Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap (Div I) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

16:50

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap (Div I)

Date 2023-12-22

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Winning Time 1m 27.34s (slow by 2.44s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Royal Musketeer (GB) David Allan · Steph Hollinshead	15/2	Won
2nd	Novak (GB) Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine	14/1	0.3
3rd	Bowood (GB) Ryan Sexton · Katie Scott	11/4F	1.25
4th	Mr Squires (IRE) Jonny Peate · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	33/1	.75
5th	Reputation (IRE) James Sullivan · Ruth Carr	40/1	.5
6th	Khathak (GB) David Nolan · Richard Fahey	9/1	0.1
7th	Masqool (IRE) Dougie Costello · James Evans	6/1	.75
8th	Embarked (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	6/1	0.2
9th	Night On Earth (IRE) David Egan · Ian Williams	9/2	.75
10th	Giogiobbo (GB) Dale Swift · Scott Dixon	125/1	0.3
11th	Anif (IRE) Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington	22/1	3.25
12th	At Liberty (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	11/1	2

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (3)	Bowood Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Katie Scott	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Katie Scott	134	p	692532	71	85	54	6d	—	—	-1	20	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Placed in three of his four AW handicaps, 2nd of 12 on Saturday; still capable of better
5 (10)	Embarked Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	133	b	744161	70	89	64	86d	—	—	+5	26.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Easy win at Kempton in September has since been franked; big player despite 9lb rise
3 (5)	Night On Earth Bay J:David Egan T:Ian Williams	J:David Egan T:Ian Williams	134	—	606534	71	83	65	14d	—	—	-2	11	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Smart sprinter in his time; on the downgrade and this trip not sure to suit
11 (6)	Masqool Bay J:Dougie Costello T:James Evans	J:Dougie Costello T:James Evans	129	—	435564	66	87	67	18d	—	—	-3	7.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Ran well last time (held up off slow pace) but the drop to 7f asks a different question
1 (9)	Khathak Brown J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	135	tv	830252	72	84	66	14d	—	—	+6	16.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Good 2nd at Newcastle (1m) two weeks ago; claims if backing it up but that's not assured
9 (4)	Royal Musketeer Bay J:David Allan T:Steph Hollinshead	J:David Allan T:Steph Hollinshead	130	—	-25639	67	87	-	104d	—	—	+2	9.3	3.00/1	12/1 8%
On a dangerous mark but needs to return from a break at the top of his game
8 (11)	At Liberty Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	131	—	466576	68	82	60	15d	—	—	-1	6.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Three wins over 1m2f for former yard; tapped for speed late on over C&D on stable debut
2 (12)	Novak Grey J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	134	—	707339	71	83	71	38d	—	—	+6	10.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Failed to fire last time but he's had a good year and he's the type to bounce back quickly
10 (2)	Mr Squires Chestnut J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	129	—	555004	66	83	46	94d	—	—	+2	4.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
C&D winner; struggled with the handicapper this year; gelded since latest run; opposable
6 (8)	Anif Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	132	—	543400	69	87	53	14d	—	—	+2	7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Conditions to suit and on a good mark; needs to step up on his recent return to action
12 (7)	Reputation Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	127	—	970771	64	81	70	15d	—	—	+11	14.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
7f win at Chelmsford this month; needs more in a stronger race
7 (1)	Giogiobbo Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	131	p	14-800	68	83	47	10d	—	—	+3	5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Well held in three runs back from a long absence; enough to prove and due to drop 4lb

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Bowood	7/2	10/3	3/1	3/1	3/1
Embarked	10/3	3/1	3/1	11/4	11/4
Night On Earth	11/2	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Masqool	15/2	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
Khathak	13/2	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
Royal Musketeer	12/1	12/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
At Liberty	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	10/1
Novak	20/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Mr Squires	28/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Anif	16/1	18/1	20/1	14/1	16/1
Reputation	33/1	25/1	28/1	20/1	22/1
Giogiobbo	40/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Embarked

26.2

OR: 5 Form: 15 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Bowood

OR: 5.3 Form: 8.6 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Khathak

16.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 8.1 Odds: 2.9

10/1

Reputation

14.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 1

33/1

Night On Earth

OR: 5.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Novak

10.1

OR: 5.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Royal Musketeer

9.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Masqool

7.5

OR: 4 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Anif

OR: 4.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.4

20/1

At Liberty

6.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Giogiobbo

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Mr Squires

4.9

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Khathak	72	84	66
Bowood	71	85	54
Night On Earth	71	83	65
Novak	71	83	71
Embarked	70	89	64
Anif	69	87	53
At Liberty	68	82	60
Giogiobbo	68	83	47
Royal Musketeer	67	87	—
Masqool	66	87	67
Mr Squires	66	83	46
Reputation	64	81	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bowood	6d ago	Quick return
Giogiobbo	10d ago	Quick return
Night On Earth	14d ago	Fit
Khathak	14d ago	Fit
Anif	14d ago	Fit
At Liberty	15d ago	Fit
Reputation	15d ago	Fit
Masqool	18d ago	Fit
Novak	38d ago	Fit
Embarked	86d ago	Fresh
Mr Squires	94d ago	Long break
Royal Musketeer	104d ago	Long break