Win £2,000,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals Classified Stakes

Newcastle (AW)

18:40

Date 2024-01-04

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (10)	Amerrone Chestnut J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	128	b	60/9-	45	50	-	253d	—	—	-13	5.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Has achieved little in sprint novice events but may improve for this new scenario
12 (9)	Two Rivers Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	128	p	0346-3	46	65	46	2d	—	—	-9	8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Still a maiden and has something to prove back down in trip
3 (4)	Atrafan Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Alan Brown	J:Dougie Costello T:Alan Brown	128	b	21807-	50	70	25	20d	—	—	-5	7.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Veteran who has form figures of 112121 in classified races; interesting back at this level
8 (7)	Retirement Beckons Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Linda Perratt	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Linda Perratt	128	—	46557-	49	69	40	58d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
All wins at 1m and on turf; however, last classified attempt resulted in a success
9 (1)	Royal Prospect Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Susan Corbett	J:Cam Hardie T:Susan Corbett	128	tp	06274-	50	71	50	—	—	—	-5	5.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Unlucky fourth in C&D handicap two months ago; good chance granted better fortune
4 (12)	Cheese The One Grey J:Faye McManoman T:Stella Barclay	J:Faye McManoman T:Stella Barclay	128	b	34347-	47	67	57	17d	—	—	-5	5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Form dipped last time but otherwise consistent since wearing blinkers; may rebound
11 (8)	True Nation Brown J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	128	p	97969-	50	70	21	22d	—	—	-7	2.7	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Record suggests she may improve for this drop back to 7f
10 (5)	Rum Runner Bay J:Shane Gray T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Shane Gray T:Geoffrey Harker	128	—	00364-	47	65	38	58d	—	—	-5	3.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Sole attempt at classified level resulted in Catterick win last August; shortlisted
6 (6)	Indrapura Star Grey J:James Sullivan T:Patrick Morris	J:James Sullivan T:Patrick Morris	128	p	99009-	50	54	36	17d	—	—	-3	1.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Far from solid on form
7 (11)	Maddisonelle Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Gillian Boanas	J:Joanna Mason T:Gillian Boanas	128	—	00/97-	42	55	-	75d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Has weak form claims
5 (2)	Heartlander Chestnut J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	J:Rowan Scott T:Ewan Whillans	128	t	/0800-	44	45	-	25d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Holds dismal claims on 2023 form; tongue-tie needs to make a big difference
NR (3)	Annalee Lass Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Peter Niven	J:NON-RUNNER T:Peter Niven	128	p	33369-	49	69	-	25d	—	0W/0P 1 run	—	3	—	—
Still seems best at about 1m but has the ability to take a serious hand on these terms

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Amerrone	4/1	7/2	10/3
Two Rivers	4/1	4/1	4/1
Atrafan	6/1	11/2	11/2
Retirement Beckons	6/1	6/1	6/1
Royal Prospect	15/2	7/1	7/1
Cheese The One	7/1	15/2	15/2
True Nation	8/1	8/1	8/1
Rum Runner	11/1	10/1	9/1
Indrapura Star	25/1	33/1	33/1
Maddisonelle	66/1	66/1	66/1
Heartlander	100/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Two Rivers

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Atrafan

7.6

OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 3.6

6/1

3rd

Royal Prospect

5.6

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Amerrone

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Cheese The One

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Rum Runner

3.9

OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Retirement Beckons

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Annalee Lass

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

True Nation

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Indrapura Star

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

33/1

Maddisonelle

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Heartlander

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Atrafan	50	70	25
Royal Prospect	50	71	50
True Nation	50	70	21
Indrapura Star	50	54	36
Retirement Beckons	49	69	40
Annalee Lass	49	69	—
Cheese The One	47	67	57
Rum Runner	47	65	38
Two Rivers	46	65	46
Amerrone	45	50	—
Heartlander	44	45	—
Maddisonelle	42	55	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Two Rivers	2d ago	Quick return
Cheese The One	17d ago	Fit
Indrapura Star	17d ago	Fit
Atrafan	20d ago	Fit
True Nation	22d ago	Fit
Heartlander	25d ago	Fit
Annalee Lass	25d ago	Fit
Retirement Beckons	58d ago	Fresh
Rum Runner	58d ago	Fresh
Maddisonelle	75d ago	Fresh
Amerrone	253d ago	Long break
Royal Prospect	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.