Support The Injured Jockeys Fund Novices' Handicap Chase

Catterick

13:30

Date 2023-12-19

Distance 2m3f51y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,697

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Star Flyer Chestnut J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	166	—	34-533	97	102	81	21d	—	—	-3	17.9	0.88/1	7/2 22%
0-9; creditable third on both starts over fences and is one to consider
7	Take Centre Stage Bay J:Ross Chapman T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Ross Chapman T:Rebecca Menzies	158	p	33P-43	89	107	93	21d	—	—	-1	14.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Maiden hurdler; two good runs over fences, latest when third over 2m1f here; a possible
5	Titanium Bullet Grey Roan J:Sean Quinlan T:Joanne Foster	J:Sean Quinlan T:Joanne Foster	163	—	40-403	94	102	87	25d	—	—	+2	14.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Maiden; £32,000 buy in May; good third over C&D on chase debut; should improve; chance
8	Empty Nest Bay J:Jamie Hamilton T:Mark Walford	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Mark Walford	157	—	-9P704	88	102	87	25d	—	—	+1	12.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Improved form on chase debut when fourth over C&D; further progress likely; a possible
11	Kings Justice Bay J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Sam Allwood	J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Sam Allwood	146	p	750-P2	77	102	87	25d	—	—	-1	9.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Modest hurdler; improved on chase debut when second over C&D last time; could go well
10	Time For A Pint Bay J:Richie McLernon T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:Richie McLernon T:Jonjo O'Neill	147	—	/08-55	78	-	-	41d	—	—	-2	10.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Irish point winner; modest hurdler; may do better now going over fences for first time
6	Blue Bear Bay J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Sue Smith	J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Sue Smith	161	—	P-P856	92	-	-	26d	—	—	+5	12.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Modest form but may do better now going over fences for the first time (dam useful chaser)
3	Limerick Leader Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Rose Dobbin	J:Craig Nichol T:Rose Dobbin	165	tp	7-2277	96	106	93	25d	—	—	+7	13.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Novice hurdle winner who is 0-6 over fences, but has a chance on his best form
9	Coolmoyne Chestnut J:John Kington T:Simon Waugh	J:John Kington T:Simon Waugh	153	—	2-2534	84	105	88	26d	—	—	+8	13.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
0-16; fair form over fences, notably when third over 2m3f two runs back; place chance
1	Okavango Delta Bay J:Henry Brooke T:Rose Dobbin	J:Henry Brooke T:Rose Dobbin	168	p	8658-8	99	91	61	41d	—	—	+9	13.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Handicap hurdle winner last term; well beaten over 2m on chase debut; improvement likely
13	Brickadank Bay J:Emma Smith-Chaston(3) T:Micky Hammond	J:Emma Smith-Chaston(3) T:Micky Hammond	142	t	42-P4P	73	104	43	40d	—	—	+4	6.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
0-27; has run a few fair races over fences but stiff task from 3lb out of the handicap
NR	Saint Jaguen Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Fergal O'Brien	J:NON-RUNNER T:Fergal O'Brien	163	t	5-4335	94	-	-	43d	—	—	—	11	—	—
Maiden hurdler; well beaten on reappearance; may do better on chase/handicap debut
NR	Key Factor Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Henry Oliver	J:NON-RUNNER T:Henry Oliver	142	—	747-46	73	94	-	32d	—	—	—	5.8	—	—
Ex-Irish pointer; modest over hurdles; no particular improvement in two runs over fences

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Star Flyer	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1
Take Centre Stage	9/2	5/1	9/2	4/1	5/1
Titanium Bullet	5/1	11/2	5/1	11/2	5/1
Empty Nest	7/1	13/2	13/2	11/2	6/1
Kings Justice	15/2	15/2	7/1	15/2	7/1
Time For A Pint	8/1	13/2	15/2	6/1	11/2
Blue Bear	10/1	12/1	11/1	9/1	11/1
Limerick Leader	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Coolmoyne	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Okavango Delta	50/1	33/1	28/1	33/1	33/1
Brickadank	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Star Flyer

17.9

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

2nd

Titanium Bullet

14.6

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

3rd

Take Centre Stage

14.2

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Okavango Delta

13.5

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

50/1

Coolmoyne

13.4

OR: 8.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Limerick Leader

13.2

OR: 11.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Empty Nest

12.8

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Blue Bear

12.6

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Saint Jaguen

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Time For A Pint

10.6

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

8/1

Kings Justice

9.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Brickadank

6.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Key Factor

5.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Okavango Delta	99	91	61
Star Flyer	97	102	81
Limerick Leader	96	106	93
Titanium Bullet	94	102	87
Saint Jaguen	94	—	—
Blue Bear	92	—	—
Take Centre Stage	89	107	93
Empty Nest	88	102	87
Coolmoyne	84	105	88
Time For A Pint	78	—	—
Kings Justice	77	102	87
Brickadank	73	104	43
Key Factor	73	94	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Star Flyer	21d ago	Fit
Take Centre Stage	21d ago	Fit
Titanium Bullet	25d ago	Fit
Empty Nest	25d ago	Fit
Kings Justice	25d ago	Fit
Limerick Leader	25d ago	Fit
Blue Bear	26d ago	Fit
Coolmoyne	26d ago	Fit
Key Factor	32d ago	Fit
Brickadank	40d ago	Fit
Time For A Pint	41d ago	Fit
Okavango Delta	41d ago	Fit
Saint Jaguen	43d ago	Fit