Ferne Equine Rehab Centre Novices' Handicap Chase

Taunton

13:35

Date 2023-12-30

Distance 2m7f3y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,680

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Safe Destination Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	161	—	4-P1P1	93	105	85	33d	—	—	-6	18	0.75/1	3/1 25%
2-4 over fences; open to further progress but too inconsistent to rely upon
7	Hard Frost Bay J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	156	tp	6224-2	88	107	92	23d	—	—	+4	18.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Runner-up in three of his four chases; major player if this step up in trip suits
2	Miltiades Bay J:Alice Stevens(5) T:Henry Daly	J:Alice Stevens(5) T:Henry Daly	168	—	P3-231	100	103	88	24d	—	—	+3	16.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Came good over fences at Ludlow (2m4f) this month; tries a new trip today; respected
8	Ballinoulart b/br J:Jonathan Burke T:Alastair Ralph	J:Jonathan Burke T:Alastair Ralph	151	p	033-22	83	104	89	39d	—	—	-2	12.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Placed in all four chases but will have something to prove if the ground turns soft here
5	Furkash Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	159	p	3-U243	91	105	67	30d	—	—	+5	15.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
0-13 over fences but dropped another 2lb since last month's C&D third; enters calculations
9	Barrowmount Bay J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	143	—	3-4696	75	94	63	11d	—	—	+3	10.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Well handicapped on hurdling form but well beaten in two chases this autumn
1	Moodofthemoment Chestnut J:Sean Houlihan T:David Pipe	J:Sean Houlihan T:David Pipe	168	t	745P-P	100	-	-	235d	—	—	+8	14.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Pulled up in both handicap hurdles but could still have a good future over fences
4	He'llstopatthetop Bay J:Harry Kimber(3) T:Keiran Burke	J:Harry Kimber(3) T:Keiran Burke	159	—	/U-77P	91	-	-	21d	—	—	+5	12.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Showed nothing more than glimmers of promise over hurdles; chase/handicap debut today
11	Noah's Light Bay J:David Noonan T:Richenda Ford	J:David Noonan T:Richenda Ford	142	tv	V46P67	74	98	72	12d	—	—	+3	7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Hurdle winner in Ireland in November 2021 but very disappointing for this stable since
NR	Hokelami b/br J:Connor Brace T:Robbie Llewellyn	J:Connor Brace T:Robbie Llewellyn	156	t	0314-P	88	-	-	44d	—	—	—	9.5	—	—
Selling hurdle winner; lacked fluency and was very disappointing on chasing debut
NR	Rolling Clouds Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Martin Keighley	J:Adam Wedge T:Martin Keighley	142	p	9045-P	74	100	77	32d	—	—	—	6	—	—
Pulled up on seasonal debut and now 0-11 under all codes; improvement required

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Safe Destination	3/1	3/1	5/2
Hard Frost	9/2	4/1	4/1
Miltiades	5/1	5/1	5/1
Ballinoulart	11/2	11/2	11/2
Furkash	8/1	15/2	15/2
Barrowmount	10/1	9/1	9/1
Moodofthemoment	14/1	12/1	12/1
He'llstopatthetop	9/1	11/1	11/1
Noah's Light	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hard Frost

18.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Safe Destination

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

3/1

3rd

Miltiades

16.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

Furkash

15.2

OR: 10.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Moodofthemoment

14.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

He'llstopatthetop

12.4

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Ballinoulart

12.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Barrowmount

10.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Hokelami

9.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Noah's Light

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Rolling Clouds

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Miltiades	100	103	88
Moodofthemoment	100	—	—
Safe Destination	93	105	85
Furkash	91	105	67
He'llstopatthetop	91	—	—
Hard Frost	88	107	92
Hokelami	88	—	—
Ballinoulart	83	104	89
Barrowmount	75	94	63
Noah's Light	74	98	72
Rolling Clouds	74	100	77

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Barrowmount	11d ago	Quick return
Noah's Light	12d ago	Quick return
He'llstopatthetop	21d ago	Fit
Hard Frost	23d ago	Fit
Miltiades	24d ago	Fit
Furkash	30d ago	Fit
Rolling Clouds	32d ago	Fit
Safe Destination	33d ago	Fit
Ballinoulart	39d ago	Fit
Hokelami	44d ago	Fit
Moodofthemoment	235d ago	Long break