Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap (Div II)

Southwell (AW)

16:30

Date 2023-12-29

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (2)	Camacho Star Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	133	—	100041	59	78	48	14d	—	—	-6	20.3	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Had wind surgery prior to his 7f success here two weeks ago; stays 1m; commands respect
3 (10)	Locked N' Loaded Bay J:P J McDonald T:Tony Carroll	J:P J McDonald T:Tony Carroll	134	—	882577	59	76	51	19d	—	—	-9	9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Went close at this course in March; interesting off 4lb lower back here; drops in class
6 (11)	Rose Light Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	J:Rowan Scott T:Gemma Tutty	132	—	243756	57	77	63	24d	—	—	-5	5.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Still a maiden but looks well handicapped on peak efforts; third start for new yard
11 (6)	Maurices Men Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	123	—	8594	49	67	52	22d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Signs of improvement at Chelmsford (handicap debut) three weeks ago; still unexposed
4 (12)	David's Diva Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Rod Millman	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Rod Millman	134	—	5-336	60	69	56	24d	—	—	-4	5.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Continues to show ability; remains open to progress at this level; second handicap attempt
9 (1)	Martin's Brig Bay J:David Allan T:David Thompson	J:David Allan T:David Thompson	128	b	888324	53	74	48	22d	—	0W/0P 1 run	0	8.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Has done all his winning at 7f but ran respectably over C&D three weeks ago; in the mix
1 (3)	Amaysmont Bay J:David Nolan T:Kevin Frost	J:David Nolan T:Kevin Frost	136	—	409745	61	68	42	20d	—	—	-3	5.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Fairly useful on his day but was a disappointing favourite dropped to this grade last time
8 (7)	Daafy Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	J:Cam Hardie T:Derek Shaw	130	v	546567	55	75	56	18d	—	—	-3	3	3.50/1	14/1 7%
On a 16-race losing sequence but the return to Southwell is a plus; all wins here
10 (9)	Big Narstie b/br J:Harry Davies T:Michael Appleby	J:Harry Davies T:Michael Appleby	127	—	600076	52	72	47	22d	—	—	-4	2.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Ran quite encouragingly over C&D last time; defied a 15lb higher mark here in February
2 (4)	Miss Britain Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Ian McInnes	J:Billy Garritty T:Ian McInnes	135	—	870504	60	74	46	20d	—	—	-2	4.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Has become well treated; shaped encouragingly on latest start; not ruled out
7 (8)	Nine Elms Chestnut J:Lewis Edmunds T:Kevin Frost	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Kevin Frost	130	b	635790	55	73	-	13d	—	—	+1	2.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Needs to rebound in a big way, having failed to beat a rival the last twice
NR (5)	Broomy Law Bay J:TBC T:Scott Dixon	J: T:Scott Dixon	121	b	890700	46	60	46	2d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Regressive and longstanding maiden; holds very weak claims on 2023 form

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Camacho Star	3/1	11/4	11/4
Locked N' Loaded	4/1	4/1	4/1
Rose Light	7/1	15/2	15/2
Maurices Men	15/2	7/1	7/1
David's Diva	15/2	17/2	8/1
Martin's Brig	17/2	9/1	9/1
Amaysmont	10/1	9/1	9/1
Daafy	11/1	14/1	14/1
Big Narstie	16/1	16/1	16/1
Miss Britain	20/1	18/1	18/1
Nine Elms	50/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Camacho Star

20.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 10 Odds: 8

3/1

2nd

Locked N' Loaded

OR: 2.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

3rd

Martin's Brig

8.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Rose Light

5.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.1

15/2

David's Diva

5.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Amaysmont

5.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Miss Britain

4.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Daafy

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Maurices Men

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Nine Elms

2.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Big Narstie

2.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Broomy Law

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Amaysmont	61	68	42
David's Diva	60	69	56
Miss Britain	60	74	46
Camacho Star	59	78	48
Locked N' Loaded	59	76	51
Rose Light	57	77	63
Daafy	55	75	56
Nine Elms	55	73	—
Martin's Brig	53	74	48
Big Narstie	52	72	47
Maurices Men	49	67	52
Broomy Law	46	60	46

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Broomy Law	2d ago	Quick return
Nine Elms	13d ago	Quick return
Camacho Star	14d ago	Fit
Daafy	18d ago	Fit
Locked N' Loaded	19d ago	Fit
Amaysmont	20d ago	Fit
Miss Britain	20d ago	Fit
Maurices Men	22d ago	Fit
Martin's Brig	22d ago	Fit
Big Narstie	22d ago	Fit
Rose Light	24d ago	Fit
David's Diva	24d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.