Unibet Zero% Mission Handicap (London Stayers' Series Qualifier)

Kempton (AW)

19:45

Date 2024-01-06

Distance 1m7f218y

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,281

Winning Time 3m 34.00s (slow by 7.70s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Red Flyer (IRE) David Probert · Karen Jewell	9/1	Won
2nd	Citizen General (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Ed Dunlop	11/1	.5
3rd	The Thunderer (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams	12/1	2
4th	Bascule (FR) George Rooke · Richard Hughes	2/1F	0.1
5th	Sarsons Risk (IRE) Dougie Costello · B F Brookhouse	7/2	0.3
6th	True Courage (GB) Dylan Hogan · Michael Bell	33/1	1.25
7th	First Emperor (GB) Robert Havlin · John Ryan	16/1	1
8th	Moliwood (GB) Kyle Strydom · Dylan Cunha	9/1	1.25
9th	Planet Legend (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	6/1	6
10th	Indigo Times (IRE) William Cox · Bernard Llewellyn	150/1	6
11th	Blow Your Horn (IRE) Callum Hutchinson · Ian Williams	50/1	17
12th	Glenister (IRE) Brandon Wilkie · Toby Lawes	16/1	22

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (4)	Bascule Chestnut J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	J:George Rooke T:Richard Hughes	142	—	4/384-	87	94	57	28d	—	—	-9	17.3	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Shaped well after break with Wolverhampton fourth over inadequate 1m4f; high on the list
5 (1)	Sarsons Risk Grey J:Dougie Costello T:B F Brookhouse	J:Dougie Costello T:B F Brookhouse	138	t	/6051-	83	92	81	22d	—	—	+6	23.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won at Southwell three weeks ago; 4lb rise does not look insurmountable
12 (8)	Planet Legend Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Rossa Ryan T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	130	b	23224/	75	88	-	—	—	—	+4	18.2	1.50/1	6/1 14%
First Flat run since October 2022; below par over hurdles lately but can't be ruled out
4 (9)	Moliwood Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	139	—	400/2-	84	94	37	58d	—	—	+7	15.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Pleasing return from over a year off when second at Chelmsford; commands major respect
1 (10)	Citizen General Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Dunlop	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ed Dunlop	142	b	51974-	87	90	66	31d	—	—	+6	14.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Back to form when fourth of 14 over C&D last month; unlikely to be far away
10 (12)	Glenister Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Toby Lawes	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Toby Lawes	134	—	21273-	79	91	81	17d	—	—	+11	18.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Not far off best when third over 1m4f here on stable debut; shapes as if he'll stay 2m
3 (2)	First Emperor Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John Ryan	J:Robert Havlin T:John Ryan	140	t	39708-	85	91	67	136d	—	—	+5	11.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Ended 2023 out of form; now returns after gelding/breathing ops; others have less to prove
8 (5)	Red Flyer Chestnut J:David Probert T:Karen Jewell	J:David Probert T:Karen Jewell	137	—	50622-	82	92	50	80d	—	—	+12	18.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Enhanced fine Kempton record when second over 1m4f in October; stays 2m; shortlisted
6 (3)	The Thunderer Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	137	p	14855-	82	93	62	28d	—	—	+7	11.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Unplaced all four starts since joining Stuart Williams and unproven beyond 1m4f
7 (11)	True Courage Brown J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Bell	J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Bell	137	v	40818-	82	90	71	23d	—	—	+13	15.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Followed Chelmsford win in November with poor run on same course; stamina to prove over 2m
9 (6)	Blow Your Horn Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Ian Williams	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Ian Williams	135	p	11865-	80	89	70	—	—	—	+10	13.4	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Completed hat-trick last June but wellbeing in doubt after two poor runs over hurdles
11 (7)	Indigo Times Grey J:William Cox T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:William Cox T:Bernard Llewellyn	132	—	7/662/	77	-	-	539d	—	—	+6	7.1	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Current mark is 2lb below last winning one but he has a 539-day absence to overcome

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Bascule	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Sarsons Risk	10/3	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3
Planet Legend	6/1	11/2	6/1	5/1	11/2
Moliwood	9/1	17/2	10/1	10/1	9/1
Citizen General	11/1	9/1	8/1	10/1	9/1
Glenister	12/1	12/1	10/1	11/1	9/1
First Emperor	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Red Flyer	14/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
The Thunderer	22/1	25/1	20/1	18/1	22/1
True Courage	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Blow Your Horn	40/1	33/1	33/1	25/1	22/1
Indigo Times	100/1	66/1	50/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sarsons Risk

23.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Glenister

18.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

3rd

Planet Legend

18.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 7.9 Odds: 4

6/1

Red Flyer

18.2

OR: 8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Bascule

17.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

Moliwood

15.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

True Courage

15.8

OR: 8 Form: 7 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Citizen General

14.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Blow Your Horn

13.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.9

40/1

First Emperor

11.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.7

12/1

The Thunderer

11.1

OR: 8 Form: 2 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Indigo Times

7.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bascule	87	94	57
Citizen General	87	90	66
First Emperor	85	91	67
Moliwood	84	94	37
Sarsons Risk	83	92	81
Red Flyer	82	92	50
The Thunderer	82	93	62
True Courage	82	90	71
Blow Your Horn	80	89	70
Glenister	79	91	81
Indigo Times	77	—	—
Planet Legend	75	88	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Glenister	17d ago	Fit
Sarsons Risk	22d ago	Fit
True Courage	23d ago	Fit
Bascule	28d ago	Fit
The Thunderer	28d ago	Fit
Citizen General	31d ago	Fit
Moliwood	58d ago	Fresh
Red Flyer	80d ago	Fresh
First Emperor	136d ago	Long break
Indigo Times	539d ago	Long break
Planet Legend	—	—
Blow Your Horn	—	—