (9)	Its Ur Roundmylord Chestnut J:Joshua Bryan T:Simon Hodgson	J:Joshua Bryan T:Simon Hodgson	130	p	608/8-	52	64	-	599d	—	—	-1	1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Rise in trip could work but he hasn't shown much and is returning from a monster layoff
10 (2)	Aryaah Grey J:Dylan Hogan T:Mark Hoad	J:Dylan Hogan T:Mark Hoad	124	—	478895	46	67	40	23d	—	—	-1	0.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Overall profile suggests he may not build on last-time-out fifth at Kempton
11 (4)	Laurentia Bay J:Anna Gibson(7) T:Laura Mongan	J:Anna Gibson(7) T:Laura Mongan	123	—	970867	45	65	55	69d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
A belated first go over this far is unlikely to be the answer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Hill Station	15/8	7/4	7/4	13/8	13/8
Largo Bay	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Alghazaal	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Sarkha	8/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2
Strictly Dreaming	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2	8/1
Tamaris	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Merry Minister	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
La Mujer	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Its Ur Roundmylord	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Aryaah	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Laurentia	50/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hill Station

20.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Largo Bay

11.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 5.7 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Alghazaal

8.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 4

5/1

Sarkha

7.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Strictly Dreaming

5.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Merry Minister

3.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Tamaris

3.5

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

La Mujer

1.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Its Ur Roundmylord

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Laurentia

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Aryaah

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Merry Minister	59	65	26
Strictly Dreaming	57	64	49
Tamaris	57	68	—
Hill Station	56	69	61
Sarkha	56	76	63
Alghazaal	55	71	53
Largo Bay	53	71	40
La Mujer	52	59	—
Its Ur Roundmylord	52	64	—
Aryaah	46	67	40
Laurentia	45	65	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Merry Minister	18d ago	Fit
Alghazaal	21d ago	Fit
Largo Bay	23d ago	Fit
Aryaah	23d ago	Fit
Sarkha	28d ago	Fit
Hill Station	29d ago	Fit
Strictly Dreaming	42d ago	Fit
Laurentia	69d ago	Fresh
La Mujer	412d ago	Long break
Its Ur Roundmylord	599d ago	Long break
Tamaris	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m4f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.