Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (Registered As The Bristol Novices' Hurdle) (Grade 2) (GBB Race)

Cheltenham

15:00

Date 2023-12-16

Distance 2m7f213y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £28,475

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9	Shanagh Bob Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	154	—	1-1	-	140	113	26d	—	—	-3	25.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Won well in Irish point and 2m4f Plumpton novice hurdle; form/promise give him a big shout
5	Illico De Cotte Chestnut J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	154	—	1-2	-	135	100	25d	—	—	-1	17.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won Irish maiden point (3m, heavy); pipped at Lingfield (2m3f); promising sort up in trip
3	Destroytheevidence Bay J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	154	p	-31211	129	146	108	19d	—	—	+30	48.1	1.25/1	5/1 17%
3-5 hurdling, firmly in charge in cheekpieces last two (3m latest); the best form in this
1	Cadell Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	154	—	11-212	122	134	91	35d	—	—	+9	21.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Gave 7lb to Kerryhill at Kelso (2m6f) and rallied strongly to go down by less than 1l
6	Kerryhill Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Ruth Jefferson	J:Adam Wedge T:Ruth Jefferson	154	—	21-1	-	128	84	35d	—	—	+4	12.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Others, including Kelso 2m6f victim Cadell, have better form but he looks very promising
8	Moon D'Orange Chestnut J:Ben Harvey T:John C McConnell	J:Ben Harvey T:John C McConnell	154	p	-15U23	125	135	109	23d	—	—	+20	28.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Rallied last time as if another crack at 3m is very much in order; now wears cheekpieces
4	Genietoile Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Rebecca Curtis	J:Sean Bowen T:Rebecca Curtis	154	—	/45-54	-	129	109	21d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
It looks as if 3m may suit but others have accomplished more
10	Yes Day Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	154	—	13-13	121	132	102	24d	—	—	+14	19.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Good third of seven at Warwick (2m5f, soft) latest and worth a go at 3m; not dismissed
2	Carrigmoorna Rowan Bay J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	154	h	1/36-3	-	129	85	78d	—	—	+6	8.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Staying-on third of nine in maiden at Worcester (2m4f, good to soft) on hurdling debut
7	Monbari Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Rebecca Curtis	J:Tom Bellamy T:Rebecca Curtis	154	—	2-4	-	113	102	39d	—	—	+3	3.8	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Should do better at some point but has easily the worst form in this field

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Shanagh Bob	9/4	9/4	15/8	7/4	7/4
Illico De Cotte	9/2	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1
Destroytheevidence	9/2	9/2	9/2	5/1	4/1
Cadell	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2	6/1
Kerryhill	11/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	9/1
Moon D'Orange	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	8/1
Genietoile	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Yes Day	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1	14/1
Carrigmoorna Rowan	40/1	40/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Monbari	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Destroytheevidence

48.1

OR: 19.8 Form: 23.1 Odds: 5.2

5/1

2nd

Moon D'Orange

28.9

OR: 18.8 Form: 7.8 Odds: 2.4

12/1

3rd

Shanagh Bob

25.9

OR: 0 Form: 17 Odds: 8.9

9/4

Cadell

21.6

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Yes Day

19.1

OR: 17.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Illico De Cotte

17.2

OR: 0 Form: 12 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Kerryhill

12.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Carrigmoorna Rowan

8.8

OR: 0 Form: 8 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Monbari

3.8

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Genietoile

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Destroytheevidence	129	146	108
Moon D'Orange	125	135	109
Cadell	122	134	91
Yes Day	121	132	102
Shanagh Bob	—	140	113
Illico De Cotte	—	135	100
Kerryhill	—	128	84
Genietoile	—	129	109
Carrigmoorna Rowan	—	129	85
Monbari	—	113	102

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Destroytheevidence	19d ago	Fit
Genietoile	21d ago	Fit
Moon D'Orange	23d ago	Fit
Yes Day	24d ago	Fit
Illico De Cotte	25d ago	Fit
Shanagh Bob	26d ago	Fit
Cadell	35d ago	Fit
Kerryhill	35d ago	Fit
Monbari	39d ago	Fit
Carrigmoorna Rowan	78d ago	Fresh