BetMGM: It's Showtime EBF Novice Stakes (For Horses Which Have Run No More Than Three Times) (GBB)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:00

Date 2023-12-27

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,672

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Completely Random Grey J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry & Roger Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry & Roger Charlton	133	—	62	-	92	72	18d	—	—	-36	25	0.10/1	2/5 71%
Picked off late over C&D 18 days ago (pair clear); leading form claims and more to come
11 (4)	War Bride Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Amy Murphy	J:Clifford Lee T:Amy Murphy	128	—	2	-	81	73	36d	—	—	-7	10	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Second of six over C&D on last month's debut; more will be required in this deeper race
10 (7)	Persian Blue Bay J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	128	h	624	69	83	36	16d	—	—	-1	11.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Looked tricky at Chelmsford latest; now tried in a hood and her second run was promising
1 (8)	Bestie Bay J:P J McDonald T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:P J McDonald T:Adrian Paul Keatley	133	—	—	-	53	-	212d	—	—	-4	1.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Too green to do himself justice in one run in May; new yard; gelded; bred to do better
9 (1)	Dame Darcey Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ed Walker	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ed Walker	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
150,000gns yearling; appealing pedigree and one to consider in a race short on depth
3 (9)	Floating Voter Brown J:Callum Shepherd T:Ollie Sangster	J:Callum Shepherd T:Ollie Sangster	133	—	—	-	39	-	205d	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Dropped away having shown pace on Windsor debut in June; gelded after; can do better
6 (11)	Sir Garfield Bay J:Harry Russell T:John Quinn	J:Harry Russell T:John Quinn	133	—	68	-	72	62	19d	—	1W/1P 1 run	-1	0.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Needs to raise his game a level and that won't be easy from the outside stall
4 (3)	Naughty Niall Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	0W/1P 1 run	—	-3	1	25.00/1	100/1 1%
50,000euros half-brother to 5f winner out of 6f winner; yard not renowned for 2yo success
8 (2)	Warrendale Wagyu Bay J:Gianluca Sanna(5) T:John Quinn	J:Gianluca Sanna(5) T:John Quinn	133	—	59	-	72	42	19d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Down the field in two 5f runs on Tapeta; one for handicaps after this
7 (10)	Take Care Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Pat Murphy	J:Dylan Hogan T:Pat Murphy	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Second foal of a 6f 2yo AW/7f winner (RPR 95); drawn wide and likely best watched on debut
5 (5)	Profitman Bay J:Dougie Costello T:B F Brookhouse	J:Dougie Costello T:B F Brookhouse	133	h	08	-	39	-	8d	—	—	-1	0.2	43.75/1	175/1 1%
Huge prices and well beaten in two runs at about 1m this month; hood now added

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Completely Random	2/5	2/5	2/5
War Bride	4/1	9/2	9/2
Persian Blue	13/2	11/2	5/1
Bestie	25/1	16/1	16/1
Dame Darcey	25/1	18/1	18/1
Floating Voter	40/1	28/1	28/1
Sir Garfield	100/1	66/1	66/1
Naughty Niall	100/1	50/1	50/1
Warrendale Wagyu	150/1	125/1	125/1
Take Care	250/1	150/1	175/1
Profitman	100/1	150/1	175/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Completely Random

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 20

2/5

2nd

Persian Blue

11.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

3rd

War Bride

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5

9/2

Dame Darcey

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2

25/1

Bestie

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Naughty Niall

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

100/1

Floating Voter

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Sir Garfield

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Warrendale Wagyu

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Take Care

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Profitman

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

175/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Persian Blue	69	83	36
Completely Random	—	92	72
War Bride	—	81	73
Bestie	—	53	—
Dame Darcey	—	—	—
Floating Voter	—	39	—
Sir Garfield	—	72	62
Naughty Niall	—	—	—
Warrendale Wagyu	—	72	42
Take Care	—	—	—
Profitman	—	39	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Profitman	8d ago	Quick return
Persian Blue	16d ago	Fit
Completely Random	18d ago	Fit
Sir Garfield	19d ago	Fit
Warrendale Wagyu	19d ago	Fit
War Bride	36d ago	Fit
Floating Voter	205d ago	Long break
Bestie	212d ago	Long break
Dame Darcey	—	—
Naughty Niall	—	—
Take Care	—	—