Chelmsford City Racecourse Membership Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

20:00

Chelmsford City Racecourse Membership Handicap

Date 2023-12-14

Distance 1m

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £12,885

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (1)	Desert Order Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Charlie Appleby	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Charlie Appleby	127	—	3211-	95	116	-	432d	—	—	+13	39.7	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Ended 2yo campaign with two 7f wins; still unexposed; absence to defy but of some interest
7 (6)	Fantastic Fox Chestnut J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	J:David Egan T:Roger Varian	125	—	550511	92	114	95	29d	—	—	+14	33.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Chasing a 1m AW hat-trick but he's back up in class and could come up short
6 (5)	Lord Bertie Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Callum Shepherd T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	126	—	31-185	94	114	-	85d	—	—	-1	16	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two wins in novice/maiden company; excuses for 2 h'cap defeats; new yard; still unexposed
2 (4)	Helm Rock Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	131	t	671150	98	114	95	54d	—	—	+10	24	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Last two AW runs have yielded victories; return to Polytrack a plus; solid contender
4 (3)	Excel Power Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	130	p	669735	97	117	80	24d	—	—	+8	16	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Won this race last year off the same mark; comes here in fair form but needs more tonight
1 (7)	Tacarib Bay Bay J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	139	—	366051	106	116	97	33d	—	—	+19	25.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
6f Listed winner last month; effective at 1m but needs a career best to defy this mark
3 (2)	Diderot Brown J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	131	h	232109	98	113	91	189d	—	—	+15	20.8	4.00/1	16/1 6%
C&D winner; fair mark judged on 2023 best but absent since a poor run here in June
8 (8)	Batemans Bay Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Kevin Ryan	J:Clifford Lee T:Kevin Ryan	124	—	4-0589	92	113	57	29d	—	—	+7	11.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Returns to 1m with something to prove but he is at least edging down the handicap
NR (9)	Rhythm N Rock Bay J:Harry Davies T:John Butler	J:Harry Davies T:John Butler	119	—	-02925	86	116	96	50d	—	—	—	14	—	—
0-8 in handicaps but his last two runs have been fine; this may not be run to suit

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Desert Order	5/2	9/4	9/4
Fantastic Fox	7/2	10/3	10/3
Lord Bertie	7/2	9/2	4/1
Helm Rock	11/2	5/1	5/1
Excel Power	9/1	11/1	11/1
Tacarib Bay	12/1	12/1	12/1
Diderot	16/1	14/1	14/1
Batemans Bay	22/1	20/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Desert Order

39.7

OR: 11.3 Form: 20.4 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Fantastic Fox

33.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 17 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Tacarib Bay

25.9

OR: 14 Form: 10 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Helm Rock

OR: 12 Form: 8 Odds: 4

11/2

Diderot

20.8

OR: 12 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Lord Bertie

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Excel Power

OR: 11.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Rhythm N Rock

OR: 9 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Batemans Bay

11.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tacarib Bay	106	116	97
Helm Rock	98	114	95
Diderot	98	113	91
Excel Power	97	117	80
Desert Order	95	116	—
Lord Bertie	94	114	—
Fantastic Fox	92	114	95
Batemans Bay	92	113	57
Rhythm N Rock	86	116	96

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Excel Power	24d ago	Fit
Fantastic Fox	29d ago	Fit
Batemans Bay	29d ago	Fit
Tacarib Bay	33d ago	Fit
Rhythm N Rock	50d ago	Fresh
Helm Rock	54d ago	Fresh
Lord Bertie	85d ago	Fresh
Diderot	189d ago	Long break
Desert Order	432d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Helm Rock	Mid-Pack
Fantastic Fox	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 9 runners classified.