BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:30

BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Handicap

Date 2023-12-28

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,873

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (8)	Flindrikin Chestnut J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	134	—	732	73	86	42	22d	—	—	-5	20.5	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Gives the impression she'll progress well now handicapping and upped in distance
7 (7)	Blue Yonder Grey J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	129	v	802923	68	85	61	24d	—	—	0	17.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Couple of sound efforts since wearing a visor; possibilities in the retained headgear
1 (4)	Typical Woman Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	135	—	724263	72	84	67	33d	—	—	+2	16	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Stayed on for third over 1m6f last time; drop back to 1m2f looks a negative
5 (2)	Reel Prospect Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	133	—	3-416	70	79	39	44d	—	—	0	10	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Still unexposed but the jury's out on whether he'll stay this new trip
8 (6)	Graces Quest Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Jim Goldie	J:Joanna Mason T:Jim Goldie	124	—	562235	61	83	64	7d	—	—	0	12.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
In-form mare but has done most of her racing over longer distances
2 (1)	Bringbackmemories Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	135	t	297531	72	82	-	95d	—	—	+11	20.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Won turf seller when last seen; this is harder and the surface is an unknown
9 (9)	My Roxanne Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Brian Ellison	J:Cam Hardie T:Brian Ellison	123	—	393512	62	82	72	41d	—	—	+9	18.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
In-form filly who has place possibilities upped a bit further in trip
6 (5)	Tilsitt Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:R Mike Smith	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:R Mike Smith	131	tp	445469	68	65	54	55d	—	—	+2	5.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
On a 17-race losing sequence and ran poorly over C&D most recently
NR (3)	Avon Light Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:NON-RUNNER T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	135	t	828343	74	-	-	8d	—	—	—	11.5	—	—
Seven-race maiden who has consistent AW form; looks a solid contender

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Flindrikin	5/2	11/4	5/2	85/40	5/2
Blue Yonder	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2
Typical Woman	5/1	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Reel Prospect	8/1	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Graces Quest	7/1	15/2	15/2	7/1	7/1
Bringbackmemories	7/1	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
My Roxanne	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Tilsitt	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Flindrikin

20.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 7.6

11/4

2nd

Bringbackmemories

20.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.7

8/1

3rd

My Roxanne

18.6

OR: 3 Form: 12.9 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Blue Yonder

17.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 8 Odds: 5

4/1

Typical Woman

OR: 5.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4

5/1

Graces Quest

12.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 6.1 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Avon Light

11.5

OR: 6 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0

—

Reel Prospect

OR: 5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Tilsitt

5.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Avon Light	74	—	—
Flindrikin	73	86	42
Typical Woman	72	84	67
Bringbackmemories	72	82	—
Reel Prospect	70	79	39
Blue Yonder	68	85	61
Tilsitt	68	65	54
My Roxanne	62	82	72
Graces Quest	61	83	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Graces Quest	7d ago	Quick return
Avon Light	8d ago	Quick return
Flindrikin	22d ago	Fit
Blue Yonder	24d ago	Fit
Typical Woman	33d ago	Fit
My Roxanne	41d ago	Fit
Reel Prospect	44d ago	Fit
Tilsitt	55d ago	Fresh
Bringbackmemories	95d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.