BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Apprentice Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

14:35

BetUK. It's Where The UK Bets Apprentice Handicap

Date 2024-01-01

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,851

Winning Time 2m 13.62s (slow by 6.12s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Flindrikin (IRE) Adam Farragher · William Haggas	9/2	Won
2nd	Urban Road (GB) Jonny Peate · Alan Brown	33/1	0.2
3rd	Great Blasket (IRE) Gina Mangan · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	11/4F	0.05
4th	Carbis Bay (GB) Christian Howarth · Marco Botti	6/1	1.5
5th	Tribal Wisdom (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Ian Williams	17/2	.5
6th	My Roxanne (IRE) Ryan Sexton · Brian Ellison	11/1	.75
7th	Headingley (IRE) Mark Winn · David O'Meara	28/1	0.05
8th	Open Choice (USA) Pierre-Louis Jamin · Edward Bethell	6/1	1.25
9th	Sense Of Worth (IRE) Paddy Bradley · Seb Spencer	8/1	1.75
10th	Ribble Rouser (IRE) Alex Fielding · Tim Easterby	20/1	1.25
11th	Broctune Red (GB) Aiden Brookes · Gillian Boanas	25/1	.75
12th	Mercurius Power (IRE) Aidan Keeley · Jessica Macey	18/1	.75

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (7)	Great Blasket Bay J:Gina Mangan T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Gina Mangan T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	130	—	11951-	68	85	67	10d	—	—	+3	26.8	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Made it 3-5 in handicaps when scoring on his recent stable debut; respected at new trip
3 (9)	Flindrikin Chestnut J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	135	t	7323-	73	83	41	4d	—	—	+4	17.8	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Went close on her handicap debut over C&D on Thursday; respected with tongue-tie added
4 (12)	Open Choice Chestnut J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Edward Bethell	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Edward Bethell	132	p	43486-	70	82	37	24d	—	—	-3	9.2	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Ran into some trouble over 1m here last time and he could be dangerous back up in trip
6 (1)	Sense Of Worth Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Seb Spencer	J:Paddy Bradley T:Seb Spencer	131	—	00751-	68	87	63	11d	—	—	+2	19.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Justified favouritism in good style at Southwell (1m3f) and he's a big player again up 4lb
1 (2)	Carbis Bay Bay J:Christian Howarth T:Marco Botti	J:Christian Howarth T:Marco Botti	136	p	26652-	74	84	68	21d	—	—	+4	15.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
0-7 but was runner-up at Chelmsford (1m2f) last time and he's respected off unchanged mark
12 (6)	Tribal Wisdom Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Ian Williams	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ian Williams	122	—	90674-	59	82	57	19d	—	—	-4	4.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
0-12 but he's unexposed on AW and didn't get much luck when fourth at Lingfield last time
11 (4)	My Roxanne Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Brian Ellison	J:Ryan Sexton T:Brian Ellison	124	—	35124-	62	82	71	4d	—	—	+7	14	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Unexposed at this trip and was an eyecatching fourth over C&D on Thursday; not ruled out
2 (10)	Ribble Rouser Chestnut J:Alex Fielding(7) T:Tim Easterby	J:Alex Fielding(7) T:Tim Easterby	136	t	33321-	74	81	46	24d	—	—	+19	23.7	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Made all in 1m novice here last time and he's respected at this new trip on handicap debut
9 (3)	Mercurius Power Bay J:Aidan Keeley T:Jessica Macey	J:Aidan Keeley T:Jessica Macey	125	tp	95431-	62	82	55	24d	—	—	+11	16.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Finished well when scoring over 1m here last time and he's respected back up in trip
8 (5)	Broctune Red Chestnut J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Gillian Boanas	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Gillian Boanas	127	—	48438-	64	84	76	24d	—	—	+3	6.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Six-time course winner and he has possibilities if he gets a good pace and some luck
5 (11)	Headingley Bay J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	132	p	6/656-	69	81	71	18d	—	—	+2	5.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Well held since returning from a lengthy absence in October and others are preferred
10 (8)	Urban Road Chestnut J:Jonny Peate T:Alan Brown	J:Jonny Peate T:Alan Brown	125	v	71230-	62	85	71	10d	—	—	+8	11.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Four wins since April but was disappointing last time and he's untried at this trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Great Blasket	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1	3/1
Flindrikin	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Open Choice	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Sense Of Worth	9/2	11/2	11/2	7/2	11/2
Carbis Bay	8/1	7/1	7/1	13/2	7/1
Tribal Wisdom	8/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
My Roxanne	14/1	12/1	12/1	10/1	12/1
Ribble Rouser	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Mercurius Power	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Broctune Red	25/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Headingley	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Urban Road	33/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Great Blasket

26.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 15 Odds: 7.3

3/1

2nd

Ribble Rouser

23.7

OR: 6 Form: 16.5 Odds: 1.2

18/1

3rd

Sense Of Worth

19.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5

11/2

Flindrikin

17.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 8 Odds: 4

5/1

Mercurius Power

16.5

OR: 3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Carbis Bay

15.3

OR: 6 Form: 6 Odds: 3.3

8/1

My Roxanne

OR: 3 Form: 9.1 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Urban Road

11.4

OR: 3 Form: 7.6 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Open Choice

9.2

OR: 5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Broctune Red

6.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Headingley

5.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Tribal Wisdom

4.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Carbis Bay	74	84	68
Ribble Rouser	74	81	46
Flindrikin	73	83	41
Open Choice	70	82	37
Headingley	69	81	71
Great Blasket	68	85	67
Sense Of Worth	68	87	63
Broctune Red	64	84	76
My Roxanne	62	82	71
Mercurius Power	62	82	55
Urban Road	62	85	71
Tribal Wisdom	59	82	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Flindrikin	4d ago	Quick return
My Roxanne	4d ago	Quick return
Great Blasket	10d ago	Quick return
Urban Road	10d ago	Quick return
Sense Of Worth	11d ago	Quick return
Headingley	18d ago	Fit
Tribal Wisdom	19d ago	Fit
Carbis Bay	21d ago	Fit
Open Choice	24d ago	Fit
Ribble Rouser	24d ago	Fit
Mercurius Power	24d ago	Fit
Broctune Red	24d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.