Quays Bar And Bistro Fermoy And The Stables Bar Carrigaline Beginners Chase

Cork

2:32

Date 2024-01-06

Distance 2m4f

Class

Going Soft To Heavy

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €7,670

Winning Time 5m 38.80s (slow by 52.80s)

Result

Pos	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	SP	Btn
1st	Jet Setting Johnny (IRE) J:Hugh Morgan T:Miss Ellmarie Holden	Hugh Morgan / Miss Ellmarie Holden	—	100/30	0
2nd	Thedancingfarrier (IRE) J:Liam Quinlan T:Paul Stephen Kiely	Liam Quinlan / Paul Stephen Kiely	—	33/1	.5
3rd	Noble Blue (FR) J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	Sean Flanagan / Paul Nolan	—	2/1F	4.75
4th	Nephin Beg (IRE) J:Danny Gilligan T:Sean Thomas Doyle	Danny Gilligan / Sean Thomas Doyle	—	9/4	3
5th	Iron Allen (FR) J:E Walsh T:Ciaran Murphy	E Walsh / Ciaran Murphy	—	9/1	1.5
6th	Kellie's Dream (IRE) J:Trevor Ryan T:Andrew Slattery	Trevor Ryan / Andrew Slattery	—	16/1	1.25
7th	Rising Dust (IRE) J:Jack G Gilligan T:Michael Hourigan	Jack G Gilligan / Michael Hourigan	—	66/1	0.2
8th	Well Polly (IRE) J:Daniel King T:Miss J M Lee	Daniel King / Miss J M Lee	—	28/1	.5
9th	Aghmorough Bridge (IRE) J:Simon Torrens T:William P Murphy	Simon Torrens / William P Murphy	—	17/2	2.75
10th	Downtheoldbogroad (IRE) J:Ryan Treacy T:Michael Hourigan	Ryan Treacy / Michael Hourigan	—	80/1	46

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
6	Noble Blue b J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	166	—	-34824	-	115	29	39d	—	—	-14	12.1	9/4 31%
Promising chase debut, 2nd at Gowran; didn't build on that latest but can resume progress
5	Nephin Beg b J:Danny Gilligan(5) T:Sean Thomas Doyle	J:Danny Gilligan(5) T:Sean Thomas Doyle	166	—	-0563F	102	102	8	8d	—	—	-3	20.9	11/4 27%
Good 3rd in beginners' and still involved when coming down latest but this is tougher
3	Jet Setting Johnny b J:Hugh Morgan T:Miss Ellmarie Holden	J:Hugh Morgan T:Miss Ellmarie Holden	166	t	30-P43	113	111	92	30d	—	—	+2	21.5	7/2 22%
Credit in two chase starts so far and form of latest 3rd is working out; can go well
9	Aghmorough Bridge b J:Simon Torrens T:William P Murphy	J:Simon Torrens T:William P Murphy	159	—	3-4301	-	-	-	8d	—	—	-6	5.4	7/1 13%
3 point wins; defied odds of 50-1 when bolting up last week; needs more back over fences
2	Iron Allen gr J:E Walsh T:Ciaran Murphy	J:E Walsh T:Ciaran Murphy	166	—	4-0751	-	-	-	23d	—	—	-6	2.5	9/1 10%
Point winner; off the mark under rules over timber latest; bit to find on form though
10	Kellie's Dream b J:Trevor Ryan(5) T:Andrew Slattery	J:Trevor Ryan(5) T:Andrew Slattery	159	t	-41695	-	-	-	105d	—	—	-1	4.6	14/1 7%
2-13 over hurdles; would need to take her form to a new level on chase debut; tongue-tie
12	Well Polly b J:Daniel King(3) T:Miss J M Lee	J:Daniel King(3) T:Miss J M Lee	159	p	690646	83	-	-	46d	—	—	+6	9	40/1 2%
Dual hurdle winner; struggling for form of late; hard to recommend on chase debut
8	Thedancingfarrier ch J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:Paul Stephen Kiely	J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:Paul Stephen Kiely	166	—	50-0P9	-	96	-	23d	—	—	-2	0.8	40/1 2%
Veteran; has looked regressive over the last 18 months and would need a career best
1	Downtheoldbogroad ch J:Ryan Treacy T:Michael Hourigan	J:Ryan Treacy T:Michael Hourigan	166	—	4/7-07	-	-	-	30d	—	—	-2	0.8	80/1 1%
Promising debut in March 2022 but has struggled since and he's best watched on chase debut
7	Rising Dust b J:Jack G Gilligan(7) T:Michael Hourigan	J:Jack G Gilligan(7) T:Michael Hourigan	166	—	607030	-	64	-	39d	—	—	+1	2.6	125/1 1%
Minor promise over timber but tailed off in beginners' at Tramore in November
NR	Joe's Turn b J:TBC T:R P Rath	J: T:R P Rath	166	—	3PP0-0	-	-	-	233d	—	—	—	0	—
Point winner; ran okay in bumper on rules debut but poor form since; questions to answer
NR	Knocknagappagh b J:TBC T:Peter Fahey	J: T:Peter Fahey	159	p	462072	95	100	83	5d	—	—	—	17.8	—
0-21; well held 2nd in novice chase earlier this week; more required back up in trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Noble Blue	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	2/1
Nephin Beg	9/4	5/2	9/4	5/2	11/4
Jet Setting Johnny	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Aghmorough Bridge	7/1	6/1	6/1	13/2	6/1
Iron Allen	9/1	8/1	15/2	8/1	8/1
Kellie's Dream	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Well Polly	40/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	33/1
Thedancingfarrier	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Downtheoldbogroad	80/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	25/1
Rising Dust	125/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jet Setting Johnny

21.5

OR: 15.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

2nd

Nephin Beg

20.9

OR: 13 Form: 0.6 Odds: 7.3

11/4

3rd

Knocknagappagh

17.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0

—

Noble Blue

12.1

OR: 0 Form: 4.1 Odds: 8

9/4

Well Polly

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Aghmorough Bridge

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Kellie's Dream

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Rising Dust

2.6

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.5

125/1

Iron Allen

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Thedancingfarrier

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Downtheoldbogroad

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

80/1

Joe's Turn

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jet Setting Johnny Top Rated	113	111	92
Nephin Beg	102	102	8
Knocknagappagh	95	100	83
Well Polly	83	—	—
Noble Blue	—	115	29
Aghmorough Bridge	—	—	—
Iron Allen	—	—	—
Kellie's Dream	—	—	—
Thedancingfarrier	—	96	—
Downtheoldbogroad	—	—	—
Rising Dust	—	64	—
Joe's Turn	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Knocknagappagh	5d ago	Quick return
Nephin Beg	8d ago	Quick return
Aghmorough Bridge	8d ago	Quick return
Iron Allen	23d ago	Fit
Thedancingfarrier	23d ago	Fit
Jet Setting Johnny	30d ago	Fit
Downtheoldbogroad	30d ago	Fit
Noble Blue	39d ago	Fit
Rising Dust	39d ago	Fit
Well Polly	46d ago	Fresh
Kellie's Dream	105d ago	Long break
Joe's Turn	233d ago	Long break

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