BetMGM: It's Showtime "Hands And Heels" Apprentice Handicap (Part Of The Racing Excellence Series)

Newcastle (AW)

17:15

Date 2023-12-16

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Winning Time 1m 44.33s (slow by 7.33s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Enola Grey (IRE) Ethan Jones · Gemma Tutty	5/6F	Won
2nd	Cusack (GB) Joe Bradnam · David Thompson	9/2	1
3rd	Fifty Sent (GB) Rhys Elliott · Michael Dods	16/1	.5
4th	Thunder Max (GB) Joe Leavy · Jessica Bedi	33/1	2.25
5th	Ledger (IRE) Kyle McHugh · Lucinda Russell	12/1	0.3
6th	Keep Me Stable (IRE) Tommie Jakes · Linda Perratt	10/1	.5
7th	Pembrokeshire (GB) Alex Fielding · Iain Jardine	22/1	0.1
8th	King Triton (IRE) Archie Young · Grant Tuer	10/1	1.25
9th	Whatwouldyouknow (IRE) Anna Gibson · Nigel Tinkler	16/1	.5
10th	Lady Manyara (IRE) Ethan Tindall · K R Burke	66/1	12

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (9)	Enola Grey Grey J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Gemma Tutty	J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Gemma Tutty	136	—	229222	67	80	69	4d	—	—	-14	31.6	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Has form figures of 222 for new stable; close second in higher grade four days ago
6 (7)	Cusack Bay J:Joe Bradnam(5) T:David Thompson	J:Joe Bradnam(5) T:David Thompson	135	p	431923	65	78	55	8d	—	—	+3	18.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Scored over C&D in September/October; outstayed over 12.5f here last week
2 (6)	King Triton Bay J:Archie Young T:Grant Tuer	J:Archie Young T:Grant Tuer	138	—	-56995	68	76	41	40d	—	—	-2	7.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
0-11 for current yard but has slipped to a very handy mark
3 (4)	Keep Me Stable Bay J:Tommie Jakes T:Linda Perratt	J:Tommie Jakes T:Linda Perratt	137	—	004110	68	78	48	9d	—	—	+10	19.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Two 7f wins here in November; returned to this course is a plus
7 (3)	Whatwouldyouknow Bay J:Anna Gibson T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Anna Gibson T:Nigel Tinkler	132	p	204214	62	76	55	11d	—	—	+8	14.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Three-time C&D winner; ran creditably at Wolverhampton last time; should go well
10 (1)	Ledger Bay J:Kyle McHugh(5) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Kyle McHugh(5) T:Lucinda Russell	123	t	070129	54	78	67	9d	—	—	+6	10.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Form for current stable suggests he may have more to offer back at Newcastle
4 (5)	Pembrokeshire Bay J:Alex Fielding T:Iain Jardine	J:Alex Fielding T:Iain Jardine	136	h	774091	67	73	43	61d	—	—	+11	15.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Record suggests he's no certainty to follow up Musselburgh win
9 (10)	Fifty Sent Brown J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Michael Dods	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:Michael Dods	125	—	28U980	55	78	57	27d	—	1W/1P 1 run	-2	2.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Has lost his form since August but is well weighted granted a revival
1 (2)	Thunder Max Chestnut J:Joe Leavy T:Jessica Bedi	J:Joe Leavy T:Jessica Bedi	140	—	-40367	70	78	-	175d	—	—	+3	7.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Something to prove back down in distance on AW/stable debut
8 (8)	Lady Manyara Chestnut J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:K R Burke	J:Ethan Tindall(7) T:K R Burke	131	—	6397-7	62	77	-	44d	—	—	0	4.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
May be capable of better but others have stronger form claims as things stand

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Enola Grey	5/6	5/6	10/11	4/5	5/6
Cusack	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
King Triton	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1	7/1
Keep Me Stable	14/1	10/1	12/1	10/1	10/1
Whatwouldyouknow	16/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Ledger	16/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Pembrokeshire	16/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	20/1
Fifty Sent	25/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Thunder Max	25/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Lady Manyara	18/1	28/1	33/1	25/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Enola Grey

31.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 12 Odds: 15.4

10/11

2nd

Keep Me Stable

19.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 12 Odds: 2.7

14/1

3rd

Cusack

18.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 10.1 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Pembrokeshire

15.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 10 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Whatwouldyouknow

14.1

OR: 3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ledger

10.7

OR: 1 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Thunder Max

7.8

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.3

33/1

King Triton

7.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Lady Manyara

4.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

33/1

Fifty Sent

2.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Thunder Max	70	78	—
King Triton	68	76	41
Keep Me Stable	68	78	48
Enola Grey	67	80	69
Pembrokeshire	67	73	43
Cusack	65	78	55
Whatwouldyouknow	62	76	55
Lady Manyara	62	77	—
Fifty Sent	55	78	57
Ledger	54	78	67

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Enola Grey	4d ago	Quick return
Cusack	8d ago	Quick return
Keep Me Stable	9d ago	Quick return
Ledger	9d ago	Quick return
Whatwouldyouknow	11d ago	Quick return
Fifty Sent	27d ago	Fit
King Triton	40d ago	Fit
Lady Manyara	44d ago	Fit
Pembrokeshire	61d ago	Fresh
Thunder Max	175d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.