Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

19:00

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-01-07

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £13,870

Winning Time 1m 27.74s (slow by 1.74s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Smoky Mountain (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · Charlie Fellowes	11/10F	Won
2nd	Shoot To Kill (IRE) Finley Marsh · Robyn Brisland	9/1	1
3rd	Jahidin (FR) Clifford Lee · K R Burke	20/1	1
4th	Dutch Kingdom (IRE) Jack Enright · Darryll Holland	17/2	0.1
5th	Kalganov (FR) Phil Dennis · Michael Dods	25/1	0.3
6th	Alethiometer (FR) Jason Hart · John Quinn	15/2	0.1
7th	Rock Opera (GB) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	12/1	1
8th	Rogue Thunder (GB) Billy Loughnane · Tom Clover	13/2	.5
9th	Beltane (IRE) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	33/1	.5
10th	Al Marmar (IRE) Marco Ghiani · Stuart Williams	16/1	0.2
11th	Poetic Force (IRE) Molly Gunn · Tony Carroll	50/1	0.05
12th	Society Lion (GB) Hollie Doyle · Ed Dunlop	18/1	.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (6)	Smoky Mountain Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Charlie Fellowes	132	—	42212-	78	96	69	16d	—	—	-6	37.2	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Went very close over C&D on handicap debut and he should have more to offer; strong claims
5 (2)	Rogue Thunder Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Tom Clover	J:Billy Loughnane T:Tom Clover	131	h	44410-	77	90	70	31d	—	—	+5	17.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Well beaten on h'cap debut but didn't settle out wide; inside draw here; retains potential
11 (3)	Dutch Kingdom Bay J:Jack Enright(7) T:Darryll Holland	J:Jack Enright(7) T:Darryll Holland	130	tb	06115-	76	93	81	16d	—	—	+9	22.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Only fifth over C&D in hat-trick bid but wasn't beaten far and has a better draw today
12 (9)	Alethiometer Bay J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John Quinn	130	—	63722-	76	94	57	30d	—	—	+11	17.8	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Looked as good as ever when going very close at Newcastle on AW/stable debut; respected
6 (12)	Rock Opera Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	131	—	44061-	77	94	80	45d	—	—	+11	18.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Got up late over 6f here last time & this first crack at 7f could prompt further progress
10 (4)	Shoot To Kill Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Robyn Brisland	J:Finley Marsh T:Robyn Brisland	130	—	51338-	76	94	85	43d	—	—	+9	14.8	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Course winner who was in good form prior to being stretched by 1m2f last time
4 (1)	Jahidin Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	131	p	24519-	77	94	57	10d	—	—	+11	16.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Won at Newcastle last month; below par there since but not written off now in cheekpieces
2 (10)	Al Marmar Brown J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	132	t	03005-	78	95	57	31d	—	—	+5	9.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Eyecatching fifth at Chelmsford on second start for this yard, when denied a clear run
3 (11)	Society Lion Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Ed Dunlop	J:Hollie Doyle T:Ed Dunlop	131	t	93074-	77	93	65	7d	—	—	+4	8.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Good 4th off this mark at Lingfield on New Year's Eve but over 6f which seems to suit best
7 (8)	Beltane Chestnut J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	131	—	21667-	77	95	54	31d	—	—	+8	11.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Returned from break with fair seventh at Chelmsford and could build on that effort
8 (5)	Kalganov Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Michael Dods	J:Phil Dennis T:Michael Dods	131	p	07510-	77	92	60	22d	—	—	+12	14.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Won in first-time cheekpieces at Newcastle last month but disappointing there 8 days later
9 (7)	Poetic Force Chestnut J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Tony Carroll	J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Tony Carroll	131	—	01263-	77	92	-	80d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+13	16	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Some good runs at Brighton when last seen and has an excellent record here; 80-day break

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Smoky Mountain	5/4	11/10	6/5	11/10	evn
Rogue Thunder	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1	6/1
Dutch Kingdom	11/2	13/2	6/1	13/2	5/1
Alethiometer	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Rock Opera	11/1	11/1	9/1	10/1	10/1
Shoot To Kill	16/1	14/1	16/1	12/1	12/1
Jahidin	16/1	18/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Al Marmar	18/1	20/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Society Lion	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Beltane	25/1	28/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Kalganov	33/1	40/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Poetic Force	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Smoky Mountain

37.2

OR: 7 Form: 16 Odds: 14.2

5/4

2nd

Dutch Kingdom

22.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 12 Odds: 3.6

13/2

3rd

Rock Opera

18.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Alethiometer

17.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 9.4 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Rogue Thunder

17.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Jahidin

16.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 8 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Poetic Force

OR: 6.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Shoot To Kill

14.8

OR: 6.5 Form: 6.6 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Kalganov

14.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Beltane

11.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 4 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Al Marmar

9.1

OR: 7 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Society Lion

8.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Smoky Mountain	78	96	69
Al Marmar	78	95	57
Rogue Thunder	77	90	70
Rock Opera	77	94	80
Jahidin	77	94	57
Society Lion	77	93	65
Beltane	77	95	54
Kalganov	77	92	60
Poetic Force	77	92	—
Dutch Kingdom	76	93	81
Alethiometer	76	94	57
Shoot To Kill	76	94	85

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Society Lion	7d ago	Quick return
Jahidin	10d ago	Quick return
Smoky Mountain	16d ago	Fit
Dutch Kingdom	16d ago	Fit
Kalganov	22d ago	Fit
Alethiometer	30d ago	Fit
Rogue Thunder	31d ago	Fit
Al Marmar	31d ago	Fit
Beltane	31d ago	Fit
Shoot To Kill	43d ago	Fit
Rock Opera	45d ago	Fit
Poetic Force	80d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.