Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:45

Date 2023-12-30

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,104

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (8)	Verdansk Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	133	—	-30302	78	93	76	14d	—	—	-23	34.1	0.15/1	8/13 62%
Sets decent standard on his two AW runs for this yard, beaten neck in handicap here latest
4 (1)	Mapogo Grey J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	133	t	2	-	82	32	11d	—	—	-9	10.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Well held in two bumpers but promise when second on recent course Flat debut; can improve
7 (10)	Thats Dandy Harry Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roger Teal	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roger Teal	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Has quite a useful sprint pedigree but this is a belated debut
2 (5)	Hombre Grey J:Cameron Noble T:Joseph Parr	J:Cameron Noble T:Joseph Parr	133	—	3	-	71	33	26d	—	—	-3	5.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Some promise when third on C&D debut 26 days ago; entitled to progress
1 (9)	Cobh Harbour Bay J:Shane Kelly T:Mark Loughnane	J:Shane Kelly T:Mark Loughnane	133	—	33	-	73	40	15d	—	—	+1	6.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Third both starts around 5f (Tapeta latterly) but improvement needed now up at 7f
6 (2)	Pierrefonds Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	133	h	76	-	64	29	26d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
More one for handicaps judged on his two Flat efforts (both 7f) in recent weeks
10 (4)	Eskimo Flo Chestnut J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Garswood filly who would be a surprise winner on debut
9 (3)	Daffin Bay J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Kevin Frost	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:Kevin Frost	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Cost £65,000 as a yearling but Kevin Frost picked her up for only 1,400gns in June
5 (7)	Metal Beau Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Sarah Hollinshead	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Sarah Hollinshead	133	—	8	-	53	-	47d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Sent off at 250-1 when down the field on his 8.6f course debut 47 days ago
3 (6)	Lord Whitemere Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Grace Harris	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Grace Harris	133	—	8	-	23	-	11d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Pulled up in Exeter bumper and always rear switched to the Flat here 11 days ago

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Verdansk	8/13	8/13	4/7	4/7	8/15
Mapogo	7/2	7/2	3/1	3/1	10/3
Thats Dandy Harry	7/1	7/1	7/1	6/1	13/2
Hombre	8/1	17/2	17/2	8/1	8/1
Cobh Harbour	20/1	20/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Pierrefonds	33/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	28/1
Eskimo Flo	66/1	125/1	100/1	100/1	125/1
Daffin	50/1	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Metal Beau	150/1	200/1	200/1	150/1	200/1
Lord Whitemere	200/1	250/1	200/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Verdansk

34.1

OR: 7 Form: 7.1 Odds: 20

8/13

2nd

Mapogo

10.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Cobh Harbour

6.5

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Hombre

5.5

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Thats Dandy Harry

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Pierrefonds

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Daffin

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Eskimo Flo

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Metal Beau

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Lord Whitemere

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Verdansk	78	93	76
Mapogo	—	82	32
Thats Dandy Harry	—	—	—
Hombre	—	71	33
Cobh Harbour	—	73	40
Pierrefonds	—	64	29
Eskimo Flo	—	—	—
Daffin	—	—	—
Metal Beau	—	53	—
Lord Whitemere	—	23	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mapogo	11d ago	Quick return
Lord Whitemere	11d ago	Quick return
Verdansk	14d ago	Fit
Cobh Harbour	15d ago	Fit
Hombre	26d ago	Fit
Pierrefonds	26d ago	Fit
Metal Beau	47d ago	Fresh
Thats Dandy Harry	—	—
Eskimo Flo	—	—
Daffin	—	—