Race Predictor By Racing And Sports Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

19:00

Race Predictor By Racing And Sports Handicap

Date 2023-12-14

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £8,100

Winning Time 2m 2.42s (slow by 0.12s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Penzance (GB) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	5/6F	Won
2nd	Storm Catcher (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Simon Pearce	2/1	4
3rd	Postmark (GB) Kieran O'Neill · Anthony Charlton	22/1	.75
4th	Polling Day (IRE) Joshua Bryan · Archie Watson	12/1	14
5th	Sayf Al Dawla (GB) Robert Havlin · Peter Chapple-Hyam	17/2	1.25
6th	Three Yorkshiremen (IRE) Adam Farragher · Michael Wigham	80/1	1

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Storm Catcher Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon Pearce	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon Pearce	142	—	231041	94	99	70	26d	—	—	+6	33	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Fine record in AW h'caps & fully effective over C&D; major player despite career-high mark
5 (1)	Penzance Grey J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	125	—	952941	79	101	80	7d	—	—	-11	33.8	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Bolted up over C&D last week on 2nd run for yard; well in under penalty but this tougher
4 (6)	Sayf Al Dawla Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	J:Robert Havlin T:Peter Chapple-Hyam	130	—	33/160	82	98	-	75d	—	—	+2	10.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Won on return from long absence in July (1m2f, soft); less good since but not ruled out
3 (2)	Postmark Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Anthony Charlton	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Anthony Charlton	130	tp	0-8600	82	94	-	—	—	—	+3	10.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Handicapper on top this summer; fair 2nd over hurdles latest; others appeal more
2 (4)	Polling Day Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	139	—	11/4	91	91	54	26d	—	—	+6	11.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Promise after mammoth layoff last month; opening mark not an obvious gift though
6 (5)	Three Yorkshiremen Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Michael Wigham	J:Adam Farragher T:Michael Wigham	120	p	267168	74	95	-	—	—	—	+9	11.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
1m novice winner for R Fahey; 2nd on hurdle/stable debut latest; others look stronger

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Storm Catcher	15/8	2/1	2/1
Penzance	evn	10/11	10/11
Sayf Al Dawla	17/2	8/1	17/2
Postmark	9/1	10/1	11/1
Polling Day	20/1	18/1	16/1
Three Yorkshiremen	33/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Penzance

33.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 15

10/11

2nd

Storm Catcher

OR: 11 Form: 13.6 Odds: 8.4

2/1

3rd

Polling Day

11.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Three Yorkshiremen

11.7

OR: 6 Form: 5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Sayf Al Dawla

10.5

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Postmark

10.1

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Storm Catcher	94	99	70
Polling Day	91	91	54
Sayf Al Dawla	82	98	—
Postmark	82	94	—
Penzance	79	101	80
Three Yorkshiremen	74	95	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Penzance	7d ago	Quick return
Storm Catcher	26d ago	Fit
Polling Day	26d ago	Fit
Sayf Al Dawla	75d ago	Fresh
Postmark	—	—
Three Yorkshiremen	—	—