Howden Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle – Ascot

Ascot

12:45

Howden Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Date 2023-12-22

Distance 2m5f141y

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £8,793

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
2	Magic Seven b J:James Smith(3) T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:James Smith(3) T:Jonjo O'Neill	166	—	414-11	124	128	109	23d	—	—	0	26.5	11/4 27%
Won easily last month over hurdles at Hereford (2m4f, good) in a maiden and novice
6	Roger Pol b J:Will Featherstone(10) T:Jamie Snowden	J:Will Featherstone(10) T:Jamie Snowden	156	—	931-21	114	133	85	51d	—	—	-3	24.4	5/2 29%
Unexposed sort who takes a marked step up in trip for this handicap debut
10	Rebel Intentions b J:Joe Anderson T:Emma Lavelle	J:Joe Anderson T:Emma Lavelle	146	t	-81213	104	130	123	28d	—	—	+20	32.6	6/1 14%
Better than ever over 2m3f/3m here on last two starts; should be bang there
9	Immortal Fame b J:Cameron Iles(8) T:Tom Lacey	J:Cameron Iles(8) T:Tom Lacey	149	p	883-21	107	133	118	35d	—	—	+7	17.1	15/2 12%
Fine record over this sort of trip as a hurdler, another win at Doncaster on latest outing
3	Fifty Ball b J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Gary Moore	J:Niall Houlihan(3) T:Gary Moore	160	p	P-5243	118	132	107	38d	—	—	+12	18.9	12/1 8%
2-5 at Ascot; mostly disappointing in his nine runs this year, including here
7	Mot A Mot gr J:Shane Quinlan T:Sam Thomas	J:Shane Quinlan T:Sam Thomas	156	tp	61/P-5	114	131	103	26d	—	—	+12	17.6	16/1 6%
Won off this mark in April 2022 but it's hard to be that confident in a revival
8	Delgany Bobby Blue b J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Dan Skelton	J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Dan Skelton	152	t	/20-23	110	124	80	34d	—	—	+11	16.6	16/1 6%
Needs to improve his jumping; plenty of encouragement for this longer trip on h'cap debut
1	Fable b J:Freddie Gordon(3) T:Nicky Henderson	J:Freddie Gordon(3) T:Nicky Henderson	168	—	2P13P-	126	128	-	237d	—	—	+22	26.4	20/1 5%
Only two good runs from her six handicaps, the last five of which have been over fences
5	Halifax b J:Conor Ring T:Grace Harris	J:Conor Ring T:Grace Harris	157	tp	163142	115	123	118	79d	—	—	+24	28.4	28/1 3%
Consistent sort but this trip is a concern given most of his runs this year were 2m7f-3m
4	Rathmacknee b J:Tabitha Worsley T:Danni O'Neill	J:Tabitha Worsley T:Danni O'Neill	158	—	PP5-66	116	131	95	64d	—	—	+15	17	80/1 1%
Has not accomplished enough in his two runs for new yard to be persuasive

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Magic Seven	5/2	11/4	9/4	9/4	2/1
Roger Pol	2/1	15/8	5/2	5/2	9/4
Rebel Intentions	6/1	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Immortal Fame	7/1	13/2	15/2	15/2	13/2
Fifty Ball	10/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Mot A Mot	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	12/1
Delgany Bobby Blue	14/1	16/1	16/1	12/1	14/1
Fable	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	18/1
Halifax	28/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	16/1
Rathmacknee	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rebel Intentions

32.6

OR: 13.5 Form: 15.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

2nd

Halifax

28.4

OR: 16.3 Form: 10.9 Odds: 1.2

28/1

3rd

Magic Seven

26.5

OR: 18.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8

11/4

Fable

26.4

OR: 19 Form: 6.2 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Roger Pol

24.4

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

Fifty Ball

18.9

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Mot A Mot

17.6

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Immortal Fame

17.1

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Rathmacknee

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Delgany Bobby Blue

16.6

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fable Top Rated	126	128	—
Magic Seven	124	128	109
Fifty Ball	118	132	107
Rathmacknee	116	131	95
Halifax	115	123	118
Roger Pol	114	133	85
Mot A Mot	114	131	103
Delgany Bobby Blue	110	124	80
Immortal Fame	107	133	118
Rebel Intentions	104	130	123

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Magic Seven	23d ago	Fit
Mot A Mot	26d ago	Fit
Rebel Intentions	28d ago	Fit
Delgany Bobby Blue	34d ago	Fit
Immortal Fame	35d ago	Fit
Fifty Ball	38d ago	Fit
Roger Pol	51d ago	Fresh
Rathmacknee	64d ago	Fresh
Halifax	79d ago	Fresh
Fable	237d ago	Long break