BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Apprentice Classified Stakes (Div II)

Lingfield (AW)

12:15

Date 2024-01-04

Distance 6f1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (7)	Coast Bay J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Scott Dixon	128	—	22503-	49	71	59	8d	—	—	-11	12.8	0.69/1	11/4 27%
C&D winner in August; several good runs at Wolverhampton since; firmly in the mix
2 (9)	Bear To Dream Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	128	—	69554-	49	67	52	31d	—	—	-15	6.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Unplaced in all 11 AW starts but ran creditably latest; can't be discounted at this level
11 (3)	Universal Grace Bay J:Luke Catton(3) T:Stuart Williams	J:Luke Catton(3) T:Stuart Williams	128	t	15553-	48	68	61	29d	—	—	-8	10.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
5f winner on AW in September; looks ready for today's return to 6f; one to take seriously
6 (5)	Jacquelina Bay J:Tyler Heard T:Phil McEntee	J:Tyler Heard T:Phil McEntee	128	—	57674-	49	69	48	17d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Well backed at Wolverhampton latest (5f) and ran a sound race; effective at 6f; chance
3 (8)	Capallcliste Bay J:Rafael Souza(7) T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Rafael Souza(7) T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	128	—	00095-	42	47	40	143d	—	—	-6	2.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Latest run (August) was a bit better but without suggesting he was a winner in waiting
8 (6)	Memberry Grey J:George Bass T:Geoffrey Deacon	J:George Bass T:Geoffrey Deacon	128	—	8/808-	50	64	-	309d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Low mileage but now drops to 6f for first time and has something to prove after absence
10 (1)	Penny Be Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	J:Billy Loughnane T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	128	—	53888-	43	61	-	136d	—	—	-2	2.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Inconsistent but her best efforts give her claims and Billy Loughnane looks a good booking
7 (11)	Mark The Sparks Bay J:Joe Bradnam(7) T:Bill Turner	J:Joe Bradnam(7) T:Bill Turner	128	—	798-	48	54	19	20d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Down the field in three maidens (5f-7f); this is more suitable but improvement is required
5 (4)	Hey Ho Let's Go Bay J:Aidan Keeley T:Mark Hoad	J:Aidan Keeley T:Mark Hoad	128	—	85608-	47	65	36	12d	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
C&D winner; out of sorts in 2023 and comes here with too much to prove for comfort
9 (2)	Musaytir Grey J:Georgia Dobie T:Grace Harris	J:Georgia Dobie T:Grace Harris	128	v	70007-	41	64	30	13d	—	—	-2	0.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Not in much form of late but that was also the case when winning this race 12 months ago
NR (10)	Alya's Gold Award Bay J:TBC T:Tony Carroll	J: T:Tony Carroll	128	—	46600-	40	59	-	16d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Exposed maiden who has issues at the start; easy enough to look elsewhere

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Coast	11/4	11/4	11/4
Bear To Dream	10/3	3/1	11/4
Universal Grace	4/1	7/2	10/3
Jacquelina	4/1	9/2	9/2
Capallcliste	11/1	11/1	11/1
Memberry	14/1	12/1	12/1
Penny Be	20/1	22/1	22/1
Mark The Sparks	33/1	28/1	28/1
Hey Ho Let's Go	40/1	28/1	28/1
Musaytir	40/1	50/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Coast

12.8

OR: 0 Form: 5.5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Universal Grace

10.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

4/1

3rd

Bear To Dream

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Jacquelina

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Capallcliste

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Penny Be

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Memberry

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Mark The Sparks

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Hey Ho Let's Go

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Musaytir

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Alya's Gold Award

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Memberry	50	64	—
Coast	49	71	59
Bear To Dream	49	67	52
Jacquelina	49	69	48
Universal Grace	48	68	61
Mark The Sparks	48	54	19
Hey Ho Let's Go	47	65	36
Penny Be	43	61	—
Capallcliste	42	47	40
Musaytir	41	64	30
Alya's Gold Award	40	59	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Coast	8d ago	Quick return
Hey Ho Let's Go	12d ago	Quick return
Musaytir	13d ago	Quick return
Alya's Gold Award	16d ago	Fit
Jacquelina	17d ago	Fit
Mark The Sparks	20d ago	Fit
Universal Grace	29d ago	Fit
Bear To Dream	31d ago	Fit
Penny Be	136d ago	Long break
Capallcliste	143d ago	Long break
Memberry	309d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 6f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.